大家好 我是山姆 很高兴见到大家 让我们开始吧 Everyone, sam here, good to see everybody. Let's dive in and get started, oh,
所有人 萨姆在这里 你能看到所有人吗 Everyone, sam here, could you see everybody.
等一下 好了 好了 我想我们准备好了 Just a second there we go. All right now, I think we're set.
好了 今天你们应该能看到屏幕了 声音应该没问题 All right, so today you should be able to see the screen, okay? Sound should be fine.
我们将讨论为什么一些提供的人工区域有效而另一些则无效 We are going to discuss why some supplyed man zones work and others don't.
所以 So.
你知道吗 我多年前想出这个策略的时候 那时候 You know, when I developed the strategy many years ago, it it back then, uh?
这些年来 现在归结为两件事 All these years in between, and now comes down to two things.
嗯 当识别 Um, when identifying.
市场转捩点和市场移动其结构和位置 Market turning points and market moves its structure and location.
对供应商需求区域影响最大的是什么 The thing that has the biggest impact on whether a supplier demand zone.
可能是工作或不工作 是位置 Is likely to work or not. Is location.
记住我们要谈的一切 Keep in mind everything we're gonna talk about.
在此时段内同样适用于任何酸性类股票 期货 外汇期权 债券 During this session is equally applicable to any acid class stocks, futures, forex options, bonds,
加密的货币 Crypto currency.
你能想到的 任何时间范围或财务目的 日内交易 波动交易 长期投资 等等 You name it, and any time frame or financial purpose, day trading, swing trading, longer term investing, uh, whatever?
所以要理解供求关系 So understand that when it comes to supply and demand.
两个 Two.
供给和需求无处不在 对吧 想想看 每次市场上发生交易 都是因为买家和卖家 Supply demand is everywhere, right? So when you think about it, every time there's a trade or transaction that happens in the market, it's because a buyer and a seller.
有人买 有人卖 你有一项交易 Agreed on price someone bought, someone sold. You have a trade.
这是每个价格点上的供给和需求 每个市场上都是如此 如果你仔细想想 That's supply and demand now at every price point, really always in every market. If you really think about it.
只要价格上升 股票价格上升 期货市场价格上升 外汇市场价格上升 等等 Any time price moves up, a penny in a stock or a tick in a futures market or a pip in a forex market or whatever.
这是因为供需不平衡 对吧 It's because of a supply demand imbalance, right?
现在 Now.
绝大部分的供需失衡 图表上的模式 The vast majority of supply demand imbalances, uh, the pattern on a chart that.
代表了所有人认为的供求关系 呃 大部分时间 Represents what everyone thinks is supply and demand. Uh, most of the time.
这种不平衡还不够大 当价格回到那个水平时 价格不会发生变化 The imbalance is not big enough, uh, for price to turn when price comes back to that level.
或者至少是大转弯 Or at least turn in a big way.
好吧 所以我们今天要关注的是如何区分这种差异 Okay. So what we want to focus on today is how to tell that difference.
让我们深入到这里 我们大概会在一起二十分钟左右 这些会议应该是快速和有效的 And let's dive in here. We'll probably be together for about twenty thirty minutes. These sessions are meant to be quick and impactful.
看一看 问对问题很重要 Take a look. It's important to ask the right question.
好吧 现在有两个贸易和投资中最重要的问题 价格会转向哪里 会向哪里移动 Okay. Now the two most important questions in trading and investing, where will price turn and where will it move to.
答案是很大的 The answers are large.
或者 供需严重失衡会导致价格转向 Or significant supply demand imbalances cause prices to turn.
缺乏巨大的供需不平衡会促进价格波动 The lack of a large supply demand imbalance facilitates price movement.
好吧 所以我们在寻找的 所有这些的焦点是不平衡 Okay. So what we're looking for, the focus in all of this is on the imbalance.
至于拐点 我们想知道供给和需求在很大程度上是失衡的 So as far as turning points, we want to know that supply and demand is out of balance in a big way.
