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           NARRATOR:
 It's a city's worst nightmare.

2
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Megastorm Sandy delivers a wall
    of water 14 feet high...

3
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          MARC MENDE:
  There was no way to stop it.

4
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           NARRATOR:
   ...plowing into New York.

5
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             MENDE:
 You needed Superman, I guess.

6
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           NARRATOR:
     And across the region,
   crucial services collapse.

7
00:00:18,861 --> 00:00:21,529
         DAVID HOLLAND:
       This is Manhattan,
     and it was just chaos.

8
00:00:26,534 --> 00:00:28,803
           NARRATOR:
       Miles of coastline
        are devastated.

9
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         DAN MUNDY, SR:
   Whatever anybody could do,

10
00:00:30,038 --> 00:00:31,072
       it was not enough.

11
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   And who's to say it ain't
     going to happen again?

12
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           NARRATOR:
   But there is little doubt
            it will.

13
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   The planet is heating up.

14
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     Glaciers are melting.

15
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      Sea level is rising.

16
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            HOLLAND:
   Should warm ocean currents
     reach these glaciers,

17
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  all hell could break loose.

18
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           NARRATOR:
  How do we protect ourselves?

19
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   Can we wall off our cities
         from the sea?

20
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    Are some places destined
         to disappear?

21
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       Florida is doomed.

22
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           NARRATOR:
     In the wake of Sandy,

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      how will we respond?

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         STEVEN FLYNN:
  This is screaming at us that
 we need to be better prepared.

25
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           NARRATOR:
     "Megastorm Aftermath,"
       right now on <i>NOVA.</i>

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           ANNOUNCER:
    Major funding for <i>NOVA</i>
is provided by the following...

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 Supporting <i>NOVA</i> and promoting
public understanding of science.

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      And the Corporation
    for Public Broadcasting.

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            And by:

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  And Millicent Bell through:

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    Additional funding from:

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  Major funding for "Megastorm
   Aftermath" is provided by:

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    Expanding opportunities
      in America's cities.

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    Additional funding from:

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   Furthering the values that
contribute to a healthy planet.

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           NARRATOR:
  New Yorkers pride themselves
       on being tough...

37
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 We'll ride it out like we ride
   all of them out, you know?

38
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           NARRATOR:
   ...resilient, nonplussed,

39
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    and maybe a little cocky
   in the face of adversity.

40
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              MAN:
       It's raining here,

41
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  but, um, you know, whatever,
      it's a little rain.

42
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   What are you going to do?

43
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           NARRATOR:
   But on October 29, 2012...

44
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This is a record surge of water
     rushing over the edge

45
00:02:45,007 --> 00:02:47,675
      of Lower Manhattan.

46
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           NARRATOR:
    ...they, and their city,
        met their match.

47
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          MIKE HERZOG:
      My God, it's washing
        everything away!

48
00:02:54,816 --> 00:02:59,620
           NARRATOR:
That was the day megastorm Sandy
    came rolling into town.

49
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   The storm is on top of us
           right now.

50
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           NARRATOR:
      It was the biggest,
     most devastating storm

51
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        to hit the city
      in recorded history.

52
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      Strong winds pushed
   a huge wall of ocean water

53
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 14 feet higher than sea level,
        onto the coast,

54
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    covering 51 square miles
          of the city.

55
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  70,000 homes and apartments
         were damaged.

56
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     An entire neighborhood
     burned to the ground.

57
00:03:27,282 --> 00:03:32,186
Utilities failed in spectacular,
        massive fashion.

58
00:03:32,220 --> 00:03:37,091
    And 43 people died here,
     most of them drowned.

59
00:03:37,125 --> 00:03:40,027
  Sandy brought mighty Gotham
     and much of New Jersey

60
00:03:40,062 --> 00:03:41,996
        to their knees.

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00:03:53,508 --> 00:03:57,311
 As soon as the waters recede,
      unsettling questions

62
00:03:57,346 --> 00:03:59,113
       begin to roll in.

63
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    Was Sandy a freak event,
  or a window into our future?

64
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     We live in a new era.

65
00:04:09,024 --> 00:04:12,393
        Greenhouse gases
      like carbon dioxide

66
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      generated by burning
  fossil fuels are building up

67
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       in our atmosphere,
     insulating our planet,

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        holding in more
       of the sun's heat

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and driving the temperature up.

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The Earth's climate is changing.

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    No one knows exactly how
  that will affect our weather

72
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          day to day.

73
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     But there's one thing
      scientists agree on:

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        as the Earth and
      its oceans heat up,

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      warm water takes up
     more volume than cold.

76
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       At the same time,
     glaciers are melting.

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 The result-- sea level around
      the world is rising.

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         And that means
     as the storms come...

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    coastal cities are more
       and more at risk.

80
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      Climate change will
      raise the sea level,

81
00:05:04,112 --> 00:05:07,448
 and sea level will contribute
   to the power of flooding.

82
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           NARRATOR:
         It's not only
    New York and New Jersey

83
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that are in the crosshairs, but
Miami, New Orleans, Charleston.

84
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        As our sea level
       continues to rise,

85
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it won't take a Hurricane Andrew
     or Katrina-size storm

86
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   to create flooding hazards
      along our coastline.

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           NARRATOR:
Thousands of miles of coastline
     all around the world--

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      China, India, Japan.

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             FLYNN:
      We live increasingly
       in coastal areas.

90
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    This is screaming at us

91
00:05:42,217 --> 00:05:44,318
       that we need to be
        better prepared.

92
00:05:48,190 --> 00:05:50,224
           NARRATOR:
 But what can coastal cities do

93
00:05:50,258 --> 00:05:52,927
     to prepare and protect
          themselves?

94
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   Can we engineer a solution

95
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    and wall off our cities
         from the sea?

96
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       Or are some areas
   just too hard to protect,

97
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        and, eventually,
   should they be abandoned?

98
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             JACOB:
  We have to start to retreat

99
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     from the most exposed
          waterfront.

100
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       MICHAEL BLOOMBERG:
   As New Yorkers, we cannot

101
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    and we will not abandon
        our waterfront.

102
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        It is one of our
        greatest assets.

103
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           NARRATOR:
    Or is there another way?

104
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   A way to embrace nature's
    defenses and the water,

105
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   even as we try to keep it
            at bay?

106
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             FLYNN:
      Sandy should demand
      a national response.

107
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There but for the grace of God,
   it could have been Boston,

108
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  it could have been Seattle.

109
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  It could happen to Houston.

110
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     How are we as a nation
      prepared for dealing

111
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   with these kinds of risks?

112
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 And reality is we're not near
 as prepared as we need to be.

113
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           NARRATOR:
 As Sandy approached, Dan Mundy
   knew his home was at risk.

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    The retired firefighter
          lives in one

115
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    of the most flood-prone
neighborhoods of New York City--

116
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         Broad Channel.

117
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   It's a sliver of an island
 in the middle of Jamaica Bay,

118
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 on the southern end of Queens.

119
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   Elevation above sea level:
        about four feet.

120
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             MUNDY:
        It's very unique
       what we have here.

121
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      It's very different.

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     People that don't know
 and come and visit and see it,

123
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           they say,
    "Wow! This is beautiful.

124
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      Look at your views."

125
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           NARRATOR:
    Well aware that his home
       was in harm's way,

126
00:07:31,092 --> 00:07:34,228
    Dan Mundy built his own
   private seawall around it.

127
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             MUNDY:
    You can see my bulkhead
           out there.

128
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   There's 250 tons of stone.

129
00:07:41,570 --> 00:07:44,872
           NARRATOR:
   But the fortress couldn't
 hold back Sandy's storm surge.

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             MUNDY:
     You see how high it is
       and how big it is.

131
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        Well, Sandy come
      over the top of it.

132
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      It was just unreal.

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This storm, it just went beyond.

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   Whatever anybody could do,
       it was not enough.

135
00:08:03,792 --> 00:08:06,260
 And, you know, who's to say it
  ain't going to happen again?

136
00:08:10,832 --> 00:08:13,717
           NARRATOR:
      That's the question
       haunting thousands

137
00:08:13,768 --> 00:08:16,971
    whose homes were damaged
    or destroyed by the sea.

138
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       Sandy's waves tore
     through the Rockaways,

139
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        about five feet
        above sea level.

140
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      The Red Hook section
    of Brooklyn: eight feet.

141
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         Staten Island:
   four feet above sea level.

142
00:08:37,058 --> 00:08:40,928
        Lower Manhattan:
about eight feet at the Battery.

143
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         In New Jersey,
     Sandy caused flooding

144
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 from Hoboken to Atlantic City.

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       Around the region
     and around the world,

146
00:09:00,382 --> 00:09:03,417
      the question is not
    if it will happen again,

147
00:09:03,451 --> 00:09:05,352
    but when, and how often?

148
00:09:05,387 --> 00:09:09,223
             JACOB:
       We know very well
 a mean trend where things go.

149
00:09:09,257 --> 00:09:12,526
       The sea level rise
       will not go down.

150
00:09:12,560 --> 00:09:14,128
     We know that for sure.

151
00:09:14,162 --> 00:09:16,764
           NARRATOR:
   What scientists don't know
            for sure

152
00:09:16,798 --> 00:09:19,166
   is how fast it will rise.

153
00:09:19,200 --> 00:09:21,735
     Over the past century,
   sea level around New York

154
00:09:21,770 --> 00:09:25,139
   is up about a foot, partly
   because of subsiding land.

155
00:09:25,173 --> 00:09:29,443
   But how much will it rise
   in the next hundred years?

156
00:09:34,115 --> 00:09:39,586
That may depend on what happens
            here...

157
00:09:39,621 --> 00:09:42,856
        in Greenland...

158
00:09:42,891 --> 00:09:47,961
    where vast masses of ice
are flowing from land to ocean,

159
00:09:47,996 --> 00:09:49,396
     raising the sea level.

160
00:09:53,168 --> 00:09:57,871
David Holland is trying to crack
     the sea level mystery.

161
00:09:57,906 --> 00:10:00,140
 That's what's brought him here
     on a hazardous voyage

162
00:10:00,175 --> 00:10:03,811
  though the iceberg-cluttered
   waters of Jakobshavn Fjord

163
00:10:03,845 --> 00:10:05,479
         in Greenland.

164
00:10:05,513 --> 00:10:07,915
      They say the iceberg
     that sank the <i>Titanic</i>

165
00:10:07,949 --> 00:10:11,685
  came from this breathtaking
 and extremely dangerous place.

166
00:10:11,720 --> 00:10:13,320
            HOLLAND:
       These things roll.

167
00:10:13,355 --> 00:10:15,856
        And if it rolls,
 it will take the ship with it.

