好的 欢迎来到训练室 Okay, welcome to the training room.
我们要来个闪电回合 And we're gonna do a lightning round
今天的说法是 快速 快速开火 today that is, quick, rapid fire.
给我个符号 我就告诉你我的看法 And give me a symbol, and I'm gonna give you my take on it.
可能会找到5到10个符号 还有马克 他也在这里 所以他也会给你们一些符号 Within probably, it's finding me five or 10 s and Mark, which he's also here, so he'll give you his take on some symbols too.
我们现在就开始 So we're going to get started right away.
人们可以随时进入房间 输入符号 People can come into the room at any time and enter symbols.
当然 我们可以走这么长时间 所以我不确定我们是否能得到所有的东西 Of course, we're going to be able to go so long, so I'm not sure if we're going to get to everything.
我们就从这里开始吧 Uh, so let's start off here.
等一等 让我先把它设置一下 Hold on. Let me just set this up so I get it out of my way.
我看图表 So I go to the chart.
好了 开始吧 X-E-L All right, here we go. X-E-L.
第一个符号是X-E-L 什么都没有 The 1st symbol is X-E-L, and nothing's coming up.
最后一秒 我再试一次 Well, last 2nd, I try that again.
好了 这是公用事业股 There we go. Yeah, so this is a utility stock.
我很清楚这一点 I'm well aware of this one.
它在底部 你看 它今天在这里被分解了一点 在体积上 这是我不喜欢看到的 It's in a base of And you see, again, it's breaking down a little bit here today, which on the volume, which I don't like to see.
我们今天看到了一些个股 特别是船运股 We've seen a few names today, a breakdown, particularly the shipping stocks.
还是公用事业股 我看到很多公用事业股正在上涨 So again, it's utilities stock. And I see a lot of utilities stocks setting up right now.
但我想 我想离这条路远点 But I-I would, uh, I'd stay away from this way here.
让我看看 你有什么 Let's see, what have you got?
A-F-N-F-G-N-F-G嗯 看起来很不错 A-F-N-F-G-N-F-G um. It looks pretty good.
你知道 它的表现非常好 You know, it's been out performed pretty good.
但公用事业 燃气分销 还有公用事业股 But again, utility, gas distribution, another utilities stocks.
你们在买这些公用事业股票 So you guys are picking up these these utility stocks.
CNX是另一个 C NX is another one here.
我有点喜欢 C NX I kind of like um.
有点卡住了 但油很浓 It is wedging up a bit, and but the oil's very strong.
我差点就信了 I came very close to buying this.
我想我们有这个 让我把这个放在胆汁上 这周或上周 I think we had this, let me have this on biler um um as a this week or last week.
我不确定警报列表现在是不是很混乱什么都找不到 但我们确实有这个警报列表 I'm not sure the by alert list is so pig now and losing track of everything, but we did have this, um by alert.
嗯 看起来还是不错的 Um. And again, it looks good.
我是说 这里的时间有点长了 I-I mean, here it's a bit extended up a couple days.
嗯 我看到 我看到一些人增加了他们的天然气库存 UM, I see, I see some people adding in their natural gas stocks.
嗯 问题是 这些这些股票 我的意思是 也许它们在为集体行动做准备 KM I Um thing is, again, these these stocks, I mean, maybe they're setting up for a group move.
但是 UM就公共事业而言 我很抱歉 But, UM as far as the utilities are concerned, I'm sorry about utilities.
也许他们在准备集体行动 Maybe they're setting up for a group move.
但我 我可能不会去追公用事业 Um, but I-I just, I'm not going to probably be chasing utilities.
的帮助 马克 你怎么看公用事业股以及一些对利率非常敏感和经济衰退类型的股票 Help. Mark, what do you think of how utility stocks and some of these, you know, super interest rates sensitive and recession type of names?
是的 我只是 一般来说 我觉得现金 你知道 它更好 呃 我宁愿 我宁愿把我的粉末驱动器留给一些 呃 你知道 更诱人的东西 Yeah, I just, generally, I think cash is just, you know, it's better, uh, I'd rather, just, I'd rather keep my powder drive for something that's a little, uh, you know, a little more enticing.
是的 当然 现在 当然 你知道 这里的很多石油名字都是中国的 所以 嗯 我不知道这是否会像 呃 发货人一样 你得到这个后期后期的举动 它是显而易见的 然后他们来硬的 Yeah, absolutely. Now, of course, you know, a lot of these oil names are all Chinaman in here, so, um, I don't know if this is gonna turn out like, uh, the shippers, where you get this late later stage move, and it gets obvious to everyone, and then they come in hard.
你的名字越好听 Um, the better names you got.
HBK这是今天出现的一个标志 HBK Here is one of the symbols breaking out here today.
所以 是的 这里有圣经 你知道 当然是圣经 So, yes, bible here, you know, certainly Bible.
呃 但是 像B-V-T这样的股票 你知道 一些真正的领导者 我认为一些关键的领导者 已经上涨了很多 Uh. But again, you got, like, stocks like B-V-T, which, you know, some of these true leaders that I think were the, some of the key leaders, have already gone up quite a bit.
这已经上涨了 这里有一点 你知道的 高潮的动作 This has run up. This is got a little, you know, climax move here.
呃 被说服了 所以我们会看到 Uh, sold into it. So we'll see.
但是我 我会很小心 你知道 现在追赶一些落后的人 还有名字的范围 But I, I'd be careful, you know, chasing some of the laggers now, and also the extent that names.
啊 让我看看 D-L-T-D-L-T 如果你要输入一堆符号 我就取第一个符号 Ah, let's see, D-L-T-D-L-T. If you're putting in a bunch of symbols, I'm just going to take your 1st symbol.
我们要给每个人机会 We gotta give everybody a chance here.
发生了什么 不会发生什么 What's going it's not coming up.
为什么它没有出现 Why is it not coming up?
让我们再试一次 好吧 我们换个简单点的 Let's try it again. All right, let's try something else easier.
那就这样吧 是的 我的意思是 左边的下降 这看起来有点奇怪 There you go. Yeah, as you I mean with this, this decline over here on the left side here, this is a bit funky looking.
呃 我没看到任何真正的嗯 是的 我现在会远离这个 Um, I don't see any real Um, yeah, I-I would stay away from this at this point.
你知道 这是一个 两个收益一直在这里 在上个季度越来越弱 You know, this is one two Earnings have been coming in here and getting weaker this last quarter.
估计是在减速 我不确定 Estimates are are decelerating, I'm not sure.
但这些股票已经走了很长一段路 But this, this, these stocks have come a long way.
嗯 它只是没有设置脆的嗯 Um, and it's just not set up that crisp um.
我给你们举几个例子 嗯 I'll give you a couple. Um mark.
U-T-H-R这里 你觉得怎么样 U-T-H-R here. U-T-H-R So what you think of that?
嘿 有你的 这是完美的 Hey, there's for you. That's perfect.
当然 我喜欢最近的相对强度 Uh, well, sure, I'll love the most recent relative strength.
我现在手头有点紧 I just a little short right now.
你可以试着放这首歌 但我们有什么发现 You know, you could try and play this, but what do we got?
七个 七天 还没强到可以逞英雄 Seven? Seven days? Not strong enough to be a power play.
所以我想 我想看到更多关于主元的信息 So I would, I would want to see a little more of a of a pivot.