没有这些的地方 价格通常会快速波动 And where you don't have that, that's typically where prices move quickly through.
最重要的问题是 它在价格图表上是什么样子的 我们马上就会讲到 我们大部分时间将在那里度过 Now the most important questions, what does this look like on a price chart, and we're going to get into that in just a few minutes. We'll spend most of our time There.
看看这两个 这是一个问题 So take a look at these two, and this is a question.
左边有个需求区 Uh, there is a demand zone on the left.
右边是一个供给区 这两个结构看起来都很好 Right And there's what looks like a supply zone on the, on the right, both of those structure wise, look really, really good.
不错的结构 需求区 不错的结构 供应区 但需要问的问题是 Right Nice structure, demand zone, nice structure, supply zone. But the question that needs to be asked is.
可能的不平衡是什么 供需区域的不平衡有多大 What is the likely imbalance, like, how big is the imbalance at this demander supply zone?
这是一种严重的失衡吗 Is it a significant imbalance like that?
或者 嗯 或者 有大量的需求和大量的供应 这意味着缺乏一个重要的供应 需求和平衡 Or is it, um, or, is there a lot of demand and a lot of supply, meaning a lack of a significant supply, demand and balance.
这两个问题的答案决定了价格是否有可能回到那个水平 The answer in both of these determines whether price is likely to, uh, turn when it comes back to that level.
你觉得呢 And what do you think.
当需求和供给区域是你会选择的水平时 你会买需求区域 你会卖吗 这是供给区域 As far as the demand and the supply zone are these levels that you would take, would you buy that demand zone Would you sell it That's supply zone.
或者你不会 Or would you not.
但这一切都归结于提出正确的问题 而不是 这是一个好的需求区还是一个好的供给区 But it all comes down to asking the right question, not, is that a good demand zone is that a good supply zone?
或者下面有需求 或者上面有多少供给 两者都是 这是不平衡 对吧 Or there's, there's demand down there, or how much supplies up there, it's both together. It's the imbalance, right?
好的 我们会回到这个问题上 我用几分钟给你们答案 All right, so we're gonna come back to this. I'll give you the answer, just a few minutes.
我们回头再讲 我们再多学一点 我看到有人在聊天 And uh, we'll come back to that, let's learn a little bit more. And uh, I see somebody typing in the chat.
是的 这些关卡看起来很棒 但是我们会在几分钟后回来回答这个重要的问题 Yeah, these levels look great, kay, but we'll come back and answer the important question in a few minutes.
因为你会看到 Because here's the thing you will see, um,
你通常会在图表上看到两个完全相同的需求区域 You will see often two, two demand zones on a chart that look absolutely identical.
一个会完美的工作 另一个不会 One will work perfect. The other one won't.
为什么 因为其中一个有很大的人类供给量失衡 另一个没有 但所代表的图片可能看起来是一样的 Why Because one had a big supply to man imbalance, the other one didn't, but the picture that represents that could look the same.
所以我们要看一些其他的东西 这是我们今天要讨论的核心 So we have to look at something else, and that's really at the heart of what we're going to talk about today.
所以确保你理解了治理的动力 或者所有这些的基本原理 So make sure you understand the governing dynamics, or the basics around all of this.
市场如何真正运作是关键 How markets really work is what is key.
所以我们在中间有供给和需求 So we have supply and demand in the middle.
好 现在是供给和需求 我们的潜在产量 当我们看实际成交量时 我们在任何市场都能看到 OK, now supply and demand, our potential volume. When we look at the actual volume, we see that at any market.
绝大多数的交易量或交易活动总是处于中间偏右的位置 理解供应的实际含义 The vast majority of volume or trading activities always going to be in the middle right, understanding what supply actually means.
这里是销售竞争 Okay, over here competition to sell.
需求就是购买竞争 Demand is competition to buy.