168
00:10:15,890 --> 00:10:18,759
           NARRATOR:
  Holland is a mathematician,

169
00:10:18,793 --> 00:10:22,996
and he's here because he doesn't
have much faith in the numbers.

170
00:10:23,031 --> 00:10:24,932
       I would state that
         at this moment

171
00:10:24,966 --> 00:10:28,869
       we cannot project
future sea level mathematically.

172
00:10:28,903 --> 00:10:30,704
      We have to be honest
        with ourselves.

173
00:10:30,739 --> 00:10:33,607
We have incomplete knowledge at
the moment and incomplete data.

174
00:10:33,641 --> 00:10:36,744
           NARRATOR:
  Some of the data we do have
         is disturbing.

175
00:10:36,778 --> 00:10:40,614
     An enormous reservoir
  of fresh water is locked up

176
00:10:40,648 --> 00:10:44,685
     in the glaciers here,
       at least for now.

177
00:10:44,719 --> 00:10:47,788
            HOLLAND:
If you melted all of Greenland,
      then local sea level

178
00:10:47,822 --> 00:10:51,658
       around the planet
 would rise just over 20 feet.

179
00:10:51,693 --> 00:10:56,430
           NARRATOR:
20 feet would submerge more than
a third of the city of New York.

180
00:10:56,464 --> 00:11:00,768
 But no one is predicting that
 this will happen anytime soon.

181
00:11:02,504 --> 00:11:04,605
           NARRATOR:
     The Greenland glaciers
    have been slowly melting

182
00:11:04,639 --> 00:11:08,475
 for thousands of years, since
  the end of the last Ice Age.

183
00:11:08,510 --> 00:11:11,545
   But today, with the planet
       heating up faster,

184
00:11:11,579 --> 00:11:14,248
    there are ominous signs
    that the movement of ice

185
00:11:14,282 --> 00:11:18,285
        from land to sea
     might be speeding up.

186
00:11:20,889 --> 00:11:22,322
     David Holland believes

187
00:11:22,357 --> 00:11:24,558
        the reason lies
    not in the warming air,

188
00:11:24,592 --> 00:11:26,493
       but in the water.

189
00:11:26,528 --> 00:11:30,130
      As a glacier slides
         off the land,

190
00:11:30,165 --> 00:11:32,966
its underside comes into contact
       with the seawater.

191
00:11:35,270 --> 00:11:39,506
  In 1997, the ocean currents
       changed abruptly,

192
00:11:39,541 --> 00:11:43,877
and the water here got warmer by
nearly three degrees Fahrenheit.

193
00:11:46,614 --> 00:11:50,117
        Soon the glacier
  started melting much faster.

194
00:11:50,151 --> 00:11:55,689
    During the 20th century,
   it retreated eight miles.

195
00:11:55,723 --> 00:11:58,859
  But in just the first decade
      of the 21st century,

196
00:11:58,893 --> 00:12:02,830
 it receded another nine miles.

197
00:12:02,864 --> 00:12:05,466
    David Holland is trying
      to solve the mystery

198
00:12:05,500 --> 00:12:09,686
     of why this happened,
 and if it could happen again.

199
00:12:09,721 --> 00:12:11,872
            HOLLAND:
         The main thing
    we're trying to study is

200
00:12:11,906 --> 00:12:14,708
      how do warm currents
      approach ice sheets?

201
00:12:14,742 --> 00:12:16,777
    Why is it that sometimes
       we see warm water

202
00:12:16,811 --> 00:12:18,812
        near ice sheets,
       and sometimes not?

203
00:12:18,847 --> 00:12:21,181
  The answer to that question
    is ultimately the answer

204
00:12:21,216 --> 00:12:23,417
to the future of the sea level.

205
00:12:25,153 --> 00:12:27,588
       I'm going to start
         the next cast.

206
00:12:29,157 --> 00:12:31,024
           NARRATOR:
  To try to find that answer,

207
00:12:31,059 --> 00:12:33,026
  he repeatedly sends a probe
   brimming with instruments

208
00:12:33,061 --> 00:12:37,164
  below the surface to depths
     of 300 feet and more,

209
00:12:37,198 --> 00:12:41,201
testing the water's temperature,
  oxygen content and salinity.

210
00:12:41,236 --> 00:12:45,772
     Because all this water
     is not created equal.

211
00:12:47,275 --> 00:12:49,443
   The water near the surface
         is less salty,

212
00:12:49,477 --> 00:12:52,713
   diluted by the fresh water
 from the recent glacier melt.

213
00:12:52,747 --> 00:12:55,616
   Usually cold water sinks.

214
00:12:55,650 --> 00:12:57,551
     But not in this case.

215
00:12:57,585 --> 00:13:02,489
            HOLLAND:
  Fresh water is light, and it
  floats on top of the ocean.

216
00:13:02,524 --> 00:13:04,725
           NARRATOR:
    Below it is the saltier
          ocean water

217
00:13:04,759 --> 00:13:08,128
         that is warmer
    than the water above it.

218
00:13:08,162 --> 00:13:11,164
  Holland has found much of it
    comes from the tropics,

219
00:13:11,199 --> 00:13:14,334
      carried to Greenland
      by the Gulf Stream.

220
00:13:14,369 --> 00:13:17,337
        It eats away at
   the glacier's underbelly,

221
00:13:17,372 --> 00:13:21,408
 eventually causing big pieces
         to break off,

222
00:13:21,442 --> 00:13:25,279
     making more icebergs,
 putting more water in the sea.

223
00:13:26,848 --> 00:13:28,982
     Holland is determined
        to discover more

224
00:13:29,017 --> 00:13:31,852
   about the dynamic between
         ice and ocean.

225
00:13:34,255 --> 00:13:37,324
  So he also submerges probes
         for a year...

226
00:13:40,228 --> 00:13:43,530
 drops some from helicopters...

227
00:13:43,565 --> 00:13:49,069
   and even attaches sensors
     to deep diving seals.

228
00:13:49,103 --> 00:13:53,240
 Still, they're just pinpricks
    of light in a dark void.

229
00:13:53,274 --> 00:13:57,311
  There is little known about
  how glaciers move and melt--

230
00:13:57,345 --> 00:14:03,250
  not just here in Greenland,
    but in Antarctica, too.

231
00:14:03,284 --> 00:14:05,485
            HOLLAND:
   If you melted Antarctica,

232
00:14:05,520 --> 00:14:08,455
        you would raise
global sea level, say, 200 feet.

233
00:14:08,489 --> 00:14:10,624
           NARRATOR:
      200 feet would flood

234
00:14:10,658 --> 00:14:12,759
           every city
    on the Eastern Seaboard

235
00:14:12,794 --> 00:14:14,494
    and the Gulf of Mexico.

236
00:14:14,529 --> 00:14:19,199
     The Florida peninsula
      would be long gone.

237
00:14:19,233 --> 00:14:20,767
            HOLLAND:
  That is not going to happen
       tomorrow morning.

238
00:14:20,802 --> 00:14:25,405
           NARRATOR:
       The vast majority
  of Antarctic ice is stable.

239
00:14:25,440 --> 00:14:29,309
But a few ice sheets in the west
 sit on ground below sea level,

240
00:14:29,344 --> 00:14:33,380
  making them more vulnerable
          to melting.

241
00:14:33,414 --> 00:14:37,818
In 2002, the Larsen B ice shelf,
    a floating piece of ice

242
00:14:37,852 --> 00:14:41,021
   the size of Rhode Island,
       suddenly broke up,

243
00:14:41,055 --> 00:14:46,259
 allowing the glacier behind it
 to flow faster into the ocean.

244
00:14:46,294 --> 00:14:48,829
     David Holland worries
     it could happen again

245
00:14:48,863 --> 00:14:51,565
   to other glaciers nearby.

246
00:14:51,599 --> 00:14:56,803
            HOLLAND:
   These areas are enormous,
    and warm water is near.

247
00:14:56,838 --> 00:14:59,306
 So should warm ocean currents
   in the Southern Hemisphere

248
00:14:59,340 --> 00:15:03,644
    reach to these glaciers,
  all hell could break loose.

249
00:15:03,678 --> 00:15:08,248
           NARRATOR:
     With so many unknowns,
 the current official estimate

250
00:15:08,282 --> 00:15:11,318
       for sea level rise
  ranges from two to five feet

251
00:15:11,352 --> 00:15:13,453
     over the next century.

252
00:15:13,488 --> 00:15:16,356
    But David Holland thinks
   that if we want to protect

253
00:15:16,391 --> 00:15:19,693
  coastal cities, we should be
    prepared for much more.

254
00:15:19,727 --> 00:15:21,128
            HOLLAND:
   If you were to say to me,

255
00:15:21,162 --> 00:15:23,497
  "For the next hundred years,
   I want to be conservative

256
00:15:23,531 --> 00:15:25,132
      and protect things,"

257
00:15:25,166 --> 00:15:27,567
      I would build walls
    three meters, ten feet.

258
00:15:32,607 --> 00:15:34,875
           NARRATOR:
         When it comes
      to flood protection,

259
00:15:34,909 --> 00:15:38,645
Holland knows firsthand some of
the dangers of building too low.

260
00:15:38,680 --> 00:15:39,980
            HOLLAND:
         Is it sinking?

261
00:15:40,014 --> 00:15:41,782
           NARRATOR:
     Because when he's not
   investigating the glaciers

262
00:15:41,816 --> 00:15:46,820
  of Greenland, he lives here,
   in the heart of Manhattan.

263
00:15:48,823 --> 00:15:51,458
       When Sandy struck,
     he and his wife Denise

264
00:15:51,492 --> 00:15:54,561
       were high and dry
      in their apartment.

265
00:15:54,595 --> 00:16:03,136
And then the lights went out...
and stayed out for five days.

266
00:16:03,171 --> 00:16:06,339
      There was no power,
       no heat, no water.

267
00:16:06,374 --> 00:16:08,408
            HOLLAND:
        It was surreal,

268
00:16:08,443 --> 00:16:11,278
  the concept that this major
        city, Manhattan,

269
00:16:11,312 --> 00:16:14,781
with this massive infrastructure
 could be brought to its knees

270
00:16:14,816 --> 00:16:16,483
          by a storm.

271
00:16:16,517 --> 00:16:18,585
       It was just chaos.

272
00:16:18,619 --> 00:16:21,922
           NARRATOR:
    The Hollands were among
the quarter million New Yorkers

273
00:16:21,956 --> 00:16:26,493
  who were in the dark because
   of this spectacular event.

274
00:16:31,566 --> 00:16:33,867
        The Consolidated
    Edison power substation

275
00:16:33,901 --> 00:16:38,672
sits at the end of 14th Street,
 right next to the East River,

276
00:16:38,840 --> 00:16:41,208
about six feet above sea level.

277
00:16:41,242 --> 00:16:43,110
     Water and electricity
    does not mix, obviously.