是的 它在上升 即使你回到1点58分 这里 呃 它上升了50% Yeah, it's going up. Even if you take it back to this 01:58, right here, uh, it's going up about 50 %.
所以这还不足以成为一场权力游戏 但可以肯定的是 你知道 这显示了一些力量 So it's not strong enough to be a power play, but certainly, you know, showing some strength here.
有些人会说它在变弱 所以我猜你知道 And, uh, some people would say it's flagging, uh, so I guess you know it.
这确实是一种很好的眼光来发现这里有一些力量 It certainly is a good eye for something that's gotten some strength here.
我正在看的是LVL-U 它在这里非常强大 LV L-U is one that I'm looking at, which is pretty powerful here.
我想看看这是否会带来一场强大的游戏 未来会有很大很大的收益 And I'm trying to see if this will maybe put in a power play, a big, big, big earnings here going forward.
而且在零售集团也很强势 And and this, and strong in the retail group too.
让我们看看 我们将结束V-E-E 它爆发为昼和蹲 Let's see, we're going to end V-E-E, which broke out to day and squat.
你见过很多深蹲吗 You ever seen a lot of squats?
嗯 所以这个便宜的区域 我是说 我知道你在看什么 Um. So this cheap area. I mean, I can see what you're looking at here.
至于一个便宜的地方 我想说这不是最好看的名字 As far as a cheap area, I would say this isn't the best looking name.
嗯 挺有趣的 有点 这里太紧了 Um, it's a little fun. It's a little um, being so tight here.
你也可以看到 你可以看到50天的下降趋势 You can see also, you see how the 50 days a little bit of a down trend.
所以就有了我所说的角度D警告 So you do have what I call an angle D warning.
嗯 你知道 我想看到在那个手柄阶段 有那个枢轴面 Um, you know, I would like to see a shake out in that, in that handle phase, with that pivot face,
那张床单 它飘下来的地方有苦味 你得到一个抖出来的日子 那将是一个更完美的 that sheet, where it drifts down a bitter, you get a shake out day, that would be a little more perfect.
像这样直着走有点让人担心 你知道 虽然我在这方面很固执 Just going straight sideways like this is a little bit concerning, you know, being I'm being a real stickler here, though.
当然是我们的CMT 我有点后悔没有买这个 Our CMT, of course. This is one that I kind of regret not buying.
事实上 我买了这个 有一次被拦了出来 I was actually, I bought this and got stopped out one time.
嗯攻击 非常强大 但现在 当然 它是在无人区 我当然不会没有在这里追逐它 Um attacking. Very powerful. But now, of course, it's in No man s Land, I certainly wouldn't be no chasing it up here.
但是非常非常强大 这就是你们知道的名字 markRichie But super, super powerful. And this is the type of name that you know, mark Richie.
事实上 你也参与了吗 Matter of fact, were you in this?
马克吗 你参与了吗 我不是 Mark? Are you in this? I am not.
不 我是这个 如果你仔细看 会发现它还不够紧 No, I this one. Just if you look, it just didn't get quite tight enough.
你知道 它很宽 You know, it was pretty wide.
很明显 如果你几周前在那里买了20个 你可能还能继续用 但它不够紧 Obviously, if you'd bought through 20 there a couple weeks ago, you you might have been able to stay with it, but it just wasn't quite tight enough.
是的 它也有点不稳定 但它看起来很强大 这是一个好名字这是你想要参与的 Yep. And it was a little bit volatile too, but it looks really strong, and it's a good that's the kind of name you want to be looking to get involved in.
嗯 这是世界摔跤 我想让它在右边收紧 它好像卡住了 然后离开了我 Um, this is a World wrestling W-E-I was looking for it to tighten up over here on the right side, it sort of just wedged up and got away from me.
所以现在 如果它能回到这里 可能会形成某种类型的 呃 回到这里 也许到6364附近的爆发 我可能会感兴趣 但我不打算在这里追它 So now, maybe if it can pull back here and maybe form some type of, uh, pull back by or something, where it comes back down, maybe to the breakout around the 6364 area, I might be interested, but I'm not going to chase it up here.
让我们来看看 啊 嗯 N-O-L-N 我一直在看这个 好几次都在考虑买它 Let's see. O Well, N-O-L-N. So I've been watching this, and I've been considering buying it a couple times.
我上来的时候差点就买下来了 I almost bought it coming up here.
它裂开了 我没有买 It gapped and I didn't buy it.
现在 嗯 是的 我是说 这是一个很大的基地 And now, um, yeah, I mean, it it's a big base.
看起来很不错 我的意思是 它看起来很不错 It looks pretty good. I mean, it looks pretty good.
所以你你可以买这个 Uh, so you you could buy this.
这里爆发了 不是我最喜欢的 但是特斯拉 我知道 我不会碰特斯拉的 It was breaking out here. Not my favorite, but, yeah, but Tesla, I-I know, I wouldn't touch Tesla.
你呢 你买特斯拉 How about you, you buying Tesla?
其实我是想买辆车 但不是买股票 Um, I'm actually looking at buying a car, but not the stock.
好吧 不 不 是的 等他们的车更酷了 我就买一辆 Okay, no, no, yeah. When their cars are cooler looking, then I'll I'll buy one.
我认为这是一个现象级的产品 只是现在不是一个好股票 Got it, when they get I think it's a case of phenomenal product, just not a good stock right now.
是的 没错 这是一个完美的例子 你知道 一个伟大的公司并不总是能创造出一支伟大的股票 Yeah, exactly. This is a perfect example of, you know, a great company doesn't always make a great stock.
伟大的产品并不一定造就伟大的医生 A great product doesn't always make a great doctor.
记住 在可口可乐里 你知道的 永远都是死的 Remember, in Coca Cola, you know, went dead for for for eternity.
当然 它也是世界上最伟大的产品之一 And it's, of course, one of the greatest products worldwide.
品牌哦 所以 我 你知道这里 嗯 在儿童节以下的48个相对强度 Brand Um. So again, I, you know this here, um is 48 relative strength below the children day.
所以我不明白你为什么要问我一只违背我原则的股票 So not sure why you'd ask me a stock that defies my own rules.
但是 我不会 我不会碰那个 But, um, I wouldn't, I wouldn't touch that.
让我们看看 C-N-Q-C-N-Q 嗯 是的 所以再跌一只石油股票 Let's see, C-N-Q-C-N-Q. Um, yes. So sink another oil stock.
所以 我的意思是 我宁愿在23号的时候就在这里买 So, I mean, I would have preferred to buy it right here on the 23rd.
05 23 就在这里 更紧了 05:23, right there, it's staying tighter.
这可以工作 我的意思是 超强的亲缘力量 嗯 你知道 所有的油现在都起作用了 This could work. I mean, super high relatives strength, um, you know, all the oils are working right now.
让我把他们聚集在这里 Let me just gather their gathering steam here.
所以我不知道我们是否会在这里遇到一个吹脸 它会把他们都吸进去 或者 你知道 这些落后的人是否会 呃 呃 试图突破 然后逆转 So I don't know if we're going to get into a blow off face here, where it's going to suck em all in, or if, you know, some of these laggards are going to, uh, uh, try to break out and then reverse.