如此多的交易活动发生在中间地带的原因是 这是当前公允价值的所在 是大多数买家和卖家的所在 The reason why so much trading activity takes place in the middle is because that's where current fair value is, where the majority of buyers and sellers.
同意价格 同意买卖 Agree on price, agree to buy and sell.
可以 Can.
那么 我们很久以前设计的 是位置地图吗 好吧 So what, uh, we designed a long time ago, is the location map? Okay?
我们把中间 和公允价值一起 称为相对反弹 当我们想调用它时 但我们也称它为新手空间 So we call the middle, uh, one of things, we call it, along with the fair value, relative bounce whenever we want to call it. But we also call it the novice Space.
因为你通常不希望进入新手领域 为什么 因为缺少 Because you typically don't want to be entering positions in the novice space. Why? Because there's a lack of.
有个主要的供给者不平衡 A major supplied man imbalance in there.
你想买多少就买多少 You can buy and sell as much as you want.
但要抓住转折点并在此期间妥善管理风险 祝你好运 这并不容易 But trying to catch turning points and manage risk properly in the middle, uh, good luck, it's not easy.
好吧 中间的概率和利润区域都很低 然而 供不应求 Okay, probability and profit zones are low in the middle. However, out its supply.
零售价格 这是供求不平衡的重要原因 在供给方面 价格转变的可能性 Retail prices, that's where the supply demand imbalance is significant, on the supply side, probability of price turning.
利润区域很重要 需求方面也是一样 And profit zones up here are significant, same thing on the demand side.
对吧 下面这里的供需不平衡很重要 这就是为什么概率和利润区域也很重要 Right The supply demand imbalance is significant down here, which is why means probability and profit zone are also significant.
因为位置很重要 So because location is so important.
我们对我们的供应人员区域进行领子编码 我们在中间发现的任何供应需求区域通常都是灰色的 We collar code our supplied man zones, any supplied demand zones we find in the middle are typically gray.
我们不会像这样把供给和需求放在中间 这是禁贸区 And we don't take supply demands ons right in the middle like this, that's the No trade zone.
但通常我们会发现供给区仍然在新手空间 但更接近供给和需求区仍然在新手空间 但更接近需求 这里是灰色的 But often we'll find supply zones still in the novice space, but closer to supply and demand zones still in the novice space, but closer to demand down here, those will be Grey.
这些概率更低 所以我们通常会减少仓位规模 如果你想这样做 这有意义吗 Those are lower probability, so typically we reduce position size, if you want to take that, does this make sense?
这只是纯粹的供求关系 我们将向您展示如何在价格图表上解读它 以帮助确定哪些供应 暗人区 行得通 哪些行不通 This is just pure supply demand, we're going to show you how to read it on a price chart to help determine which supply Dim man zones are going to work and which ones won't.
所以最大的问题是 它在价格图表上是什么样子的 我们现在只关注中间 So the big question is, what does this look like on a price chart Let's just focus on the middle for now.
因为这是 呃 你马上就会看到这是关键 大家都在关注 哦 等等 有个看起来很完美的货主 需求区 Cause that's, uh, you'll see in a minute that's the key. Everybody's so focused on, oh, wait, there's a perfect looking supplies owner, demand zone.
没有人关注中间 但中间是关键 你会明白的 Nobody focuses on the middle, but the middle is key. You'll, you'll understand why.
相对平衡或公允价值表示为 Okay, relative balance or fair value is represented by.
大部分的交易活动 就像我们只看成交量一样 The majority of trading activity, like we just looked at with volume.
或者 嗯 想想这种广泛而又极具冲击力的交易活动 如果在那里 Or, and, um, this wide and whippi trading activity, think about it. If there.
不一定 马克 不是的 它不一定是横着的 它可能是 Um, not necessarily, mark, it's not. It necessarily doesn't have to be sideways. It could be.
上下可能是 我一会儿再讲 想想中间这一段 如果存在明显的供需不平衡 You know, up down could be, uh, well, I'll talk about that in a minute, um, but think about it in the middle here, if there was a significant supply demand imbalance.