278
00:16:44,879 --> 00:16:47,280
           NARRATOR:
    Most of the electricity
      for Lower Manhattan

279
00:16:47,315 --> 00:16:49,983
flows through these transformers
          and relays,

280
00:16:50,017 --> 00:16:53,353
     as long as they're not
          under water.

281
00:16:53,387 --> 00:16:56,123
       For over 50 years,
  the 11-foot-high floodwalls

282
00:16:56,157 --> 00:17:00,193
       worked just fine,
   until Sandy's storm surge

283
00:17:00,228 --> 00:17:04,865
  pushed 14 feet of water over
  the banks of the East River.

284
00:17:04,899 --> 00:17:07,534
 Our hundred-year flood design
         was down here.

285
00:17:07,568 --> 00:17:09,536
   And the waters were coming
       over this capstan.

286
00:17:09,570 --> 00:17:12,806
           NARRATOR:
     The flash point was a
circuit breaker that shorted out

287
00:17:12,840 --> 00:17:14,741
after the salt water rushed in.

288
00:17:14,776 --> 00:17:17,944
          SCHIMMENTI:
        That breaker was
     at a lower elevation.

289
00:17:17,979 --> 00:17:20,530
        And as the water
        started to rise,

290
00:17:20,565 --> 00:17:22,082
   that breaker flashed over

291
00:17:22,116 --> 00:17:25,619
  and then caused a subsequent
  failure at the transformer.

292
00:17:25,653 --> 00:17:28,288
      And so then you saw
    this big flash of light.

293
00:17:31,793 --> 00:17:33,343
         Then there was
      a cascading failure

294
00:17:33,394 --> 00:17:35,729
  because of the other relays.

295
00:17:35,763 --> 00:17:37,364
      And then the station
   ended up being shut down.

296
00:17:40,601 --> 00:17:43,503
           NARRATOR:
      ConEd is determined
    to keep this station dry

297
00:17:43,538 --> 00:17:46,673
       whenever the next
        megastorm hits.

298
00:17:46,707 --> 00:17:50,944
        They're building
    about 180 aluminum doors

299
00:17:50,978 --> 00:17:55,415
    to plug any holes in the
 substation's protective ring.

300
00:17:55,449 --> 00:17:57,217
          SCHIMMENTI:
 So if the same event occurred

301
00:17:57,251 --> 00:17:59,486
          and the same
     storm surge occurred,

302
00:17:59,520 --> 00:18:03,123
  there'd be no customers out
         in Manhattan.

303
00:18:03,157 --> 00:18:05,659
           NARRATOR:
   And beneath the sidewalks
      all across the city,

304
00:18:05,693 --> 00:18:09,396
     workers are installing
     waterproof equipment.

305
00:18:09,430 --> 00:18:11,865
Everything in this hole, even
if you submerge it under water,

306
00:18:11,899 --> 00:18:12,933
it is all submergible equipment.

307
00:18:12,967 --> 00:18:14,768
If it's underwater,
it will still operate normally.

308
00:18:14,802 --> 00:18:18,638
           NARRATOR:
     And they're deploying
   more smart grid technology

309
00:18:18,673 --> 00:18:23,176
 that can be monitored remotely
   and reduce power outages.

310
00:18:23,211 --> 00:18:25,011
          SCHIMMENTI:
What we'll do over the long term

311
00:18:25,046 --> 00:18:28,315
    is work with the latest
        climate science

312
00:18:28,349 --> 00:18:31,218
so that we're further protected
         in the future.

313
00:18:31,252 --> 00:18:34,821
           NARRATOR:
      The electrical grid
       is just one piece

314
00:18:34,856 --> 00:18:38,491
   of the vast infrastructure
 clobbered by megastorm Sandy.

315
00:18:41,128 --> 00:18:44,397
 On the West Side of Manhattan,
   the phone company Verizon

316
00:18:44,432 --> 00:18:48,335
   also got a climate change
          wakeup call.

317
00:18:48,369 --> 00:18:50,303
        CHRIS LEVENDOS:
 The impact of Hurricane Sandy

318
00:18:50,338 --> 00:18:54,274
         to Verizon was
       the largest impact

319
00:18:54,308 --> 00:18:58,111
to our wireline infrastructure
in our 100-year history.

320
00:18:58,145 --> 00:19:02,515
           NARRATOR:
   Verizon world headquarters
    sits at 140 West Street,

321
00:19:02,550 --> 00:19:05,385
        about 250 yards
     from the Hudson River,

322
00:19:05,419 --> 00:19:08,321
   about five and a half feet
        above sea level.

323
00:19:08,356 --> 00:19:12,559
   The ornate Art Deco lobby
is normally gilded and gleaming,

324
00:19:12,593 --> 00:19:16,062
 but the night Sandy roared in,
           it was not

325
00:19:16,097 --> 00:19:17,497
     such a pretty picture.

326
00:19:19,734 --> 00:19:21,635
           LEVENDOS:
      We had water come in

327
00:19:21,669 --> 00:19:25,705
       through the front
and rear doors of the building.

328
00:19:25,740 --> 00:19:28,575
      And then water gets
   into the elevator shafts,

329
00:19:28,609 --> 00:19:31,711
     down the stair walls,
     and begins to fill up

330
00:19:31,746 --> 00:19:34,881
     the five sub-basements
       of this building.

331
00:19:36,851 --> 00:19:39,452
           NARRATOR:
  In the basement is the vault

332
00:19:39,487 --> 00:19:41,888
      where Verizon keeps
       its crown jewels--

333
00:19:41,923 --> 00:19:44,925
       telephone cables,
      most of them copper,

334
00:19:44,959 --> 00:19:49,963
     the wires that connect
their landline phone customers.

335
00:19:49,997 --> 00:19:54,401
Bad enough, but below the vault
        is a pump system

336
00:19:54,435 --> 00:19:58,238
   that delivers diesel fuel
  to the emergency generators

337
00:19:58,272 --> 00:20:00,307
      on the tenth floor.

338
00:20:00,341 --> 00:20:04,844
But the pump was not waterproof.

339
00:20:04,879 --> 00:20:08,949
        When it failed,
 the dominoes started falling.

340
00:20:08,983 --> 00:20:12,018
       No pump, no power.

341
00:20:12,053 --> 00:20:15,388
  No power, and these crucial
    machines stop working--

342
00:20:15,423 --> 00:20:18,058
        air compressors.

343
00:20:18,092 --> 00:20:21,428
       Verizon pumps air
     into its copper cables

344
00:20:21,462 --> 00:20:23,897
 to keep water from seeping in.

345
00:20:23,931 --> 00:20:28,868
  Water, especially seawater,
        destroys copper.

346
00:20:28,903 --> 00:20:32,238
           LEVENDOS:
        The network was
      completely destroyed

347
00:20:32,273 --> 00:20:35,208
     with one massive storm
 in one very destructive night.

348
00:20:36,811 --> 00:20:39,779
           NARRATOR:
     The loss of that pump
     was a crucial failure

349
00:20:39,814 --> 00:20:42,549
       in a night filled
    with catastrophic damage

350
00:20:42,583 --> 00:20:45,719
  due to relentless flooding.

351
00:20:45,753 --> 00:20:48,722
   By morning, the land-based
 phone lines in Lower Manhattan

352
00:20:48,756 --> 00:20:52,959
 were almost totally wiped out,
 right in the financial capital

353
00:20:52,994 --> 00:20:54,160
          of America.

354
00:20:57,565 --> 00:21:00,166
         But there was,
  literally and figuratively,

355
00:21:00,201 --> 00:21:03,870
      one glimmer of light
  amid the unimaginable mess.

356
00:21:03,904 --> 00:21:08,942
      Fiber optic cables,
  long, thin strands of glass

357
00:21:08,976 --> 00:21:12,479
  that transmit voice and data
     with bursts of light,

358
00:21:12,513 --> 00:21:15,682
     are far more efficient
       than copper wires.

359
00:21:15,716 --> 00:21:19,586
        And best of all,
  they're impervious to water.

360
00:21:19,620 --> 00:21:22,522
          After Sandy,
    the company immediately

361
00:21:22,556 --> 00:21:25,158
       started replacing
 its entire copper wire network

362
00:21:25,192 --> 00:21:27,127
 in Lower Manhattan with fiber.

363
00:21:27,161 --> 00:21:29,896
       The changeover was
    supposed to take years.

364
00:21:29,930 --> 00:21:32,499
 Verizon did it in six months.

365
00:21:32,533 --> 00:21:38,971
   In all, Sandy cost Verizon
       about $1 billion.

366
00:21:38,973 --> 00:21:41,273
  And that crucial fuel pump?

367
00:21:41,275 --> 00:21:46,679
 It's now in a watertight room
     with a submarine door.

368
00:21:51,886 --> 00:21:55,422
Protecting New York's vulnerable
  and venerable subway system

369
00:21:55,456 --> 00:21:58,191
  may be the biggest challenge
            of all.

370
00:21:58,225 --> 00:22:02,862
       Sandy caused about
    $5 billion worth of harm

371
00:22:02,897 --> 00:22:06,232
    to the nation's largest
        transit system.

372
00:22:07,701 --> 00:22:10,570
          Hardest hit,
      South Ferry Station,

373
00:22:10,604 --> 00:22:13,473
      at the southern tip
         of Manhattan.

374
00:22:13,507 --> 00:22:16,342
        The station was
     only three years old,

375
00:22:16,377 --> 00:22:20,580
built at a cost of $550 million.

376
00:22:20,614 --> 00:22:26,453
      The day after Sandy,
        it lay in ruins.

377
00:22:26,487 --> 00:22:28,822
      One of the culprits
       is believed to be

378
00:22:28,856 --> 00:22:32,325
  this bundle of lumber, 2x8s.

379
00:22:32,359 --> 00:22:34,694
     After becoming flotsam
      in the roiling seas,

380
00:22:34,728 --> 00:22:37,030
        it tore through
     the makeshift barrier

381
00:22:37,064 --> 00:22:39,432
      workers had erected
   at the station's entrance

382
00:22:39,467 --> 00:22:41,468
      as Sandy approached.

383
00:22:41,502 --> 00:22:43,436
          JOE LEADER:
        It was probably
     like a battering ram.

384
00:22:43,471 --> 00:22:45,271
   When that wave effect came
         in the surges,

385
00:22:45,306 --> 00:22:46,539
     it probably just blew
         right through,

386
00:22:46,541 --> 00:22:47,774
    I mean, and that was it.

387
00:22:47,808 --> 00:22:50,043
   Where it came from, nobody
  knows; I don't want to say.

388
00:22:50,077 --> 00:22:51,911
  I don't want to give Jersey
          a bad name.

389
00:22:51,946 --> 00:22:53,046
  But it came from somewhere.