但是 你知道 我在这里会更小心一点 但是你肯定你想用热的手 你知道 一直用热的手 直到它不起作用 But again, um, you know, I be a little, a little more careful here, but you certainly you want to go with the hot hand, you know, stay with the hot hand until it doesn't work.
是的 还是石油 石油 石油 对吧 KM I Yeah, again, oil, oil, oil, right?
我们听到的就是这些 是石油吗 That's all we hear. Is oil?
基本上都是一样的答案 你知道吗 Basically the same answer for all these You know?
我的意思是 它们都是石油 I mean, they're all the oil.
石油集团就像半集团 The oil group is like the semi group.
它们有无数个 有这么多股票 There's a zillion of them. There's so many stocks.
所以你会看到 嗯 你知道 很多名字 So you're going to see, um, you know, a lot of names.
我们会提到很多名字 We're gonna pick up a lot of names here.
再说一遍 我不会在这里买 只是 我觉得有更好的名字91个亲戚 实力 Um, you know, again, I wouldn't buy it here, you know, it's just, I think there's better names 91 relatives, strength.
小组里还有更好的名字 There's better names in the group.
从市场来看 我认为综合评级可以达到87 Um, for looking at, you know, at markets, I think can see composite rating of 87.
这真的很糟糕 因为它很糟糕的原因是因为这是最强大的团队 That's really lousy. Because the reason why it's lousies because this is like the strongest group there is.
它的综合评级为87分 And it still, as it has a composite rating of 87.
这意味着股票没有那么强势 收益和股票本身 如果你看BBT 你会看到 综合评级是99 或者 你知道 更好的股票会有更高的综合评级相对较低 你知道 So that means the stock is not that strong, the earnings and the stock itself, if you look at something like a BBT, you're going to see, like, a composite rating of 99, or, you know, the better stocks are going to have those higher composite ratings quite a relatively low, you know.
我的意思是 我会交易91 但如果有其他股票设置了98 我宁愿 I mean, I will trade a 91, but when there's other stocks that are setting up letter 98, I'm gonna rather.
我宁愿选择不强的相对强度M-E-R-C I'd rather go with the no stronger Relative strength M-E-R-C again.
如果你在这里买的 就在这个小作弊区 你知道 我可以看到一个箱子里的制造 If you bought it right here, off this little cheat area, you know, I could see a make in a case.
这是一个早期的转弯 doby 所以这只是开始出现 所以你还没有真正进入上坡 It's an early turn, doby, so this is just starting to turn up, so you haven't really gotten into a an uptrent here.
这是只纸面股票 四倍收益 It's a paper stock, four times earnings.
这是另一个完全不同的区域 如果你愿意的话 我通常会开车进去 This is sort of a whole another, you know, area, if you will, then I normally would traffic in.
但是我们有通货膨胀和石油生产和商品 嗯 你知道 也许这些 你知道 这些深层的周期性在这里起作用 你知道 深层的镰刀 或者钢铁 报纸 你知道 石油黄金 这些都是股票 But with the way we have with inflation and with oil working and commodities, um, you know, yeah, maybe the these, you know, these deep cyclicals work here, you know, deep, deep sickles, or the steels, the papers, you know, oil gold, that are stocks that
都是基于基础商品 你知道 铜库存可能会根据铜价来生产铜线 诸如此类 are based on underlying commodities. Um, you know, copper stocks that might make copper wire based on underlying copper prices, things like that.
我知道我的标志 你要远离 呃 你知道 像我一样 主要是 你要远离 呃 商品类型的名字 或者 I know my mark, you stay away from the, uh, you know, like me, mainly, you stay away from the uh, commodity type names, or,
或者像石油名称之类的东西 or certainly like the oil names and things like that.
你在这些问题上认输了吗 Are you thrown in the towel at all here on any of these?
随着时间的推移 我今年训练了一些选手 他们看起来非常非常棒 And getting on, I've, I've trained a few this year, when they look really, really good.
有一件事我想说 我注意到 我认为你最好在低空的床单上买这个 The one thing I would say I've noticed, I think that you're better off you just highlighted buying this off the low sheet.
我还是觉得你最好从低骗点的地方买 I still think you're better off buying these off the low cheat.
还有你们在油区洒水的人 And those you guys spashing the oil area.
如果你想在这些落后的股票涨到新高的时候买入 我认为这是一个潜在的陷阱 If you're tempted to buy these laggards as they're going into new highs, I think that's potentially a trap.
是啊 既然他们已经来过了 对吧 Yeah, now that they've been now, right?
我的意思是 你想弄得很明显 对吧 I mean, you want to get kind of obvious, well, right?
当这些 你知道 有时我不知道什么时候收益是相反的 And when these, you know, where, sometimes I don't know when the the earnings are inverse.
你只是需要更加小心 这意味着一旦大的销售额和收益摆在桌面上 You just have to be more careful meaning once the big sales and earnings are on the table.
有时在这些镰刀中 最好的部分往往是在接近尾声的时候 Sometimes in these sickles, that's when the best part of the move is often near the end.
记住 当我第一次进入能源领域时 我开始看好能源 它就在这里 Keep in mind, remember when I 1st got into the energy area, and I was getting bullish on the energy, it was right here.
我们就在那里买了Axelee We actually bought the Axelee right there.
当然 卖得太早了 但从那以后我换过很多名字 Um, of course, sold it way too early, but I've traded a bunch of names since then.
嗯 这就是 真正令人惊奇的是这几乎是在市场顶部爆发的 我们非常非常接近SNP顶部 完全相反 Uh, so that's where. And and the really amazing thing is this this broke out quite almost to the day at the market top, and we're just very, very close to where the SNP top here and went completely inverse.
随着市场的调整 石油价格开始回升 As the market is corrected, the oils have rally.
所以 嗯 这可能是 你知道 石油破裂是市场触底的迹象 So, um again, it may be, you know, oil breaking is a sign of the market bottoming.
可以看出 整个时间都是相反的 It could be seen as it's been inverse the entire time.
但我们现在已经走了很长一段路 我们在这里有了一个扩展 所以我肯定会 再次强调 要小心 But we've come a long way now, and we've got an extended here, so I-I would definitely, again, be careful with that.
哦 氧 我看看 哦 X-Y 对 Oh, oxy, let's see, oh, X-Y, yeah.
再说一遍 我们有一些奥施康定 这个在后面 So again, you know, we own some oxy and, um, this was back here.
这是一场权力游戏 如果你还记得我说过的话 它被广泛接受了 It was a power play. If you remember I said that, it's very widely followed.
我想 你知道 虽然这是一场权力游戏 我们想要玩它 它可能 它肯定会有一些随机的行动或鞭打你 And I thought, you know, although it was a power play, we want to play it, that it could, it could definitely have some random action or whip you around.
事实就是这样 从那以后 你知道 要想进入股市就有点困难了 除非你在股市出现回落时买入 你知道 我不会在这里追逐它 That's exactly what happened. And since then, you know, it's been sort of tough to get on board, except if you buy a pull back as it turns up, you know, here, I wouldn't chase it up here.
我不会在这里买 就像大多数石油公司一样 I wouldn't buy it here, like, like most of these oil names.
我不会在IBM I'm not gonna buy while IBM.
1984年之后我就没听过了 I don't think I've heard that since 1984.
嗯 让我想想 曾经 蓝色巨人是股票 Um, let's see, at one time, big Blue was the stock It was then.