呃 图表不会像这样 对吧 你会看到很少的交易价格会像这里的需求区域那样急剧上升 Uh, the chart would look nothing like this, right? You'd see very little trading in a price would shoot away like that demand zone down here.
好了 让我们真正关注这个 让我们继续看一看 OK, so let's really pay attention to this, and let's move forward and take a look.
回到我们这里的两个例子 我们将看一些 我们将加载一些交易的例子 交易机会 来自上周这里 Going back to our two examples here, and we're going to look at some, uh, we're going to load a bunch of trading examples, trading opportunities from Uh, this, this past week Here.
正确的 FX 绿色 没问题 现在我们回到这里 我们刚刚讲了我们做的 Correct. FX, green, absolutely, so now let's go back here, and now that we just ran through, uh, what we did.
希望你们已经开始理解了 Hopefully you're starting to understand it.
你对那个需求区有什么看法那是我们想要的需求区吗 What would you say about that demand zone Is that a demand zone that is likely that we want to take.
你想不想在那里买 不管市场是什么 我们想不想在那个需求区买 You want to buy there or no, whatever market it is doesn't matter, do we want to buy that demand zone?
为了回答这个问题 根据我们刚才讲过的 你自己想一下 是否有一个大块头 有供给的人和平衡的人 And to answer that, think to yourself based on what we just went over, is there likely to be a large, supplied man and balance there or no.
你觉得呢 What do you think.
这是一种混合 是的 有很多是的 有很多鼻子 好吗 这个供给区呢 It's a mix, yes, there's a lot of yes, there's a lot of nose, okay? What about this supply zone?
你会在这个供给区域做空反弹吗这些是非常完美的供给需求区域 Would you short a rally into this supply zone These are pretty perfect looking supply demand zones.
再一次 真正的问题是 根据你在图表上看到的 是否有一个重要的供给和需求区域 Again, the the real question is, is there like, based on what you see on the chart Is there likely to be a significant supply and demand zone.
在这一水平 At that level.
如果你说不 为什么 And if you're saying no, why.
一切都取决于地点 It does all come down to location.
好吧 看一下 这是答案 All right, take a look. Here's the answer.
两个区域都不起作用 价格经过两个区域就像它们还没有到达一样 他们看起来很完美 Neither zone works, price goes through both of them like they're not even there yet. They are perfect, looking.
供给需求区为什么他们在中间 Supplying demand zones why they're in the middle.
我们怎么能提前知道呢 让我们回到关卡的左边 OK, how could we know that in advance? Well, let's go back, look to the left of the level level.
看看这里所有的交易活动 看看这些交易活动的广泛和剧烈的波动 Look at all of the trading activity here, look at the wide and whippi action of that trading activity.
这里也是一样 Right Same thing over here.
这里是同样的两个水平 你可以看到左边右边 所有围绕这两个水平的交易活动 他们就在中间 就在新手领域 Now here are those same two levels, and you can see to the left right, all of this trading activity around these two levels. They're right in the middle, right in the novice space.
但是 我同意你的观点 这是两个非常巧妙的结构 关卡和位置 But again, I'll I-I-I agree. Those are two very structure wise, those levels are great, location wise.
这是不可接受的 事实上 在我们的项目中 我们永远不会把这些区域作为供求区域 这说得通吗 Not acceptable, in fact, in our program, we would never take those as supply and demand zones. Does that make sense.
好了 我们继续 希望这对你们有所帮助 让我们来看看这周节目中的一些例子 All right, let's keep going, hopefully, this is helpful. Let's take a look at some examples, uh from this week right out of our program.
左边的图表是从我们的一个现场 呃 呃 So, uh, the chart on the left is right out of one of our live, uh sessions, um,
呃 这个不是这周的 但是其他的会是 无论如何我认为这是一个很好的例子 这个是之前的 Uh, this one's not from this week, but the the others will be, but anyway that I thought this was a good example, this is from a little bit before that.