390
00:22:54,381 --> 00:22:56,216
           NARRATOR:
      More than 60 million
      gallons of seawater

391
00:22:56,250 --> 00:23:02,422
  came rushing in, filling the
station almost to street level.

392
00:23:02,456 --> 00:23:05,125
            LEADER:
    You try and prevent it,
you try and deter it, you know,

393
00:23:05,159 --> 00:23:06,593
   and that's the best thing
          you can do.

394
00:23:06,627 --> 00:23:09,262
       But can you really
       actually stop it?

395
00:23:09,296 --> 00:23:11,231
           NARRATOR:
 It was not for lack of trying.

396
00:23:11,265 --> 00:23:13,666
As Sandy bore down on the city,

397
00:23:13,701 --> 00:23:16,569
  transit workers frantically
    fought to stem the tide

398
00:23:16,604 --> 00:23:22,742
     with inflatable dams,
     sandbags and plywood.

399
00:23:22,776 --> 00:23:24,878
   But there was no stopping
           the water.

400
00:23:26,814 --> 00:23:33,153
   Subway stations, railyards
   and nine tunnels flooded.

401
00:23:33,187 --> 00:23:35,421
        Water was coming
        from everywhere.

402
00:23:35,456 --> 00:23:37,590
There was no way of stopping it.

403
00:23:37,625 --> 00:23:40,026
      You needed Superman,
            I guess.

404
00:23:40,060 --> 00:23:42,128
           NARRATOR:
       At the Hugh Carey
    Brooklyn-Battery Tunnel,

405
00:23:42,163 --> 00:23:43,963
     which normally carries
        cars and trucks

406
00:23:43,998 --> 00:23:45,832
        between Brooklyn
      and Lower Manhattan,

407
00:23:45,866 --> 00:23:47,634
        there was little
         they could do.

408
00:23:47,668 --> 00:23:49,235
    We abandoned the place.

409
00:23:49,270 --> 00:23:51,471
      We basically pulled
     everybody out of here.

410
00:23:51,505 --> 00:23:53,373
         Marc, come on,
        we've got to go!

411
00:23:53,407 --> 00:23:56,042
           NARRATOR:
 80 million gallons of seawater
           gushed in.

412
00:23:56,076 --> 00:24:00,180
The tunnel was practically full.

413
00:24:04,952 --> 00:24:07,353
       Work crews managed
        to clean it up.

414
00:24:07,388 --> 00:24:11,057
 They removed the ceiling tiles
 and replaced enough lighting,

415
00:24:11,091 --> 00:24:13,993
cameras and communications gear
      to reopen the tunnel

416
00:24:14,028 --> 00:24:18,364
just two weeks after the storm.

417
00:24:18,399 --> 00:24:20,433
      But there are years
         of work ahead

418
00:24:20,467 --> 00:24:23,303
       to get things back
 to their pre-Sandy condition.

419
00:24:26,507 --> 00:24:29,776
  Ten months after Sandy hit,
        engineers tested

420
00:24:29,810 --> 00:24:32,979
  a water-filled emergency dam
        that might offer

421
00:24:33,013 --> 00:24:35,582
       a layer of defense
 for the tunnel the next time.

422
00:24:36,850 --> 00:24:39,319
         They are also
     considering this idea

423
00:24:39,353 --> 00:24:44,490
from West Virginia University--
      an inflatable plug.

424
00:24:44,525 --> 00:24:48,928
  In the meantime, carpenters
 have erected this plywood wall

425
00:24:48,963 --> 00:24:51,998
       at the low point,
   where the water gushed in.

426
00:24:52,032 --> 00:24:56,636
      But in the long run,
  will plywood and inflatables

427
00:24:56,670 --> 00:24:59,172
 and other small-scale changes
           be enough

428
00:24:59,206 --> 00:25:01,241
  to protect this metropolis?

429
00:25:01,275 --> 00:25:03,643
            LEADER:
    If I made this airtight

430
00:25:03,677 --> 00:25:06,546
and we did not allow the 66
million gallons of water

431
00:25:06,580 --> 00:25:09,015
       that we pumped out
    to come into our system,

432
00:25:09,049 --> 00:25:10,250
   where would that water be?

433
00:25:10,284 --> 00:25:14,153
  It would be in the streets,
 and would be in the basements,

434
00:25:14,188 --> 00:25:17,490
 and on the first floors of all
   the buildings surrounding.

435
00:25:17,524 --> 00:25:19,425
   So it's more than just us
      preventing the water

436
00:25:19,460 --> 00:25:21,027
          to come out.

437
00:25:21,061 --> 00:25:23,196
    It's got to be a really
   regional issue to decide,

438
00:25:23,230 --> 00:25:26,466
        how do you deal
   with something like that?

439
00:25:30,504 --> 00:25:32,605
           NARRATOR:
          In the face
     of rising sea levels,

440
00:25:32,640 --> 00:25:36,643
    how can an entire region
         be protected?

441
00:25:36,677 --> 00:25:38,611
        With the threat
       growing every day,

442
00:25:38,646 --> 00:25:41,948
experts are looking for answers
  in a place all too familiar

443
00:25:41,982 --> 00:25:46,753
  with the war against water--
        the Netherlands.

444
00:25:46,787 --> 00:25:52,025
  The name itself says it all,
        "The Low Lands."

445
00:25:52,059 --> 00:25:54,260
    Built on a swampy delta,

446
00:25:54,295 --> 00:25:59,599
    much of the country lies
        below sea level.

447
00:25:59,633 --> 00:26:02,201
     You really wonder why
  people settled here at all.

448
00:26:02,236 --> 00:26:04,937
      This must have been
     such an uninhabitable,

449
00:26:04,972 --> 00:26:07,106
      inhospitable place.

450
00:26:07,141 --> 00:26:10,476
    It's a very soggy delta.

451
00:26:10,511 --> 00:26:12,779
           NARRATOR:
   That's what these are for.

452
00:26:12,813 --> 00:26:15,481
Windmills are essentially pumps.

453
00:26:15,516 --> 00:26:17,016
      PETER PAUL KLAPWYK:
       If the sails turn,

454
00:26:17,051 --> 00:26:19,052
      the wheel will turn.

455
00:26:19,086 --> 00:26:24,724
   This will start spinning,
   and the screw gets turned.

456
00:26:24,758 --> 00:26:29,429
           NARRATOR:
A giant Archimedean screw lifts
the water out of the floodplain.

457
00:26:29,463 --> 00:26:31,964
       In 1450, when they
        were introduced,

458
00:26:31,999 --> 00:26:35,301
        this enabled us
        to live in areas

459
00:26:35,336 --> 00:26:37,136
 where before we couldn't live.

460
00:26:41,108 --> 00:26:47,413
           NARRATOR:
      And then, of course,
there are the dikes, or levees--

461
00:26:47,448 --> 00:26:50,450
     massive walls usually
         made of earth,

462
00:26:50,484 --> 00:26:53,586
       built to hold back
         flood waters.

463
00:26:55,189 --> 00:26:57,357
     So really that's what
   the Dutch have been doing

464
00:26:57,391 --> 00:26:59,559
        for a long time,
   is defending their country

465
00:26:59,593 --> 00:27:01,561
 from the water, and defending
          also implies

466
00:27:01,595 --> 00:27:04,764
    the feeling of the water
          as an enemy.

467
00:27:06,567 --> 00:27:12,372
           NARRATOR:
     In the winter of 1953,
 the enemy got the upper hand.

468
00:27:12,406 --> 00:27:16,209
    A violent storm blew in
      from the North Sea.

469
00:27:16,243 --> 00:27:22,215
       It was their Sandy
     and Katrina combined.

470
00:27:27,020 --> 00:27:30,990
             METZ:
In one night, over 1,800 people
       lost their lives.

471
00:27:31,024 --> 00:27:34,494
    Several hundred thousand
       lost their houses.

472
00:27:34,528 --> 00:27:36,929
About a million animals drowned.

473
00:27:38,265 --> 00:27:41,501
           JOS GELUK:
   My family knows what it is

474
00:27:41,535 --> 00:27:43,436
 when your house is blown away
         by the water.

475
00:27:43,470 --> 00:27:45,805
 And after that flood, we said,

476
00:27:45,839 --> 00:27:47,273
     "Well, this may never
         happen again."

477
00:27:47,307 --> 00:27:53,079
    And that was the reason
for designing the Delta program.

478
00:27:53,113 --> 00:27:56,149
           NARRATOR:
    Jos Geluk is an engineer
     for the Delta program,

479
00:27:56,183 --> 00:27:59,652
  or Delta Works, the massive
    flood protection system

480
00:27:59,686 --> 00:28:01,821
      launched in the wake
       of the '53 flood.

481
00:28:01,855 --> 00:28:06,259
  In addition to a reinforced
   system of dams and dikes,

482
00:28:06,293 --> 00:28:08,928
       locks and levees,
the Dutch added what they hoped

483
00:28:08,962 --> 00:28:12,698
 would be the ultimate weapons
       in water defense--

484
00:28:12,733 --> 00:28:14,434
 enormous storm surge barriers

485
00:28:14,468 --> 00:28:17,170
  across the mouths of rivers
         and estuaries.

486
00:28:17,204 --> 00:28:20,306
  Protecting Rotterdam Harbor
      are two giant gates,

487
00:28:20,340 --> 00:28:23,743
      together bigger than
   the Empire State Building,

488
00:28:23,777 --> 00:28:28,781
     designed to swing shut
  if the North Sea threatens.

489
00:28:28,816 --> 00:28:33,619
       And bigger still,
50 miles southwest of Rotterdam,

490
00:28:33,654 --> 00:28:35,822
  a five-and-a-half-mile long
      storm surge barrier

491
00:28:35,856 --> 00:28:40,326
 with 62 doors, ready to close
    at the push of a button.

492
00:28:46,733 --> 00:28:49,502
             GELUK:
          We designed
    on a chance of flooding

493
00:28:49,536 --> 00:28:51,904
    of once in 4,000 years.

494
00:28:51,939 --> 00:28:55,107
           NARRATOR:
     If New York City wants
          to stay dry

495
00:28:55,142 --> 00:28:59,479
  in a world with rising seas,
  should structures like these

496
00:28:59,513 --> 00:29:01,447
      be part of the plan?

497
00:29:01,482 --> 00:29:03,749
             GELUK:
     I think more and more

498
00:29:03,784 --> 00:29:07,954
   the Americans become aware
  of the threat of the water,

499
00:29:07,988 --> 00:29:11,491
  and they will spend money on
 protecting against the water.

500
00:29:11,525 --> 00:29:15,294
         JEROEN AERTS:
     As a Dutchman, you are
     quite surprised to see

501
00:29:15,329 --> 00:29:18,598
  a large city like New York,
    so many people exposed,

502
00:29:18,632 --> 00:29:21,601
  and no levees, no protection
at all... was astonishing to me.