他们在华尔街常说 你永远不会走错 永远不会输掉你的钱 输掉你客户在IBM的钱 They used to say on on Wall Street, you can never go, you can never go wrong losing your money, losing your client's money in IBM.
就像 我们嘿 我告诉你 和IBM的人 和世界上最好的人 It was like, we Hey, what I tell you, with what IBM man with what the best there is.
这是200天的下降趋势 So, yeah, so this is, again, it's in a 200 day in a down trend.
你知道吗 这里没有上升的趋势 You know, there's no up trend here, um?
所以在股价上涨之前 我是不会的 So I-I wouldn't be until the stock is in and up tread.
这连个早转都没有 This doesn't even have an early turn.
我们还没到200天的时候我要求提前一个月的时间 We're not even were the 200 days up for the the one month that I require for an early turn.
所以 我肯定不会买入任何下跌趋势的股票 也不会做多 So again, I would definitely not be in any stocks or long that are in down trends.
还有 你知道 马克 你知道 有些人认为 你知道 我们 你知道 也许我们会作弊 我们有时会违反约定 U-F-C-S And, you know, mark, um, you know, some people think, you know, that we, you know, maybe we cheat and we go off that reservation at times.
但是 我的意思是 在你过去交易的所有股票中 你知道 在12年之后 你 你知道 回报率是成千上万 成千上万 赚了数百万美元 But, I mean, out of all the stocks that you traded in the last, you know, in twelve years since, you, you know, returned thousands and thousands and thousands and thousands of percent, made millions of dollars.
你的肺有多少比例处于下降状态 How what percentage of your lungs were in a downtrack?
嗯 几乎没有 在赢家中 可能一个也没有 Uh, almost none. And of the winners, probably absolutely none.
对吧 我的意思是 我们说的是陆地或其他大冬天 你知道吗 Right? I mean, we're talking lands or other big winters, you know?
对 我是说 也许是加密货币之类的 你可以购买 它可以引导失败者 我不知道 Yeah, I mean, maybe crypto or something, you buy, and as it ducts the losers, I don't know.
或者 你知道 时不时地 就像这样 Or, you know, every now and again, something like that, like that.
基于去年的硬币 我们玩的很低 但那是一个早期的新问题 你知道 对的 还没有移动 Coin based last year, we played it in a really low but that was a early new issue, where the, you know, right, hadn't moved yet.
但是 平均来说 几乎没有 But, again, on average, almost none.
是的 九个 99% 98% 我的几乎什么都没洗 除了 硬币 对 就像这样 Yeah, nine, 99 %, 98 %. Mine is bathed pretty pretty much none, except, like, a coin base, yeah, like that.
同样 如果是I-P-O 我们没有趋势 但我们仍然要求它 呃 向上移动 让我们看看C-E-L-A 呃 实际上是u Again, if it's an I-P-O, we don't have the trend, but we don't, we still require it to be, uh, moving up, let's see C-E-L-A, uh, actually, u.
f 呃 看到我们吗 嗯 F. Uh? See us here? Um.
再一次 你知道 你正进入这个大逆转 So again, you know, you're coming right into this big reversal here.
你可以从这里开始买 You could have started buying it right here.
我不会在这里买 然后在这里追 Um, I wouldn't buy it here and chase it up right here.
如果你拥有它 它没有做错任何事情 所以我不会再出售它 If you own it hasn't done anything wrong, so I wouldn't sell it again.
这是一个较早的转弯 所以你才开始出现在这里 所以你并不是在上坡 It's an early turn, so you're just starting to turn up here, um, so you're not really in an uptrent.
现在 你可以想 你知道 你想早点进入 这很好 但通常 当你看到这些早期转弯 除非整个团队都在早期转弯 嗯 你是流行的 Now, you can think, you know, you're trying to get in early, that's fine, but usually, when you see these early turns, unless the whole entire group is in early turns, um, you're pop.
你可能在一个懒汉 You might be in a lackard.
你知道 如果有其他的股票已经进入了上升趋势 那些是引领者 而你 你是落后者 You know, if there's other stocks that are already moved up into up trends, those are the leaders, and you're, you're in the laggards.
所以你要小心点 So you got to be careful with that.
首席执行官H对吧 嗯 还是那句话 我不会买下跌趋势的股票或者低于200日的股票 CEO H right? Um? Again, not gonna not gonna buy something that's in a down trend or below the 200 day.
所有的行动都在200天之内 所以那绝对不可能我们不可能达到我们的标准 All this action is below the 200 day, so that's definitely not gonna make our not gonna make our cut.
让我们看看 H-U-N 这个碳氢化合物 Let's see, H-U-N. So that one C-H-N?
是的 我们在看这个标记 你记得吗 Yeah. So we were looking at this mark, you remember?
这是我们都在谈论的事 This is one that we both were talking about, um?
你得到了那个 你得到了那个便宜的区域 你现在是怎么做的 And you got that, you got that cheap area there, how do, what do you make of this now?
现在 现在它摆动了 Now that, now that it's wiggled
在吗 是的 它需要一个巨人 也许是后援 around? Yeah, it needs a titan, maybe backup.
我的意思是 看 如果它通过3713 你可以 我喜欢昨天的反转 好衣服 I mean, look, if it comes through that 3713, you can, I like yesterday's reversal, good clothes.
嗯 我想说 是的 这是 你知道 用扑克藻 也许是一对十之类的 Um, I would say, yeah, this is, you know, to use poker algae, maybe a pair of tens or something.
我不太会玩扑克 但这可能是普通的牌 对吧 Uh, I'm not a poker player, but that's probably an average hand, right?
不是 不是a 我这么说吧 Not. It's not aces, I'll put it that way.
它具有潜在的可玩性 这也是化学领域 It it's potentially playable. It's also the chemical area.
我不喜欢3月中旬销量下降 I don't like that volume break back in mid march.
如果你把这条线划到37 你就能分辨出阻力最小的线 You can tell the line of least resistances, if you draw the line through 37.
左边仍然有相当数量的供给 There's still a decent amount of supply there to the left, right?
是的 当你看到这个小的 你会看到双重反转 向下反转 向上反转 两件衣服彼此靠近 Yeah. And when you get this little you see the the double reversal you get, you get a reversal down, reversal up, and the two clothes right near each other.
如果我能建立一个反转恢复 我通常在真空中做的 我用那个低点作为止损点 因为它应该能保持 I if I could set up and then get a reversal recovery, what I normally do in that little situation right there in a vacuum, I use that low for the stop because it should hold.
嗯 这是我能给你的唯一信息 如果你想 从这里开始输入 Um. So that's, that's the only thing I can give you on that, if you want to, you know, enter that turning up from here.
G-L-N-G 是的 所以 再一次 你知道 这爆发了 G-L-N-G, yeah. So, again, you know, this broke out.
这是相当高的相对强度 This is a nice high relative strength.
当你有像BPT这样的东西取得了巨大的进步时 它并没有取得多大的进步 It hasn't made much progress here when you've got something like a BPT that's made tremendous progress.
所以 它有点滞后 你知道的 So, um, it's lagging a bit, you know.
再说一次 如果你想交易这个 我的意思是 它正在拉回突破 但它的表现不是很好 And again, if you want to try to trade this, I mean, it's pulling back to the breakout, but it's not acting very good.