看看贾思敏为我们的成员安排的会议 So take a look during the session Jasmine set up for our members.
供求啊 那相对平衡还是公允价值 在新手中间的空间 Ah, supply demand, and that relative balance or fair value, in the middle of the novice space.
因为我要介绍一些新的东西 Because I'm going to introduce something new here.
对 我们要确保需求区在新空间之下 供给区在新空间之上 Right So we want to make sure that our demand zones are below the novice space, our supply zones are above the novice space.
有几个原因 一 价格在这些水平上转变的可能性 For a couple reasons, one, the probability of price turning at these levels.
当然是非常高的 与供应商的要求相比 你可能会发现在中间 Is very high, certainly, compared to a supplier demands on that you might find in the middle.
现在想想 如果这很重要的话 Now think about it, if this is very important.
如果你真的理解了供给 需求 公允价值的整个概念 我们来看这里 If you really understand this whole concept of supply, demand, fair value, let's go here.
好吧 这可能很好 这整个概念 OK, here's probably good, this whole concept, um.
我 I
中间部分在这里 对吧 嗯 在这里 让我们从中间开始 The mid were, you know in here, right? Uh, here. Let's go here in the middle.
这是大多数人在价格上达成一致的地方 This is where the majority agree on price.
所以要理解 这是你们很多人没有的 So understand, and this is something a lot of you have not.
也许可以考虑 但中间部分成为了价格的磁铁 它是吸引价格的真正磁铁 May be considered, yet that middle becomes a magnet for price. It is the true magnet for price.
价格会随着需求而上涨 真正的需求 因为购买需求的竞争 以及严重的不平衡 Prices turn higher at demand, true demand, because there's competition to buy a demand, and a significant imbalance.
在真正的供应区 价格会变得更低 因为有竞争来出售其供应 对人类来说 有一个重要的供给 不平衡 Prices turn lower at true supply zones because there's competition to sell its supply. There's a significant supply to man, imbalance.
中间价 正如我们所说的 是任何市场中大多数买卖双方商定的价格 这就像磁铁一样 The middle, as we said, is where the majority of buyers and sellers agree on price in any market. So that's going to act as a magnet.
想想这对我们有什么帮助 来看看 当价格到达供给区时 Think about how that can help us, okay, let's take a look. So the fact that when price came up to the supply zone.
这是我们在这里的生活当价格到达我们的供应区域时 Right This is from our life set up here when price came up to our supply zone.
公允价值 或者说 新手空间在这下面 Fair value, or, uh, the novice space was down here.
k k
因为很多人认为 我要卖出供给 买需求 但中间部分非常重要 因为它就像磁铁一样把价格拉下来 Because a lot of people think is, okay, I'm going to sell its supply and buy a demand. But this middle is so important because it literally acts like a magnet to pull price back down.
到大多数人买卖的地方 这就是市场运作的方式 所以 考虑一下利润区域 To where the majority of people are buying and selling, that's how any market works. So think about it when it comes to profit zone.
如果你们中有人看过 And if somebody of you have, you know, watch some.
一些视频和东西 在你们之前 你们应该知道我用这个术语说的是什么 如果你是新手 不要担心 有很多视频可以看 出现 Some of the videos and stuff, uh, before you, you kind of know what I'm talking about with this terminology. If you brand new to this, don't worry about it. There's plenty of plenty of videos to watch. To.
掌握基本知识 然后随时可以参加研讨会 这都是解释说 在那里 Get the basics down and all that, and can always come to the workshop. It's all explained. There.
但是想想看 如果我们有一个2-3比1的利润区域回到中间 想想这是多么强大 But think about it, if we have like a two or three to one profit zone just back to the middle, think of how powerful that can be.
很明显 我们希望 价格能一路回落到需求 这很好 而且通常会这样 Right Obviously we want, you know, it's great if price goes all the way back down to demand, and, you know, often it will.
但当我们有一个理想的风险回报方案时 回到中间 But when we can have a ideal risk reward scenario, just to get back to the middle.