503
00:29:24,972 --> 00:29:28,841
           NARRATOR:
  Jeroen Aerts is a professor
  of risk and water management

504
00:29:28,876 --> 00:29:30,910
         in Amsterdam.

505
00:29:30,944 --> 00:29:34,213
  Like many of his colleagues
   here, he is a big believer

506
00:29:34,248 --> 00:29:37,817
       in big structures
     to keep the water out.

507
00:29:37,851 --> 00:29:40,853
     He thinks New Yorkers
          should think

508
00:29:40,888 --> 00:29:44,190
  about walling themselves off
    from future megastorms.

509
00:29:44,224 --> 00:29:46,058
       Don't rule out yet
         the barriers,

510
00:29:46,093 --> 00:29:47,927
      because if sea level
 is going to rise very quickly,

511
00:29:47,961 --> 00:29:49,362
    then you need a barrier.

512
00:29:49,396 --> 00:29:52,732
           NARRATOR:
    But with so many inlets
  for the sea to flow through,

513
00:29:52,766 --> 00:29:55,968
    one barrier would never
 be enough to protect New York

514
00:29:56,003 --> 00:29:57,036
        and New Jersey.

515
00:29:57,070 --> 00:30:00,072
 The region would need to build
       an elaborate ring

516
00:30:00,107 --> 00:30:03,676
    of strategically located
 barriers to fend off flooding

517
00:30:03,710 --> 00:30:07,613
        from rising seas
     and worsening storms.

518
00:30:07,648 --> 00:30:10,016
      One scheme imagines
        a huge structure

519
00:30:10,050 --> 00:30:12,919
   at the Verrazano Narrows,
 which separates Staten Island

520
00:30:12,953 --> 00:30:14,820
         and Brooklyn.

521
00:30:14,855 --> 00:30:18,157
    The concept is a hybrid
     of two Dutch designs--

522
00:30:18,191 --> 00:30:20,293
       the giant barrier
        with the gates,

523
00:30:20,327 --> 00:30:24,497
  and the huge swinging doors.

524
00:30:24,531 --> 00:30:27,967
        Another idea is
     even more ambitious--

525
00:30:28,001 --> 00:30:30,536
        a five-mile-long
      storm surge barrier

526
00:30:30,571 --> 00:30:33,239
      that would span from
    Sandy Hook, New Jersey,

527
00:30:33,273 --> 00:30:35,741
   to the Rockaway Peninsula
          in New York.

528
00:30:35,776 --> 00:30:40,780
  Engineer Jonathan Goldstick
    would love to build it,

529
00:30:40,814 --> 00:30:44,317
        though he admits
  Fortress New York would cost

530
00:30:44,351 --> 00:30:47,653
  tens of billions of dollars.

531
00:30:47,688 --> 00:30:50,389
           GOLDSTICK:
   The cost benefit analysis
           is tricky.

532
00:30:50,424 --> 00:30:57,930
But it's a very good return, and
 it really keeps the water out.

533
00:30:57,965 --> 00:31:03,302
           NARRATOR:
 As sea levels continue rising,
  at some point in the future,

534
00:31:03,337 --> 00:31:08,674
    even barriers like this
     won't be high enough.

535
00:31:08,709 --> 00:31:12,044
           GOLDSTICK:
   What the barrier should do
         is provide us

536
00:31:12,079 --> 00:31:14,780
  with a relatively short-term
     option for protection

537
00:31:14,815 --> 00:31:17,750
   while we implement a plan
    that gets the city ready

538
00:31:17,784 --> 00:31:21,120
       for future higher
        sea level rises.

539
00:31:21,154 --> 00:31:25,124
  If I were king of New York,
       I would build it.

540
00:31:26,493 --> 00:31:29,395
           NARRATOR:
   But if billions are spent
     on colossal barriers,

541
00:31:29,429 --> 00:31:33,933
    will New Yorkers be left
with a false sense of security?

542
00:31:33,967 --> 00:31:36,902
  And might that delay action
    on the crucial question

543
00:31:36,937 --> 00:31:40,606
   of how and where to build?

544
00:31:40,641 --> 00:31:46,445
          KLAUS JACOB:
  It looks like, "Wow, there's
   this incredible benefit."

545
00:31:46,480 --> 00:31:49,448
But essentially, we have delayed
          the problem.

546
00:31:52,653 --> 00:31:55,187
           NARRATOR:
    Even in the short term,
    giant barriers can cause

547
00:31:55,222 --> 00:31:57,423
         huge problems.

548
00:31:57,457 --> 00:31:59,659
      Just ask the Dutch.

549
00:31:59,693 --> 00:32:01,861
        There were a lot
  of unintended consequences.

550
00:32:01,895 --> 00:32:04,430
        It's turned out
that a lot of this intervention

551
00:32:04,464 --> 00:32:08,333
     to keep the water out
  has had a detrimental effect

552
00:32:08,335 --> 00:32:09,902
   on the country's ecology.

553
00:32:09,936 --> 00:32:14,106
           NARRATOR:
Behind the permanent sea walls,
  they created stagnant lakes

554
00:32:14,141 --> 00:32:16,909
        that are plagued
    by noxious algae blooms.

555
00:32:22,082 --> 00:32:24,550
     The doors on the giant
      storm surge barrier

556
00:32:24,584 --> 00:32:27,286
           were added
    to address that problem.

557
00:32:27,320 --> 00:32:30,756
 But even with the doors open,
the permanent barrier structures

558
00:32:30,791 --> 00:32:33,893
      and manmade islands
    reduce the ebb and flow

559
00:32:33,927 --> 00:32:35,428
      of the tides by 30%.

560
00:32:35,462 --> 00:32:39,131
    Precious little sediment
           flows in.

561
00:32:39,166 --> 00:32:43,736
   As a result, the estuary's
       sandbars, wetlands

562
00:32:43,770 --> 00:32:46,572
        and oyster beds
       are disappearing,

563
00:32:46,606 --> 00:32:48,741
        taking with them
  the natural flood protection

564
00:32:48,775 --> 00:32:50,976
     they used to provide.

565
00:32:51,011 --> 00:32:52,445
         This is really
       one of the reasons

566
00:32:52,479 --> 00:32:55,147
   that the Dutch are moving
   now towards a new approach

567
00:32:55,182 --> 00:32:58,851
     to dealing with water
 and trying to intervene less.

568
00:33:02,022 --> 00:33:04,990
           NARRATOR:
        The reality is,
      the quest to control

569
00:33:05,025 --> 00:33:10,029
   big bodies of water almost
 always produces big problems.

570
00:33:11,798 --> 00:33:15,267
And nowhere is that more obvious
 than in the heart of America,

571
00:33:15,302 --> 00:33:17,703
   on the mighty Mississippi.

572
00:33:17,738 --> 00:33:22,208
    Since the 19th century,
the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers

573
00:33:22,242 --> 00:33:25,077
     has been on a mission
      to prevent flooding

574
00:33:25,112 --> 00:33:30,349
and keep the river in its place
with big reinforced levees

575
00:33:30,383 --> 00:33:34,053
     and giant articulated
         concrete mats

576
00:33:34,087 --> 00:33:36,822
      laid along the banks
      to prevent erosion.

577
00:33:38,391 --> 00:33:41,127
          DENISE REED:
What we did in the 20th century

578
00:33:41,161 --> 00:33:45,231
was we really isolated the river
     from its delta plain.

579
00:33:45,265 --> 00:33:47,399
        Then we decided
     that we really needed

580
00:33:47,434 --> 00:33:49,869
         to essentially
       eliminate flooding

581
00:33:49,903 --> 00:33:52,204
   from the Mississippi River
   under most circumstances.

582
00:33:54,474 --> 00:33:57,810
           NARRATOR:
  Geomorphologist Denise Reed
    understands that rivers

583
00:33:57,844 --> 00:33:59,545
      are meant to flood.

584
00:33:59,579 --> 00:34:01,213
        That's why here
       in bayou country,

585
00:34:01,248 --> 00:34:06,018
     south of New Orleans,
she lives in a house on stilts.

586
00:34:06,052 --> 00:34:08,954
 One of Reed's biggest worries

587
00:34:08,989 --> 00:34:11,624
  is that in our fight to stop
  flooding, we've essentially

588
00:34:11,658 --> 00:34:16,128
        turned the river
  into a giant concrete pipe.

589
00:34:16,163 --> 00:34:19,632
             REED:
  The sediment that comes out
 of the end of the Mississippi

590
00:34:19,666 --> 00:34:22,535
  comes out of that long pipe
        that we've made.

591
00:34:22,569 --> 00:34:25,704
  That essentially drops down
    into fairly deep water.

592
00:34:25,739 --> 00:34:27,940
       That's not the way
        it used to work.

593
00:34:27,974 --> 00:34:30,476
           NARRATOR:
       The way it worked
     for thousands of years

594
00:34:30,510 --> 00:34:33,846
 allowed sediment to spread out
   at the mouth of the river,

595
00:34:33,880 --> 00:34:38,784
 creating the vast wetlands and
swamps of the Mississippi Delta.

596
00:34:38,819 --> 00:34:43,355
      But today, the delta
    is starved of sediment.

597
00:34:43,390 --> 00:34:47,259
 As a result, every 40 minutes
    or so, an area of marsh

598
00:34:47,294 --> 00:34:50,663
  the size of a football field
           vanishes.

599
00:34:50,697 --> 00:34:53,666
             REED:
        It's almost like
     a Swiss cheese effect.

600
00:34:53,700 --> 00:34:56,235
      We've lost, I guess,
        since the 1930s,

601
00:34:56,269 --> 00:34:58,170
 an area the size of Delaware.

602
00:34:58,205 --> 00:35:01,106
  That's a pretty large area.

603
00:35:03,543 --> 00:35:05,845
           NARRATOR:
        Those vanishing
      wetlands and marshes

604
00:35:05,879 --> 00:35:09,615
   are nature's best defense
        against a storm,

605
00:35:09,649 --> 00:35:11,984
 acting like giant speed bumps

606
00:35:12,018 --> 00:35:15,588
      for waves surging in
         from the sea.

607
00:35:15,622 --> 00:35:20,359
 In the world of water control,
they're known as soft defenses.

608
00:35:20,393 --> 00:35:22,461
             REED:
   So imagine the storm surge
           coming in.

609
00:35:22,495 --> 00:35:26,198
    Instead of moving across
  a very smooth sandy bottom,

610
00:35:26,233 --> 00:35:28,267
       it's moving across
        a rough surface.

611
00:35:28,301 --> 00:35:31,203
     And that really starts
 to take some of the energy out

612
00:35:31,238 --> 00:35:33,205
 and slow down the storm surge.