虽然它的抗拉强度很高 Uh, it is has this high RALTED strength, though.
所以 你知道 有时你会得到这些股票的相对强度超高作为标志 我总是说 你知道 这是高alpha的股票 它们不会真正走向市场的鼓手 So, you know, sometimes you'll get where these stocks that have those super high relative strength as mark, and I always say, you know, this is the high alpha stocks, and they're not really going to march to the drummer of the market.
他们活在自己的世界里 They're sort of in their own world.
有时它们太过沉浸在自己的世界里 以至于它们甚至不向群体进军 Sometimes they're in their own world so much that they actually don't even march to the group.
你会遇到很多曲折 即使是在一个群体中有一些股票表现很好 然后你会想 当明智的时候 这个群体表现很好 它是滞后的 And and you get a lot of zigzagging, you know, even among the group where you have some stocks in the group do well, and then you would think, when wise, and this one doing well, it's lagging.
但实际上 它的相对实力达到了99 在很短的时间内翻了一番 你不能称之为落后者 But actually, with a 99 relative strength and running up, you know, doubling here in a short period of time, you can't really call it a laggard um.
所以 这可能仍然有效 So again, this may still work.
它可能仍然有效 再说一遍 你的手是热的 It may still work. Again, you're running with the hot hand here.
让我们来看看 哦 去 去 是的 你知道 是的 你知道 今天很多股票 嗯 你知道 试图出来 我们看到l-r-n 我的意思是 我对此非常惊讶 Let's see. Oh, go, go. Yeah, do, you know, yeah, again, you know, a lot of these stocks today, um, have, you know, try to come out, we saw L-R-N-I mean, I was, I was very surprised at that.
可以说 这是高尔夫球的日子 Engulfed, put, have been golfing day.
幸运的是 你知道的 我们 我们对这些名字很熟悉 或者严格控制止损点 或者尽量减少损失 Um, luckily, you know, we're, we're up on some of these names, or keeping tight stops, or keeping losses as small as possible.
但是这里有一点 你知道 今天有一点担心 就你所知 事情是如何运作的 But here's a little bit of, um, you know, a little bit of concerned today, as far as you know, how things were acting.
但是 只要不是全面下跌 我们仍然有很多股票保持坚挺 表现正常 But again, as long it's not going across the board, we still have a lot of stocks that are holding up and acting normal.
但是今天 我认为 第一天 正如我发布的 第一天 我们看到 你知道 一些压力 你知道 我今天感到一些压力 嗯 和 和受到一些打击 But today, it was that, I think, with the 1st day, as I posted, the 1st day, where we saw, you know, some pressure, you know, I was feeling some pressure today, um, and, and getting knocked around a bit.
嗯 再一次 你知道 这是最好的表现 你逆转接近的方式 在低点 不 相当大的一天在这里 Uh, so again, this, you know, this enacting the best here, the way you had this reversal close, right on the low, no, pretty good sized day here.
我是的 你必须 我从一开始就不太喜欢它 I yeah, you have to. I wasn't too uh, fond of it in the in the 1st place.
现在有了这个 你知道的 我必须看着它 看看接下来几天会发生什么 And now with this, you know, then I have to watch it and just see how what happens the next couple of days here.
W-R-B呃保险 我所看到的 你知道 这里的设置 从你们进入的简单的投递箱 大量的石油运输公司 保险公司 公用事业公司 很多这样的名字 W-R-B UH Insurance. So what I've seen, you know, set ups here, and from looking at what you guys are entering into the simple drop box, tons of oil shippers, uh, insurance companies, utilities, a lot of these names.
所以我们真的处在一个非常 你知道 我们在70年代的环境中 你会得到完全的不增长感谢增长是死的 这不是最健康的事情 但谁知道呢 So we're really in a very, you know, we're in that 1970s type environment, where you're getting a completely non growth thanked growth is dead, which, you know, is not the healthiest thing, but who knows?
你知道 经济增长在很长一段时间内一直处于领先地位 而且有一些世俗的大主题 我们可能不得不有另一个人们不习惯的主题 You know, growth was leading for so long and had these big themes that were secular that we may have to have another theme that people are just not used to.
当他们看到的时候 你知道 哇 这就是主题 Em by the time they see, you know, wow, this was the theme.
你知道 太晚了 已经都已经发生了 You know, it's too late. It's already all it's already happened.
这就是为什么我想买那些刚刚冒出来的股票而不是 你知道 屏住呼吸 然后说 嘿 我要让股票指引我 That's why I'm trying to buy the names that are just breaking out and and not, you know, hold on my breath here, and just saying, hey, I'm just gonna let the stocks guide me.
这看起来还可以 So this looks okay, you know.
我的意思是 如果你拥有它 我会持有它 你知道 我不认为我会在这里买它 但我会 如果你拥有它 我会持有它 呃 A-J-N-G之类的 I mean, it, it's, um, if you own it, I would hold it, you know, I don't think I would buy it here, but I would, if you own it, I would hold it, uh, something like A-J-N-G.
我一直在看J-N-J-J-j我一直在看这个 I've been watching J-N-J-J js Um, I've been watching this.
嗯 你知道的 收入 你看 收入 症状很低 Um, you know, the earnings, You see, the earnings are, symptoms are pretty low.
嗯 关于收入真的没什么好写的 Um, really nothing to write home about earnings here.
所以相对强势在过去的一周或几周 表现明显不如之前 So relative strength in the last a week or a couple weeks, it's been underperforming pre dramatically.
是的 我想可能还有更好的药名 87 Yeah, I think there's probably better drug names.
你现在想知道什么药的名字吗 Uh, and and, uh, you want any drug names right now?
马克吗 我拥有一家生物科技公司 但不需要专门的药物 Mark? Uh, I own, um, some biotech, but not need drugs specifically.
然而 简·杰 这更像是 你知道 就像蓝筹股一样 防御性很强 And yet, jane Jay, that's more like, you know, it's like a blue chip, pretty defensive.
我觉得费瑟看起来更好看 这就是为什么 我们拥有费瑟 I think Fiser looks better, you know, and that's why, you know, we own fiser instead.
它的收益更大 当然 他们已经出来了 It's got bigger earnings. Of course, they've come out.
实际上 我的一个朋友生病了 在工作的时候吃了科尔伯特药丸 神奇的是 24小时内就感觉好多了 They've been the covied drug And the for actually, a friend of mine just got sick and took the Colbert pill at work, amazingly within 24 h which was feeling way better.
这太好了 嗯 嗯 我自己没用过 但我听说过 So that's great. Um, um. I haven't used it myself, but that's what I've heard.
呃 所以 你知道 我认为这是一个更好的研究名称 但它仍然是一个大的基础 Uh. And so again, you know, I think this is a better look at name, uh, but still, it's a big base here.
在这一点上 它没有太多的上行动力 It doesn't have much upside momentum at this point.
G-P-R-K-G-P-R-K-G-P-R-K 是的 它又从这里的一个基地出来了 G-P-R-K-G-P-R-K-G-P-R-K. Yeah, it's just come out of a base here again.
油 油 油 油 我们听到的都是石油 对吧 Oil, oil, oil, oil. It's all we hear is oil, right?
我的天 这么多油的名字 My God, so many oil names.
也有不同的名字 So, and there's all different names too.