这就是 如果你思考市场是如何运作的 这是一种真正改善的方法 Okay, that's how you can, um, if you think about how markets really work, that's one way to uh, really improve.
你成功的机会 Uh, your, your odds of success.
帽 Cap.
我们来看看 这是NASA 这是本周的线索 我们来看看期货市场 我们只看商品市场 Let's take a look, um, so this is the NASA, this is the cues from this week, we're going to look at the futures markets. We just look at a commodity market.
我们来看看ETFS 4x We'll look at ETFS, four X. Whatever.
这是这周的QQQ 这是纳斯达克 我不知道你们有没有人做过这个交易 也许 但是当我们看这个设置 So here is the QQ, Q, from this week, this is the Nasdaq, I don't if any of you took this trade or not, maybe, uh, but when we look at this Setup.
好吧 这周早些时候 其实是上周五 29号 对吧 价格正好在中间 Okay, so earlier in the week, uh, this is actually last Friday, the twenty ninth, right? We had price right in the middle.
主要供应在上面 主要需求区在下面 但请注意 大部分交易都在上面 We had our key supplies on up here and our key demand zone down here, but notice the majority of trading was all the way up here.
如果价格下降到需求区 上周五 我们不知道是否或何时会发生 So if price came down to the demand zone, and last Friday, we didn't know, you know if or when that would happen, but if it did.
我们有两大证据 一 We had two big pieces of evidence, one.
需求区表明 由于它的位置和缺口在需求侧有一个显著的供给 需求和平衡 The demand zone suggested because of its location and the gap that there was a significant supply, demand and balance down here on the demand side.
和 And.
公允价值 或者说相对平衡 新手空间在这里 Fair value, or, uh, relative balance. The novice space was way up here.
需求对供给的利润区间是13美元 OK, demand to supply was offering a thirteen dollar profit zone.
好吧 叉子的规则是一样的 我们专注于4个出口 吨 Okay, uh, yes, rules for forks are exactly the same. We, uh, we focus on four exit ton.
哦 Oh,
那么 周日 这周的最后一个周日到周一 So uh, sunday, the this last Sunday into Monday of this week?
价格下降到我们的需求区 然后注意到它反弹的速度有多快 Prices came down into our demand zone, and notice how fast it shoots right back up to.
相对平衡 这说得通吗 这就是竞争的力量 Relative balance, does that make sense It's those, it's the forces of competition.
和 And.
在多数人同意自己购买的地方 Where the majority agree to buy itself.
你可以叫它公允价值 或者相对平衡 随便你怎么叫 我们称它为新手空间的原因之一也是因为你不想进入那里的位置 Call it fair value, call it relative balance, whatever you want. One of the reasons why we call it the novice space also is because you don't want to enter positions in There.
好吧 好吧 Okay. All right.
这是同样的机会 这是在纳斯达克期货 So here's the same similar opportunity. This was in the Nasdaq Futures.
这是这周早些时候供给侧和需求侧的情况 Here's the set up on the supply side and the demand side from, um, earlier this week.
你可以看到从那以后发生的一切 Okay, and you could see all that happened since then.
需求面在前一周受到了打击 The demand side was hit the prior week.
然后 嗯 然后我们又谈到了 这是上周一 周日 周一晚上 周日晚上 周一 Right And then, um, and then we reached it again, this is last Monday, sunday, monday evening, sunday evening, monday.
所以 So.
我们可以看到下面这里 注意到需求 两个需求区域相互叠加 两堆生物相互叠加 And we could see down here, notice the demand, two demand zones on top of each other, so two stacks of bioders on top of each other.
随着公允价值的强劲上涨 当时的价格已经涨到了这里 And uh, with the strong move up with fair value, at that time being way up here.
我们的结论是基于供求证据 以及纯供求证据 什么都没有 We conclude based on the supply demand evidence, and just pure supply demand evidence. Nothing else.