613
00:35:33,240 --> 00:35:35,641
           NARRATOR:
        But by how much?

614
00:35:35,675 --> 00:35:39,078
   To try and find an answer,
     the Corps of Engineers

615
00:35:39,112 --> 00:35:43,415
 is using a complex model that
  runs on this supercomputer.

616
00:35:43,450 --> 00:35:47,586
       Hydraulic engineer
 Jane McKee Smith has simulated

617
00:35:47,621 --> 00:35:49,154
        a typical storm

618
00:35:49,189 --> 00:35:52,424
   without the benefit of the
   wetlands that exist today

619
00:35:52,459 --> 00:35:54,793
       near New Orleans.

620
00:35:54,828 --> 00:35:57,830
 You get larger storm surge and
 bigger waves hitting the area.

621
00:35:57,864 --> 00:35:59,064
 And certainly if you look back

622
00:35:59,099 --> 00:36:02,167
   the way they were hundreds
  of years ago, you would see

623
00:36:02,202 --> 00:36:04,670
      a protective benefit
      from those wetlands.

624
00:36:04,704 --> 00:36:07,139
   So it's a very big issue.

625
00:36:07,173 --> 00:36:10,809
             REED:
And if they continue to degrade,
          then clearly

626
00:36:10,844 --> 00:36:14,446
    the city of New Orleans
  is not going to be protected

627
00:36:14,481 --> 00:36:15,915
  the way we think it is now.

628
00:36:19,219 --> 00:36:22,821
           NARRATOR:
 New Orleans sits right in the
midst of the Mississippi Delta.

629
00:36:22,856 --> 00:36:26,592
  Today, the city is regaining
          its swagger,

630
00:36:26,626 --> 00:36:32,498
    in part thanks to this--
133 miles of new surge barriers,

631
00:36:32,532 --> 00:36:36,902
      levees, floodwalls,
        gated structures

632
00:36:36,937 --> 00:36:39,271
      and pumping stations
    that now ring the city.

633
00:36:43,343 --> 00:36:48,714
   The $14.5 billion project,
 the epitome of hard defenses,

634
00:36:48,748 --> 00:36:50,849
           was built
   by the Corps of Engineers

635
00:36:50,884 --> 00:36:53,652
          in the wake
     of Hurricane Katrina.

636
00:36:53,687 --> 00:36:55,387
We moved the perimeter outward.

637
00:36:55,422 --> 00:36:58,023
And so, in some ways, you know,
     we took the fight out

638
00:36:58,058 --> 00:36:59,391
       to the storm surge

639
00:36:59,426 --> 00:37:02,061
  instead of letting the storm
   surge come into the city.

640
00:37:05,465 --> 00:37:08,100
           NARRATOR:
       In August of 2012,

641
00:37:08,134 --> 00:37:12,137
      Hurricane Isaac gave
    the hard defense system

642
00:37:12,172 --> 00:37:14,907
      its first big test.

643
00:37:14,941 --> 00:37:17,076
       The storm brought
     80-mile-an-hour winds

644
00:37:17,110 --> 00:37:22,348
   and a surge that was only
  two feet lower than Katrina.

645
00:37:24,584 --> 00:37:29,088
       This time the city
         did not flood.

646
00:37:29,122 --> 00:37:34,293
    But Denise Reed worries
  that if things don't change,

647
00:37:34,327 --> 00:37:38,530
      this low-lying city
   will not be safe for long.

648
00:37:38,565 --> 00:37:41,400
             REED:
       If we have a city
         behind a levee

649
00:37:41,434 --> 00:37:43,936
      and just open water
       on the other side,

650
00:37:43,970 --> 00:37:47,272
  I don't think anybody thinks
  that is as good a condition

651
00:37:47,307 --> 00:37:49,575
  as having a city and a levee

652
00:37:49,609 --> 00:37:52,311
     and extensive wetlands
       on the other side.

653
00:37:54,714 --> 00:37:56,181
           NARRATOR:
     To make matters worse,

654
00:37:56,216 --> 00:38:00,085
    scientists say the city
 and the wetlands are sinking,

655
00:38:00,120 --> 00:38:01,787
         or subsiding.

656
00:38:01,821 --> 00:38:04,890
     The state of Louisiana
       is fighting back,

657
00:38:04,924 --> 00:38:08,327
pumping millions of tons of sand
      onto barrier islands

658
00:38:08,361 --> 00:38:10,529
     and decimated marshes.

659
00:38:10,563 --> 00:38:15,134
     The goal-- engineering
   a solution that replicates

660
00:38:15,168 --> 00:38:19,471
    the way nature disperses
  that famous Mississippi mud.

661
00:38:22,742 --> 00:38:27,513
So, can New York find a balance

662
00:38:27,547 --> 00:38:29,515
     between hard barriers
       and soft defenses?

663
00:38:29,549 --> 00:38:33,485
We're going to pull up the ropes
      and check them out.

664
00:38:33,520 --> 00:38:38,824
           NARRATOR:
 Landscape architect Kate Orff
   prefers the soft approach.

665
00:38:38,858 --> 00:38:40,292
 This is a typical blue mussel

666
00:38:40,326 --> 00:38:43,896
 that we are looking to recruit
         on this rope.

667
00:38:43,930 --> 00:38:46,498
           NARRATOR:
   Orff says the blue mussels
    clinging to these ropes

668
00:38:46,533 --> 00:38:49,334
      could be a lifeline
      for New York Harbor

669
00:38:49,369 --> 00:38:52,004
   and help the city survive
        a wetter future.

670
00:38:54,374 --> 00:38:57,476
        The mussels are
      a keystone species,

671
00:38:57,510 --> 00:39:01,046
      the first small step
  toward Orff's grand vision--

672
00:39:01,081 --> 00:39:03,849
        a harbor filled
  with vibrant shellfish beds

673
00:39:03,883 --> 00:39:05,284
       and small islands,

674
00:39:05,318 --> 00:39:09,088
   offering a natural defense
      against high water.

675
00:39:09,122 --> 00:39:10,389
             ORFF:
      You can't just think

676
00:39:10,423 --> 00:39:12,291
  about resiliency as closing
           the gates,

677
00:39:12,325 --> 00:39:13,959
      you know, putting up
       a giant sea wall.

678
00:39:13,993 --> 00:39:17,763
 But rather through introducing
  reefs and offshore islands,

679
00:39:17,797 --> 00:39:20,466
       ecological systems
and marine life can play a role

680
00:39:20,500 --> 00:39:22,167
        in making a more
       resilient harbor.

681
00:39:22,202 --> 00:39:24,503
     I think we've learned
    over the past 100 years

682
00:39:24,537 --> 00:39:26,438
    that you cannot isolate
        these problems,

683
00:39:26,473 --> 00:39:27,906
  that we live in an ecosystem

684
00:39:27,941 --> 00:39:29,308
      where everything is
        interconnected.

685
00:39:29,342 --> 00:39:31,743
            Hold it!

686
00:39:33,313 --> 00:39:35,681
           NARRATOR:
      Even though retired
     fire captain Dan Mundy

687
00:39:35,715 --> 00:39:37,182
  spent a lot on hard defenses

688
00:39:37,217 --> 00:39:40,185
     at his waterfront home
       in Broad Channel,

689
00:39:40,220 --> 00:39:44,723
     he's an evangelist for
  the gospel of soft measures,

690
00:39:44,757 --> 00:39:48,961
   especially in the marshes
        of Jamaica Bay.

691
00:39:48,995 --> 00:39:51,497
             MUNDY:
 As children, we used to drive
    our boats through these,

692
00:39:51,531 --> 00:39:53,198
   so we knew these islands,
      these marsh islands,

693
00:39:53,233 --> 00:39:54,533
   like the back of our hand.

694
00:39:54,567 --> 00:39:57,202
   We knew how big, how wide
         the creek was,

695
00:39:57,237 --> 00:40:00,272
 we knew where your turns were,
          and whatnot.

696
00:40:00,306 --> 00:40:05,611
           NARRATOR:
 Then, in the 1990s, he noticed
   that things were changing.

697
00:40:07,614 --> 00:40:10,716
             MUNDY:
     The creeks got wider,
    the openings fell apart,

698
00:40:10,750 --> 00:40:12,684
    and instead of coming in
       and making a turn,

699
00:40:12,719 --> 00:40:13,952
   it was just a big opening.

700
00:40:13,987 --> 00:40:18,090
           NARRATOR:
 Along with his son, also Dan,
        Mundy collected

701
00:40:18,124 --> 00:40:21,126
   old maps and aerial photos
         of the marshes

702
00:40:21,161 --> 00:40:23,595
and compared them to new views.

703
00:40:23,630 --> 00:40:26,198
             MUNDY:
       And when we looked
 at the interior of the marsh,

704
00:40:26,232 --> 00:40:28,300
    looking, like, overhead
 and looking down, we found out

705
00:40:28,334 --> 00:40:30,602
       the whole interior
       was like a cancer.

706
00:40:30,637 --> 00:40:33,539
        It was eaten out
      from the inside out.

707
00:40:33,573 --> 00:40:35,174
           NARRATOR:
    The Mundys helped launch

708
00:40:35,208 --> 00:40:37,609
  a scientific investigation.

709
00:40:37,644 --> 00:40:40,612
  The findings were chilling.

710
00:40:40,647 --> 00:40:46,151
     Jamaica Bay was losing
 33 acres of marshland a year.

711
00:40:46,186 --> 00:40:49,488
Eventually, scientists believed
    they found the culprit.

712
00:40:49,522 --> 00:40:52,658
   Polluted water was killing
         the sea grass.

713
00:40:52,692 --> 00:40:54,159
             MUNDY:
   These plants that we see,

714
00:40:54,194 --> 00:40:56,461
 the roots are like arteries--
       they go out feet.

715
00:40:56,496 --> 00:41:00,032
           NARRATOR:
  Without the web of sea grass
 roots knitting them together,

716
00:41:00,066 --> 00:41:02,201
       the sandy islands
        dissolved away.

717
00:41:04,504 --> 00:41:08,140
     Since then, the Mundys
        have spent years

718
00:41:08,174 --> 00:41:11,343
  trying to save the marshes,
    with impressive results.

719
00:41:11,377 --> 00:41:15,814
   Today, pollution is down.

720
00:41:15,848 --> 00:41:17,583
    The water quality is up.

721
00:41:17,617 --> 00:41:20,419
      They've helped raise
 millions of dollars to rebuild

722
00:41:20,453 --> 00:41:23,655
      many of the islands,
      including this one.

723
00:41:23,690 --> 00:41:26,225
       And they organize
   volunteer groups to plant

724
00:41:26,259 --> 00:41:29,561
     new sea grass to hold
       the sand together.