所以这是一个很大的群体 嗯 再说一次 这真的 你知道 没有多少上升的趋势 So it's a big group. Um, again, this is really, you know, not in a much of an up trend.
所以我觉得你又要和一个落伍者合作了 So I think you're, I think you're going with a laggard again.
洛杉矶 洛杉矶 现在 有很多关于落后名字的问题 看起来是这样的 La. LA. Now, a lot of questions about lagger names, it looks like here.
我总是说c-e-l-h-我想我们已经提到过了 Um, I always said about C-E-L-H-I think we mentioned that already.
Biddia 是的 这是一个下降的趋势 我相信每个人都想拥有Biddia 你知道 dinah拥有这些秸秆 亚马逊和苹果 但你在购买时要非常小心 因为它是一个伟大的股票 它是一个伟大的公司 它下跌了 你会陷入其中 然后你可能真的表现不佳 或者真的受到重创 And Biddia, yeah, again, this is in a down trend, and I'm sure everybody wants to own And Biddia, you know, dinah owned these stalks and Amazon and Apple, but you just got to be really careful with buying just because it was this great stock, and it's a great company, and it's down, you get caught into that, then you could either get into really under performance or or really get hammered.
你知道 我知道人们认为这些股票是不受影响的 我无法想象 就像 一个人在推特上和我打赌亚马逊不会下跌35% You know, I know people think these stocks are impervious, like they go, I can't imagine, like, the guy who bet me on Twitter that Amazon wouldn't go down 35 %.
嗯 三年后 现在的跌幅比那大得多 Um, in three years. It went down much more than that now.
我看到了一个又一个周期 当时没有人想到quallCom和微软以及其他公司 And and I've seen back cycle after cycle where no one thought quall Com and Microsoft and all these other names at the time.
你知道 90年代 哦 等等 他们可能会下降6070%80% You know, the nineties and oh, wait, that they could go down 6070, 80 %.
真正的问题是 趴下 And the real thing is, stay down.
我的意思是 股票调整是一回事 每个人都说 太好了 他们下跌了 I mean, it's one thing for a stock to correct, and everybody says, oh great, they're down.
还有业余的人在海底捕鱼 And the amateurs going there in bottom fish.
接下来 你知道 他们涨了百分之百 At next thing, you know, they're up a hundred percent.
但我也见过他们几十年都没见过 But I've seen them stayed out for decades, you know.
这不仅可以追溯到我自己的经验 还可以追溯到我研究过的领导者 追溯到70年代 你知道 当时 施乐 80年代 数码设备 雅芳产品 宝丽来和所有这些股票都风靡一时 And this goes back to, not in just my own experience, but studying leaders that have topped, going back to the seventies, uh, you know, when, uh, xerox, and, uh, the eighties, digital equipment and Avon products and Polaroid and all these stocks that were all the rage.
你必须拥有它们 它们永远不会下降 You had to own them. They were never going down.
他们拥有最伟大的管理和商业模式 They had the greatest management and business model.
他们都超过了他们 他们中的许多人已经不在我们身边了 And they all topped them. Many of them aren't even with us anymore.
让我们看看这里 下面这里 Um, let's see here, down here.
让我们从这个开始 我们把它拉下来 这样我就能看到这里 Let's start with that. We just stretch this down so I can see here.
是吗 所以 再次C-D-R-E 马克 你对今天的行动有什么看法 Yes? So, C-D-R-E again. Mark, what do you, what do you make of this action today?
你知道 这是 呃 你知道 我们仍然 我今天刚刚在推特上说 你知道 我们只差12天 你知道 这里的裸市低点 You know, it was, uh, you know, and we're still, I just tweeted today that, you know, we're only twelve days off the, you know, off the bare market low here.
不是说 你知道 我们有很多证据表明我们已经触底了 It's not like, you know, we've got a whole lot of evidence that we bottomed.
嗯 我们来的很早 你知道 有一堆名字 但是 嗯 我确定你不是 你知道 我的意思是 看起来 看起来他们可能提交了这个 我不知道 但看起来他们也有一个私人股票发行 所以这可能是股票受到冲击的原因 Um, so we're in here really early, you know, loading up on a bunch of names, but, um, I'm sure you're not, you know, I mean, looks this, looks maybe they submitted this, I don't know, but looks like they had a private stock offering too, so that's maybe why the stock got hit.
但是 是的 我的意思是 这是绝对避免现在 But, yeah, I mean, this is definite avoid right now.
是的 我的意思是 你知道 这太不稳定了 Yeah, I mean, this is, you know, this is too much volatility.
现在 这支股票的走势是 一开始是波动的 Now, this stock is acting so and this was volatile to begin with.
我是说 唯一能买到它的地方 是05 25的时候 我一直在看 我考虑过 但我想看看它能不能 它能不能收紧一点 处理供应 I mean, the only spot really to buy this, that we would buy it was here on 05:25, which I was watching, and I considered it, but I wanted to see if it could, it could tighten up a bit and handle the supply.
你看 就在这里 就在26号 26号变化层 你知道 这是它在这里颠簸了很长时间的地方 See, right across here, right across the 26th, 26th change level, you know, that's sort of where it's been bumping for a long time here.
嗯 而且 你知道 那就等于直接买进了 Um. And, you know, that would have been buying right into it.
这一切都太诡异了 And it just, it's getting too squirrelly here.
这是一个 嗯 我在寻找ipo This is one that, UM, I'm looking for Ipos.
对不起 我在找Ipos 我喜欢在股市调整后买入ipo股票 Sorry, I'm looking for Ipos. And I love to buy Ipos off of a correction.
我找不到多少人 And I'm not finding, you know, many.
你知道 我唯一真正找到的 是那些 你知道 我在这里买的 非常 非常少 The only one that, you know, that I'm really finding are the ones that, um, you know, that that I I've bought here, and very, there's very few, um.
我想告诉马克的另一件事是 根据我的经验 这样的股票 会对你的股票感到好奇当他们在这样的首次公开募股中进行二次发行时 它的表现并不好 根据我的经验 The other thing I would just add to Mark is when a stock like that, in my experience, would be curious to get yours when they when they issue a secondary on an IPO like that, and it doesn't act well, in my experience.
尽你最大的努力离开 Your best just to get out.
是的 我看到有一段时间有一种趋势 或者说是一种主题 Yeah, I've seen for a while there there was this, um, this trend of, or sort of a theme of where.
现在你可以看到 有这样一个主题 在这些交易中有很多特别的红利这些 这些分割 And right now you're seeing, like, there's this theme of, like, a lot of, uh, a special dividends in these deal these, uh, these splits.
顺便说一下 我刚分了两份 一份20 这可不是什么好兆头 I-I amzine just split two, by the way, 20 for one, which isn't the greatest sign.
但是 当你看到你的时候 你会看到这些ipo But, um, when you see you, you get these ipos.
然后他们马上就出来了这就是为什么有时候你必须要小心 And then right away they put out that's why you have to be careful sometimes.
当ipo做得很好时 嗯 马上就开始了 六个月 十二个月后 他们开始发行更多的股票 他们开始发行二级股票 这是不明智的 你知道 如果他们如果他们太快考虑 When the ipos doing really well, um, right off the hop Six months, twelve months later, they start putting out more stock, and they start issuing secondaries, which is not smart, you know, if they if they weigh on it too quickly.