供给者的不平衡在这里可能会很严重 价格在第一时间回升 触及水平后迅速上升 That the supplied man imbalance is likely to be significant down here. Price comes back the first time, just touches the level and shoots up.
价格回来了 当这种情况发生时 我们很好 一次又一次地接受 Price comes back, and when that happens, we were fine, taking it again and again.
对 它不是 问题不在于价格回落多少次 而在于价格回落到我们想要的水平的深度 Right It's not the. It's not how many times price comes back to a level, it's how deep price goes into the level we want to.
量化实际供应需求 Quantify a real supplying demand.
好吧 那么 All right, so um.
本周早些时候 价格降到了需求区 然后又回到了 Earlier this week, price came down to the demand zone, and uh again, shoots right back up to.
这个区域 我们的供应区 也很好 再说一遍 所有这些交易活动都在中间 明白吗 Uh, this area, our supply zone, was fine, too, again, with all of this, uh, trading activity being in the middle, does that make sense?
我可以 Can I.
你在这里看到的所有东西 比如这周和其他所有的例子 每周我们都在这些Youtube痴迷中 And at all everything you're seeing here from like this week and all the other examples, and every week we're together in these Youtube obsessions.
它只是正确地播放了这个位置地图 It, it's just playing this location map properly.
让这变得困难的是人们在做决定的过程中会考虑其他因素 Now what makes this difficult is people bring other things into the decision making process.
对吧 消息 有很多新闻指标 振荡 Right? News? There's a lot of news indicators, oscillators.
的趋势 Trend.
所有这些东西都与这个真正的供给人的概念无关 实际的订单 All this other stuff that has nothing to do with this real supplyed man concept. The actual orders.
我总是这么想的唯一原因是 我碰巧在交易大厅里 促进了制度秩序的流动 And the only reason why I have always thought this ways, because I happen to be on the trading floor, and uh, facilitated institutional order flow.
好吧 其实当时的订单就在我面前 当时还只是纸制订单 对吧 所以 你知道 你可以看到它 Right I actually had the orders right in front of me, uh, back then, when it was paper orders, right? So um, you know, you could just see it.
好吧 希望你们已经开始理解了 Okay. So hopefully you're starting to get this.
然后 当然 这是几天前到今天的一个 这是两天前和我们的会员一起参加的一次生活会议 And then, of course, uh, here's one just a couple days ago into today. This is from Uh, uh, one of our life sessions two days ago with our members.
嘿 这是转弯之后的情况 这里的市场出现了新需求 好吧 嗯 Hey, this is after the turn, um, new demand developed in the market right here. Okay. And um.
过去两天发生的一切 纳斯达克指数 随着价格回落到这个需求区 Over the last two days, all that's happened, the Nasdaq, as prices come down to this demand zone.
关键是图表之所以认为这是一个好的水平是因为事实并非如此 其中一个原因是它不在中间 And the key thing is that the reason why the chart was suggesting that this was a good level is because it's not. One of the reasons was it's not in the Middle.
在那个区域没有很好的集结 Without a nice rally off that area.
现在让我们继续 准备另一个小测验 另一个小测验 Now let's move forward and ready for another little test, another little quiz.
好吧 也许这不是一个确切的测试 但看看左边的需求区 Well, maybe this isn't exactly a quiz, but take a look at the demand zone on the left.
完美 不是完美 但是非常非常漂亮的需求区 Perfect, not perfect but really, really good looking demand zone.
注意到价格是如何回到原来的水平的就像右边没有一样 Okay, and notice how price comes right back to the level goes through it like it's not even there over on the right.
这里的需求区和这里几乎一样 你看这两个看起来几乎一样 A demand zone here that looks almost identical to this one. You see how these two look almost the same.
这一个价格回到这个区域 起作用 然后变得更高 为什么 原因是什么 And this one price comes back and touches the zone and works and turns higher. Why what's the reason.
看一下 为什么这个失败了 为什么这个工作得那么好 它们看起来一样 Take a look at it. Why does this one fail, and why does this one work so well And they both look the same.