725
00:41:29,596 --> 00:41:30,662
             MUNDY:
       And look at this.

726
00:41:30,697 --> 00:41:34,566
       We have new growth
    coming up in this area.

727
00:41:34,601 --> 00:41:35,767
        That's the most
       encouraging thing

728
00:41:35,802 --> 00:41:38,503
         that I've seen
 since I started this project,

729
00:41:38,538 --> 00:41:42,641
because this means that they're
 going to be well established.

730
00:41:42,675 --> 00:41:45,344
        We can let this
       go by itself now.

731
00:41:47,847 --> 00:41:49,948
           NARRATOR:
           The Mundys
    are stubbornly committed

732
00:41:49,983 --> 00:41:53,151
   to this place, even though
  they live on the front lines

733
00:41:53,186 --> 00:41:55,087
     of the battle against
        sea level rise.

734
00:41:55,121 --> 00:41:56,955
             MUNDY:
       We're not moving.

735
00:41:56,990 --> 00:41:59,324
         A little water
     ain't scaring us away.

736
00:41:59,326 --> 00:42:00,826
         Do we retreat
    from the tornado alleys,

737
00:42:00,860 --> 00:42:02,160
         do we retreat
      from the mudslides,

738
00:42:02,195 --> 00:42:04,529
       and do we retreat
     from the forest fires?

739
00:42:04,564 --> 00:42:06,398
 So if we apply that mentality
       across the board,

740
00:42:06,432 --> 00:42:08,100
 there's really not many places
        we want to live.

741
00:42:08,134 --> 00:42:11,903
           NARRATOR:
   For them, natural defenses
 are a key weapon in the fight.

742
00:42:11,938 --> 00:42:14,039
        MUNDY (father):
       We're going to get
     the water quality back

743
00:42:14,073 --> 00:42:16,608
   to the way it used to be,
 going to rebuild these marshes

744
00:42:16,643 --> 00:42:17,876
     that have disappeared.

745
00:42:17,910 --> 00:42:21,413
 And that all is going to help
with resiliency for the future.

746
00:42:21,447 --> 00:42:24,349
     It's going to protect
        the shorelines.

747
00:42:24,351 --> 00:42:28,053
           NARRATOR:
        The Mundys found
an unlikely ally in their quest

748
00:42:28,087 --> 00:42:31,290
     to rebuild the marshes
        of Jamaica Bay--

749
00:42:31,324 --> 00:42:35,260
  the Army Corps of Engineers,
  which built the new islands.

750
00:42:35,295 --> 00:42:38,764
      The Corps, now aware
    of the mistakes it made

751
00:42:38,798 --> 00:42:41,967
   managing the Mississippi,
    seems to be going soft.

752
00:42:42,001 --> 00:42:44,303
          JOE VIETRI:
     We have to think about
    a healthy estuary system

753
00:42:44,337 --> 00:42:47,039
    with salt marsh and soft
  wave-absorbing type features

754
00:42:47,073 --> 00:42:48,907
          like islands
    and things of that sort.

755
00:42:48,941 --> 00:42:52,344
  You can use a combination of
 gray and green infrastructure,

756
00:42:52,378 --> 00:42:54,680
   gray being our traditional
     concrete-type things,

757
00:42:54,714 --> 00:42:58,250
        and green being
  those softer solution sets.

758
00:42:58,284 --> 00:43:00,485
         We know a lot
   about the hard structures.

759
00:43:00,520 --> 00:43:02,487
      We're learning more
  about the natural features.

760
00:43:02,489 --> 00:43:04,022
    But we really don't know
          a whole lot

761
00:43:04,057 --> 00:43:05,357
  about how we combine these.

762
00:43:05,391 --> 00:43:11,363
           NARRATOR:
  For now the Corps is focused
    on brown-- pumping sand,

763
00:43:11,397 --> 00:43:12,831
      nourishing beaches,

764
00:43:12,865 --> 00:43:16,335
        in the Rockaways
    and on the Jersey shore.

765
00:43:16,369 --> 00:43:19,037
It's tried and true protection.

766
00:43:19,072 --> 00:43:22,174
            VIETRI:
   We've only basically been
 looking at soft solution sets,

767
00:43:22,208 --> 00:43:24,176
basically sand on a sandy beach.

768
00:43:24,210 --> 00:43:26,878
   Enough to buy us some time
     to take a deep breath

769
00:43:26,913 --> 00:43:30,816
     and look at what those
more complex solutions might be.

770
00:43:30,850 --> 00:43:33,085
           NARRATOR:
      Most experts believe
        that ultimately,

771
00:43:33,119 --> 00:43:35,053
      soft measures alone
        won't be enough

772
00:43:35,088 --> 00:43:36,855
   to stop a storm like Sandy

773
00:43:36,889 --> 00:43:40,459
  from taking an enormous bite
     out of the Big Apple.

774
00:43:43,463 --> 00:43:45,897
        Less than a year
    after the megastorm hit,

775
00:43:45,932 --> 00:43:50,268
 New York Mayor Mike Bloomberg
  released a $20 billion plan

776
00:43:50,303 --> 00:43:53,705
to make the city more resilient.

777
00:43:53,740 --> 00:43:57,376
   The plan calls for several
      small storm barriers

778
00:43:57,410 --> 00:44:02,180
at strategic locations, as well
  as plenty of new sea walls.

779
00:44:02,215 --> 00:44:05,584
         And instead of
  a giant storm surge barrier,

780
00:44:05,618 --> 00:44:10,522
Bloomberg sees new developments
like this as the best defense--

781
00:44:10,556 --> 00:44:13,392
       Arverne by the Sea
   on the Rockaway peninsula.

782
00:44:13,426 --> 00:44:16,395
     Homes here were raised
     nine feet above grade,

783
00:44:16,429 --> 00:44:19,664
         with a robust
  stormwater drainage system.

784
00:44:19,699 --> 00:44:21,800
 They sustained minimal damage
         during Sandy,

785
00:44:21,834 --> 00:44:26,138
        a stark contrast
    to what happened nearby.

786
00:44:26,172 --> 00:44:27,506
             ORFF:
     To me that's the idea
         of resiliency.

787
00:44:27,540 --> 00:44:28,573
  We can't keep the water out.

788
00:44:28,608 --> 00:44:31,476
    But if you can retrofit
   your buildings to be able

789
00:44:31,511 --> 00:44:33,311
    to get wet, in a sense,

790
00:44:33,346 --> 00:44:36,581
 but not be critically damaged
     during a storm event.

791
00:44:39,585 --> 00:44:42,554
           NARRATOR:
 This sea change in attitude--

792
00:44:42,588 --> 00:44:44,990
    accepting that sometimes
 you have to let the water in--

793
00:44:45,024 --> 00:44:49,093
   is exactly what's going on
      in the Netherlands.

794
00:44:49,095 --> 00:44:50,262
      The whole foundation

795
00:44:50,296 --> 00:44:52,264
on which the water safety system
            is built

796
00:44:52,298 --> 00:44:55,834
   is really being subjected
    to a critical revision.

797
00:44:57,904 --> 00:44:59,771
           NARRATOR:
     The tide began turning
        in the mid-'90s

798
00:44:59,806 --> 00:45:02,641
     after some devastating
        river flooding.

799
00:45:02,675 --> 00:45:06,144
       At the same time,
    scientists were issuing

800
00:45:06,179 --> 00:45:09,648
   increasingly dire warnings
      about climate change

801
00:45:09,682 --> 00:45:13,819
  causing both sea level rise
  and more rain in the region.

802
00:45:13,853 --> 00:45:17,289
         HANS BROUWER:
 It meant that the expectation
     is higher river peaks,

803
00:45:17,323 --> 00:45:19,991
    but also sea level rise.

804
00:45:20,026 --> 00:45:21,827
 And that would give a problem,

805
00:45:21,861 --> 00:45:24,062
 because the rivers flow freely
         into the sea.

806
00:45:24,096 --> 00:45:27,132
  So when the sea level rise,
 it will be much more difficult

807
00:45:27,166 --> 00:45:30,302
     to let the river water
       flow into the sea.

808
00:45:30,336 --> 00:45:33,405
           NARRATOR:
 The Dutch government launched
           a program

809
00:45:33,439 --> 00:45:35,607
   called Room for the River.

810
00:45:35,641 --> 00:45:38,610
    At the most flood-prone
    locations in the country

811
00:45:38,644 --> 00:45:41,947
   they asked property owners
   to leave, buying them out,

812
00:45:41,981 --> 00:45:44,316
     so the dikes could be
         moved inland.

813
00:45:44,350 --> 00:45:49,421
   So when flood waters come,
 they will flow onto empty land

814
00:45:49,455 --> 00:45:52,456
     without damaging homes
         or businesses.

815
00:45:52,458 --> 00:45:56,127
Now we were talking about giving
 back land to the river system.

816
00:45:56,162 --> 00:45:58,430
   And that was quite a step.

817
00:46:00,867 --> 00:46:03,368
           NARRATOR:
    It is not just farmland
        making the room.

818
00:46:03,402 --> 00:46:09,774
    In the city of Nijmegen,
they're reshaping the landscape

819
00:46:09,809 --> 00:46:12,010
       to make some space
      for the River Waal,

820
00:46:12,044 --> 00:46:15,981
    bulldozing a peninsula,
  leaving just a small island.

821
00:46:18,885 --> 00:46:22,621
      After many centuries
of performing a sort of alchemy,

822
00:46:22,655 --> 00:46:24,389
    turning water into land,

823
00:46:24,423 --> 00:46:28,059
the Dutch are facing the limits
       of their sorcery.

824
00:46:28,094 --> 00:46:32,964
    Not everyone everywhere
can be kept safe from the water.

825
00:46:32,999 --> 00:46:36,368
     Is this the beginning
     of a tactical retreat?

826
00:46:36,402 --> 00:46:38,603
             METZ:
    The Dutch don't see this
         as a retreat.

827
00:46:38,638 --> 00:46:41,606
     They see it as a form
       of accommodation.

828
00:46:41,641 --> 00:46:44,442
        Now we're moving
  towards an approach in which

829
00:46:44,477 --> 00:46:49,781
    water is seen as perhaps
 not a friend but a "frenemy,"

830
00:46:49,815 --> 00:46:51,950
     somewhere in between.

831
00:46:55,421 --> 00:46:57,021
           NARRATOR:
         In Rotterdam,

832
00:46:57,023 --> 00:47:01,359
  where parts of the city lie
    22 feet below sea level,

833
00:47:01,394 --> 00:47:03,328
           the Dutch
    are going even further,

834
00:47:03,362 --> 00:47:06,765
coming up with innovative places
      to put flood waters.