但我也见过他们会在几个月内做三次 你知道 你知道 一个接着一个 But I've seen where sometimes they'll do three of them in like, you know, just a few months, you know, one secondary after the next.
所以 我同意你的观点 So, yeah, I-I agree with you.
如果它处理得很好 特别是在生命周期的早期 它是 If it handles it well, particular early on in in the life cycle, it's
这无疑是一个更好的迹象 对吧 certainly a much better sign, right?
我们能做C-N-C-N-K吗 不 我们没有做C-N-Q Um, can we do C-N-C-N-K? No, we did not do C-N-Q?
哦 我们做了N-C-N-Q 是的 抱歉 D-E-N Oh, we did do N-C-N-Q? Yes, sorry, the D-E-N?
是的 看到了吗 你知道 你看到的是落后的股票 你知道 这是先生 当你有一个股票 呃 你知道 b-p-t-我就这样卡住了 然后你看到的是 d-e-n-我的意思是 你真的是一条在桶底的鱼 Yeah. See this? You know, again, you're looking at laggards here, you know, this is sir, when you have a stock like, uh, you know, B-P-T-I got stuck like that, and then you're looking at something like, D-E-N-I mean, you are really fish in the bottom of the barrel.
最重要的是波比和20个亲戚的谈话加强了这个组织 And I would say the bottom is poppy's talks with 20 relatives strengthened this group.
但是 你知道 你当然 你知道 在较大的类别 嗯 你知道 这不是你想看的地方 But, you know, you're certainly, you know, going in the lager category, um, you know, this is not where you want to look.
你可能会说 你知道的 那些非常强势的股票 他们都涨了 而且延续得很好 本 And you might say, well, you know, the the stocks that are really strong, they're all up and extended well, ben.
所以这告诉你什么呢 直到你在团队里要小心 你可以得到一些帮助来赶上进度 And so what does that tell you now, Until you got to be careful with the group and you could get some use to play catch up?
你当然可以 但是要知道你是落伍者 You certainly could. But just be aware that you're in the laggards.
他们通常不会采取这么大的行动 虽然有时他们会假装 不 吸进去然后回到你身上 They usually don't make nearly as big of a move, and though sometimes they'll fake out, no, suck in there and then come back on you.
只是还没有动力 And just don't have the momentum yet.
让我们再看看I-R-T-C 然后进去 Let's see I-R-T-C again, then go in.
I-R-T-C99相对强度是啊 我们当时在看这个把这个列入了观察名单 现在还在看 I-R-T-C 99 Relative strength. Yeah, we were looking at this and and had this on the watch list and still watching it.
嗯 它 当然 看起来这里的交易有点清淡 Um, it. It certainly looks like it's trading a little thin here.
UM 没有盈利 当然都是亏损了很长很长很长一段时间 UM, no earnings, of course, all losses for a long, long, long time.
你知道 医疗公司 显然 嗯 你知道 这当然是投机性的 我会说 你知道 我会等着看它是否能收紧一点 You know, medical company, obviously, um, you know, it's certainly speculative, I would say, you know, I would wait to see if it can tighten up a bit more.
如果它收紧 市场可能会疲软一段时间 然后从那里爆发 If this could tighten up, and maybe the market's weak for a little bit, and then breaks out from there.
你当然可以交易它 但这里看起来交易很清淡 所以我要小心一点 You certainly can trade it, but it looks like it's trading thin here, so I just be a little bit careful with it.
我会 我会把它放在我们值班的地方 I'll keep, uh, I'll keep that on our watch.
让我们从这个标记中看到积极的一面 每周都有国防机构 Uh, let's see one positive in that one mark, really the weekly there does look like there's defence institutions.
一个非常正的体积 那里有很多蓝条 A very positive volume. A lot of blue bars there.
对 这个机构要追溯到3月22日 然后你要回溯 可能一直到这里 因为那是 那是那份报告的几个月之后 Yeah, the institution just goes back to march 22, and then you have to backdate that, probably all the way to here, because that's, that's months and months late that report.
这些机构从77年到04 39年 大概是这个峰值 So that those institutions going from three 77 to 04:39, it's probably in this spike right here.
我指的不是资金 I wasn't referring to the funds.
我只是在看那些蓝色的条形图 戴上大卫·瑞恩的帽子 每周 但是每周的交易量分析 我们要找的是成交量标记 I was just looking at all those blue bars, putting my David Ryan hat on in terms, yeah, weekly, but weekly volume analysis, where we're looking what markers looking for is volume markers.
在那里 看起来超级干净 There. It's it looks super clean.
绝对没有任何卖点 这是一个很好的迹象 There's absolutely no selling whatsoever. And that's a great sign.
他有九 九雷顿的力气 And he got a nine, nine relton strength.
所以 所以 它在一个上升的趋势 所以 是的 当然 你知道 你应该把你的购物帽子放在这里 并寻找枢轴 So so, and it's in an upturn, so, yeah, it's certainly, you know, you should put your buying hat on here and look for the pivot.
但我实际上指的是这里 But I'm, I'm actually referring to over here.
基金的数量从377增加到04 39 The number of funds have gone up from three 77 to 04:39.
你再看一下三月的日期 嗯 你知道 这是回溯的 嗯 And again, you look at the date as of March, uh, you know, that's going back, uh?
这里的三月在哪里 现在你得回去 你知道 三到六个月 Where is March over here? And now you got to go back, you know, three to six months.
你可能是从这里看到的 You're probably looking at that's from here.
他们就在这里挤来挤去 这很好 We they piled in right here, which is good.
这是个好迹象 但是 它并没有说 就像最近发生的那样 所以你必须看看发生了什么 你知道 那些数据 It's a good sign. But it's, again, it doesn't say that, like that was recent, so you have to see what's transpired post uh, you know, that data?
好吧 让我继续 Um, right, let me move on here.
我的天啊 我刚看到还有184只股票 Um, B-T-I-B-T-I, holy cow. I just saw that there's a hundred and 84 more stocks.
好吧 我们不会全部讲到 这是肯定的 All right, we're not going to get to all those, that's for sure.
嗯 是的 是的 烟草 嗯 烟草 Um, yeah. So, yeah, tobacco, um, tobacco.
此外 他们还看到了一些在烟草行业设立的名字 Also, they've seen some names that have been setting up in tobacco.
我会回到第二届Uvbs 另一个烟草行业 表现得更强一些 I'll come back this and 2nd Uvbs, another one in tobacco, acting a little bit stronger.
但是 是的 我是说 我看到了各种各样的防御团体和公用事业 你知道的 这真的是一种非常不同的混合 But, yeah, I mean, I'm seeing all kinds of defensive groups and utilities, and, you know it, it really is A-A very different mixture here.
嗯 所以我仍然认为我们要小心 从我们看到的名字来看 Um. So I still think we've got to be careful, just from the type of, you know, names that we're seeing.
我不知道 马克 你知道 我想这里有一个64000美元的大问题 这是我们处于一个空白市场 我们已经进入了周期性波动 这将是周期性的 或者这是一个新的范式转变 我们将看到这类公司成为领导者 你知道 在下一个周期中 I-I don't know, mark, you know, I guess the big $64000 question here is, is this sort of where we're in a bare market, and we've got in the cyclical move that's going to be cyclical, or is this a new paradigm shift here that we're going to see these type of names be the leaders, you know, through this next cycle.