有什么区别呢 What's the difference?
k k
我们的目标不是停止像散户和投资者那样思考 而是开始思考 The goal is to not, you know, to stop thinking like a retail trader and investor and start thinking.
像个银行 执行起来像个银行 好了 你们中有些人已经明白了 Like a bank and executing like a bank. There you go, some of you are getting it.
好了 准备好了 我们来看看 All right, ready, let's take a look.
看看左边 这个需求区就在它的左边 公允价值与否 空间就在这里 Take a look at the left, this demand zone just to the left of it, fair value or not. The space was right here.
在这一个 In this one.
它在上面 它就像磁铁一样 为什么这对价格有吸引力 因为我们已经知道了 It was up here, and again, this acts as a magnet. Why does this act as a magnet for price, because we already know.
当这个过程发生时 进入就发生了 By the time this develops and the entry happens.
这个市场上的大多数买卖双方都同意买卖 在这里 绝大多数 That the majority of buyers and sellers currently in this market agree on to buy and sell. Up here, the vast majority.
购买需求的竞争会迫使价格回升到均衡水平 相对均衡 随便你怎么叫 Competition to buy a demand forces price higher back up to equilibrium, relative balance, whatever you want to call it.
有道理吗 这个更高 Does that make sense This one is higher here.
这是同一价格水平 和这一水平本身价格相同 每个人都看到了区别 Here it's at the same price level, same price as the level itself. Everybody see the difference.
这客观地告诉我们 这里没有明显的供需不平衡 That tells us objectively that there's not a significant supply demand imbalance here.
而这一个 有 And in this one, there is.
不过 这里的关键是要专注于纯粹的供求关系 而不是其他 The key here, though, is to have a razor sharp focus on pure supply and demand, nothing else.
可以 Can.
还有挑战 很多人脑子里都有各种不同的策略 他们为满足需求添加了很多不同的东西 And again, the challenges, A lot of people have all kinds of different strategies floating around in their head, they add so many different things to just pure, supplying demand.
嗯 Um,
没有 我在聊天中没有看到音量档案 没有趋势 没有 什么都没有 No, no volume profile I see in the chat, there no trend, none, none of that stuff, um,
考虑需求 批发供应 中间零售 Think in terms of demand, wholesale supply, retail in the middle.
好了 关于这一点 希望这对你们有所帮助 All right, on that note, hopefully, that was helpful.
我想让这一切 变得非常有影响力 I wanted to make this, uh, just, very impactful.
如果你愿意 你可以在这上面多花点时间 You can, um, spend a lot more time on this if you want.
在研讨会上 其实明天有一个 但是 In the workshop, um, oh, there's actually one tomorrow, but uh.
我不知道有什么理由逃避某些日子或时间 Uh, see, I know no reason to avoid certain days or times.
这是价格与供求和中间的关系 It's all about where prices with regard to supply demand and the middle.
好吧 真正的关键是尽量远离中间地带 第一步是了解中间地带是什么样子 Okay. And really the key is just try to stay out of the middle, and the first step in that is learning what the middle looks like.
这说得通吗 Can that makes sense?
好吧 All right.
看来这是研讨会的链接 如果有人想 你知道 再深入了解一下 Looks like there's the link for the workshop, if anybody wants to, uh, you know, take this a little bit deeper.
期待着 我们会有更多关于这类话题的网站 Um and look forward to, uh, we'll have more web in ours on, I'll do more web in ours on these types of topics.
我觉得如果我们把它分成小块 就更容易理解了 I feel like if we do it in kind of little bite size chunks, it's easier to understand.
对 供求关系 这就是市场运作的方式 Yeah, and supply demand, it's how markets work.
任何市场 任何时间框架 任何财政目的 希望这对你们有所帮助 祝大家周末愉快 我们下次再见 Any market, any time frame, any financial purpose, all right, hopefully that was helpful. Have a fantastic day in weekend, every one, and we'll see next time.