835
00:47:06,799 --> 00:47:08,533
       DANIEL GOEDBLOED:
       We don't have room

836
00:47:08,568 --> 00:47:11,770
    in the city of Rotterdam
    to just add more canals.

837
00:47:11,804 --> 00:47:13,672
      So we have to think
        of other things.

838
00:47:13,706 --> 00:47:15,874
  And that's one of the things
       we're doing here,

839
00:47:15,908 --> 00:47:17,509
      is we're storing it
     actually underground.

840
00:47:17,543 --> 00:47:20,312
           NARRATOR:
    When a museum built this
  underground parking garage,

841
00:47:20,346 --> 00:47:21,413
       the city added on

842
00:47:21,447 --> 00:47:25,317
      a 2.5-million-gallon
         holding tank.

843
00:47:26,786 --> 00:47:30,255
    About ten times a year,
    heavy rains prompt them

844
00:47:30,289 --> 00:47:34,459
       to open the valves
       and fill the tank.

845
00:47:34,493 --> 00:47:37,362
      It prevents flooding
   and stops untreated sewage

846
00:47:37,396 --> 00:47:39,497
 from flowing into the harbor.

847
00:47:44,403 --> 00:47:46,938
   The city is also creating
         public plazas

848
00:47:46,973 --> 00:47:49,074
   that are walled and tiered

849
00:47:49,108 --> 00:47:52,911
       so they can double
      as retention ponds.

850
00:47:52,945 --> 00:47:55,447
    When it starts to rain,
     I mean, this fills up,

851
00:47:55,481 --> 00:47:58,817
and all these terraces fill up,
     and kids just love it.

852
00:47:58,851 --> 00:48:02,220
I mean, they put on their boots
 and they just run through it.

853
00:48:02,254 --> 00:48:06,358
           NARRATOR:
   Another more elaborate one
     is under construction

854
00:48:06,392 --> 00:48:08,093
      near a high school.

855
00:48:11,097 --> 00:48:15,233
      When it rains here,
 the playing field will fill up

856
00:48:15,267 --> 00:48:19,070
 and hold water until the pumps
   and sewers can handle it.

857
00:48:24,644 --> 00:48:29,314
   Keeping their feet dry has
 always been a Dutch priority.

858
00:48:29,348 --> 00:48:32,417
       But the key lesson
they've learned over the years:

859
00:48:32,451 --> 00:48:35,587
  simply fending off the water
  as if it were a mortal enemy

860
00:48:35,621 --> 00:48:39,524
 is like tilting at windmills.

861
00:48:45,031 --> 00:48:48,233
    Whatever New York does,
its defenses could be challenged

862
00:48:48,267 --> 00:48:50,235
     sooner than expected.

863
00:48:50,269 --> 00:48:52,771
        Because not only
      is sea level rising,

864
00:48:52,805 --> 00:48:57,175
   but future storms could be
       more destructive.

865
00:48:57,209 --> 00:48:59,644
      When megastorm Sandy
       hit the Northeast,

866
00:48:59,679 --> 00:49:03,214
many asked whether this monster
        was the product

867
00:49:03,249 --> 00:49:04,282
       of climate change.

868
00:49:04,316 --> 00:49:05,617
           SHEPHERD:
      It's not clear to me

869
00:49:05,651 --> 00:49:07,686
   that this storm was caused
       by climate change,

870
00:49:07,720 --> 00:49:09,654
          but I think
     that we are in an era

871
00:49:09,689 --> 00:49:11,322
      where climate change
 is likely increasing the risk

872
00:49:11,357 --> 00:49:15,260
or probability of certain types
   of extreme weather events.

873
00:49:15,294 --> 00:49:18,263
           NARRATOR:
     Climate models suggest
         that overall,

874
00:49:18,297 --> 00:49:22,100
    the number of hurricanes
         might go down.

875
00:49:22,134 --> 00:49:25,570
   But the ones that do form
  could be even more powerful

876
00:49:25,604 --> 00:49:27,172
      than they are today.

877
00:49:27,206 --> 00:49:30,975
What all the models and theories
       seem to agree on,

878
00:49:31,010 --> 00:49:33,111
at least globally at this point,

879
00:49:33,145 --> 00:49:35,647
     is that the frequency
  of the very high intensity,

880
00:49:35,681 --> 00:49:38,750
    Category 3, 4, 5 events,
         should go up.

881
00:49:38,784 --> 00:49:42,487
           NARRATOR:
      Hurricanes are giant
         heat engines,

882
00:49:42,521 --> 00:49:45,924
   fueled by evaporation from
 the warm surface of the ocean.

883
00:49:45,958 --> 00:49:49,661
Once a hurricane gets revved up,

884
00:49:49,695 --> 00:49:51,496
     a warmer climate means
        more evaporation

885
00:49:51,530 --> 00:49:54,416
     and a stronger storm.

886
00:49:54,467 --> 00:49:56,101
            EMANUEL:
       If you look at the
    most powerful hurricanes

887
00:49:56,135 --> 00:49:59,170
 on the planet, they have winds
        near the surface

888
00:49:59,205 --> 00:50:01,940
  of about 200 miles per hour.

889
00:50:01,974 --> 00:50:04,709
        It's conceivable
 that a hundred years from now,

890
00:50:04,744 --> 00:50:07,545
   the top ranking hurricanes
     will have wind speeds

891
00:50:07,580 --> 00:50:10,749
  of, say, 220 miles per hour,
 about a ten percent increase.

892
00:50:10,783 --> 00:50:13,651
           NARRATOR:
       That may not sound
        like very much,

893
00:50:13,686 --> 00:50:15,353
  but as wind speed increases,

894
00:50:15,387 --> 00:50:18,957
 the potential for damage rises
         exponentially.

895
00:50:18,991 --> 00:50:20,992
            EMANUEL:
       So you're talking
        about something

896
00:50:21,026 --> 00:50:24,229
that's half again more damaging
    than current hurricanes.

897
00:50:24,263 --> 00:50:27,031
  That's what we worry about.

898
00:50:30,236 --> 00:50:32,771
           NARRATOR:
         Bigger storms.

899
00:50:32,805 --> 00:50:36,608
          Higher seas.

900
00:50:36,642 --> 00:50:40,812
  Is a retreat from the water
          inevitable?

901
00:50:42,181 --> 00:50:43,581
             JACOB:
        In many places,

902
00:50:43,583 --> 00:50:45,984
     it will be absolutely
          inevitable.

903
00:50:46,018 --> 00:50:49,053
       Florida is doomed.

904
00:50:49,088 --> 00:50:52,357
   Not today, not next year,
        not next decade.

905
00:50:52,391 --> 00:50:57,729
 But 200 years from now, there
 will be one big swimming pool.

906
00:50:57,763 --> 00:51:02,133
           NARRATOR:
     So does it make sense
to invest in expensive projects

907
00:51:02,168 --> 00:51:05,503
    like beach renourishment
        year after year

908
00:51:05,538 --> 00:51:08,606
    to protect a way of life
  that may not be sustainable?

909
00:51:08,641 --> 00:51:10,542
            VIETRI:
    It makes a lot of sense

910
00:51:10,576 --> 00:51:12,510
    to put sand on the beach
    in Rockaways right now.

911
00:51:12,545 --> 00:51:14,846
 But I would not suggest to you
     that 30 years from now

912
00:51:14,880 --> 00:51:17,749
 or 35 years from now that that
might still make a lot of sense.

913
00:51:17,783 --> 00:51:22,253
           NARRATOR:
     And does it make sense
     for federal taxpayers

914
00:51:22,288 --> 00:51:25,123
 to subsidize flood insurance,
    an incentive for people

915
00:51:25,157 --> 00:51:29,627
      to build and rebuild
   right on the water's edge,

916
00:51:29,728 --> 00:51:31,062
       in low-lying parts
         of New Jersey,

917
00:51:31,096 --> 00:51:34,532
    where 30,000 businesses
           and homes

918
00:51:34,567 --> 00:51:37,602
   were damaged or destroyed
           by Sandy?

919
00:51:37,636 --> 00:51:40,938
      Or in Broad Channel?

920
00:51:40,940 --> 00:51:43,041
Premiums here have skyrocketed.

921
00:51:43,075 --> 00:51:48,813
 Dan Mundy worries it could be
a mortal blow to his community.

922
00:51:48,848 --> 00:51:50,915
             MUNDY:
       These are workers
   that you're talking about.

923
00:51:50,950 --> 00:51:53,084
        These are people
    who get on the A train.

924
00:51:53,118 --> 00:51:54,352
   They go to work every day.

925
00:51:54,386 --> 00:51:56,921
       They make $80,000.

926
00:51:56,956 --> 00:51:59,057
   They make $90,000 a year.

927
00:51:59,091 --> 00:52:00,558
   They can just about afford

928
00:52:00,593 --> 00:52:02,527
     to pay their mortgage
          and whatnot,

929
00:52:02,561 --> 00:52:05,530
 and you bring these increases
          in on them,

930
00:52:05,564 --> 00:52:07,732
 that's going to be a problem.

931
00:52:07,766 --> 00:52:10,368
           NARRATOR:
 Not an easy problem to solve.

932
00:52:10,402 --> 00:52:12,337
       And it's just one
        of many dilemmas

933
00:52:12,371 --> 00:52:15,573
in the wake of megastorm Sandy.

934
00:52:15,608 --> 00:52:18,176
             MUNDY:
      When we got our back
          to the wall,

935
00:52:18,210 --> 00:52:20,011
      America can respond.

936
00:52:20,045 --> 00:52:22,313
   And this thing is so big,

937
00:52:22,348 --> 00:52:23,581
    and it's going to affect
            so much,

938
00:52:23,616 --> 00:52:25,383
    and it's going to affect
     so much of the economy

939
00:52:25,417 --> 00:52:26,417
     of the United States,

940
00:52:26,452 --> 00:52:29,520
 that this is the game changer,
          right here.

941
00:52:31,690 --> 00:52:34,459
     We have an opportunity
     after these big events

942
00:52:34,493 --> 00:52:35,894
    to really think broadly.

943
00:52:35,928 --> 00:52:37,695
       We shouldn't waste
      those opportunities.

944
00:52:37,730 --> 00:52:41,132
Because there's an event bigger
than Sandy out there, I'm sure.

945
00:53:10,729 --> 00:53:13,698
        <i>This</i> NOVA <i>program</i>
      <i>is available on DVD.</i>

946
00:53:13,732 --> 00:53:19,037
  <i>To order, visit shopPBS.org,</i>
     <i>or call 1-800-play-PBS.</i>

947
00:53:19,071 --> 00:53:21,706
     NOVA <i>is also available</i>
     <i>for download on iTunes.</i>

948
00:53:24,476 --> 00:53:21,706
          Captioned by
   <font color="#00ffff">Media Access Group at WGBH</font>
        access.wgbh.org