你知道 我的意思是 我知道 你知道 我们不认为我们会 你知道 交易什么设置 You know, what do I mean, I know, you know, we don't guess we're just gonna, you know, trade what sets up.
但是你知道你从交易行为中感受到什么 你知道 它与石油有关 我的意思是 我认为这是非常强劲的 但肯定是由石油价格决定的 可能是长期的 But you know what you're feeling from just seeing the trading action, you know, it with the respect of oil, I mean, I see that as being very strong, but certainly being being dictated by oil prices, probably longer term.
我们对此有什么想法吗 We have any thoughts on that?
是啊 我是说 就像你说的 我喜欢不用太聪明就知道的优势 你知道的 这有点让我困扰 Yeah, I mean, like you said, I like the advantage of not having to be smart enough to know, you know, it just sort of bothered me.
我们跟随行动 至于烟草 你知道 这是我通常会避免的一种 因为 即使你看这些图表的历史 即使他们建立了良好的轴心 你知道 他们有点波动 你知道 We follow the action. As far as tobacco, you know, that's normally one I would just avoid, just because, even if you look at the history of some of these charts, even when they set up good pivots, you know, they're a little choppier, you know.
我的意思是 你不会在每件事上都有大的变动 即使是一月份的一个很好的变动 你知道 1213%的变动 I mean, you never get big moves on everything, even a nice move it had there in January, you know, that's what, a 1213 percent move.
你知道 这不是 你知道 我想 我想在2到3天内 在一个好的股票中 获得12到13%的收益 而不是 你知道 2到3个月 You know, that's not, you know, I want, I want to be able to grab twelve to 13% in two or three days, in in a good stock, not, you know, two or three months.
男人 这里没有真正的针作用 Man. There's just no real real pin action here.
如果你 如果你愿意 If you, if you would, um.
所以 是的 我同意 我会 我会离你远点 So, yeah, I agree. I would, I would stay stay away.
你知道 问题是 当你选择这些类型的名字时 如果你选择 嗯 你知道 一个周期性的名字 或者名字 你知道 通常不是最大的赢家股票的名字 And, you know, thing is, chosen when you get into these type of names, if you get into, um, you know, A-A cyclical type name, or name that, you know, is not generally where the biggest winning stocks come from.
我想要完美的 你知道 我想要一个完美的组合 I want perfect, you know, I want, like a perfect setup.
我想要的一切 我真的希望它刚好 你知道 就像 我说过那样的话 I want everything. I really want it to be just right, you know, like, I said something like that.
最近建立的一些石油名称 其中BPT是完美的 你知道 几乎是最好的 Some of these oil names that are recently set up, where where BPT is, like, perfect, that's, you know, pretty much as good as it gets.
它是多么强大 不错的基地 很棒的团队 How strong it was. Nice base, great group.
嗯 我们看一下 E-X-T-N-E-X-T-N呃 我们的价格很低 Um. So let's see here, E-X-T-N-E-X-T-N uh, we have low price.
你知道 在石油领域 我喜欢你对骗子的分析 And, you know, again, in the oil area, coming off of a cheap I like your analysis of the cheat.
这是对作弊的正确分析 That's, that's a correct analysis of the cheat.
但你有一个6美元的股票 你在这里有一些供应 你知道 这是拟议中的合并 But you've got a $6 stock, you know, you're running some supply here it it's, you know, it's so under proposed merger over here.
我不知道那之后发生了什么 但它一直在提议合并 So I don't know what's happened since then, but it has been under proposed merger.
如果这仍在发挥作用 一些言论肯定会损害与之不相符的股票 And if that's still in player, some talks that certainly could hurt the stock of something that doesn't go right with that.
O-N半是 我还没见过任何一场半决赛有这么多的动作 Um O-N semis um. I haven't seen really, any semis really setting up that much.
你呢 马克 我一直在的半导体小组你终于来了吗 How about you, mark? Is this semiconductor group I've been you finally coming up?
半小组有什么进展吗 Anything coming up in the semi group?
现在还没有 我的意思是 我今天会说 看 如果你能把它放进去 你知道 它有一个不错的相对力量 就它的表现而言 你知道 但现在还没有办法 Not much right now. I mean, I run through today, this would be one I would say, look, if you can put in it, you know, it's got a decent relative strength as far as the, you know, how it's acting, but there's just no way of it yet.
不 不要放在右边 No, not to put on the right side here.
也许你建立了正确的一面 Maybe you build the right side.
另外 你看 你从这里进来 你可以看到供给 你可以看到反转 这里 这里 这里 你真的 你已经转开了 现在 你知道 这周 你已经从63美元转到6660美元7美元 Plus, you see, you come in right here, you can see the supply, you see the reversal here, here, here, here, you really, you've turned away, and now here to, you know, this week, you've turned away from this, uh, 63 change up to about, you know, 6660 $7.
所以我不想相信 So I don't want to buy into that.
我不想相信这种说法 And I don't want to buy into that.
我想要一个漂亮的右侧形状 让它干涸 收紧 成交量下降 给我一个信号 市场上的供应停止了 I want to get a nice right side form, have it dry up and get tight and the volume come down to give me an indication that that supply is stop coming at the market.
这可能是个名牌市场 Well, this could be a name market.
这是你把它放在第二或第三级观察名单上的地方 因为 你知道 也许市场会后退 而这个几乎不会后退 你会得到一个漂亮的小轴心 This is where you just put it on a 2nd or 3rd tier watch list, because, you know, maybe the market pulls back, and this barely pulls back, and you get a nice little pivot.
这是一个需要警惕的目标 This is one to keep on radar.
它可以制造手表 是的 可以制造维勒 但是它可以制造手表 This would make watch, yeah, would make viler, but it would make, it would make watch.
N-T-C-T 于05 19在反转中诞生 N-T-C-T. Born in reversal on 05:19.
那么它一定在5号在哪里 um, so that must be right over where's that five?
05 19哦男孩 好吧 我要去哪 05:19 Oh boy. All right, where am I going?
在这里吗 在这里 就我所知 是的 我是说 我想说第二天 5点20分是你应该买的那天 Here? Right here. Of all I can I see, yeah, um, I-I mean, I would say the next day, 05:20 was the day you should have bought.
05 19太早了 即使它能起作用 我还是会等它进到里面 然后开始向上移动 05:19 was too early. Even though it worked, I still would have waited until it went inside and then started moving up.
但现在 你知道 这在这里被打败了 我的意思是 我现在已经出局了 But now, you know, this getting clobbered here, I mean, I would be out now.
我早就醉了 I'd already be out of it.
当然 一旦它回到这里 放在这个小窗台上 我没有在这里卖 我希望我可以 And certainly once it comes back here and puts in this little mini ledge here, I didn't sell right here, I wish I would.
但在这种情况下 在这里 当它回来时 你现在 你知道 你没有失去任何东西 But in this case, here, as it's come back, you're now, you know, you haven't lost anything.
没有得到 就没有失去 我只要收支平衡就行了 Nothing gained, nothing lost. I would just break even on it.
不 这不是演戏 它现在表现得不太好 No, it's not acting. It's not acting great at this point.
我记得 我们在做我记得这里有几件我做了复制 Um, A-T-I do, we were do A-T-I-I remember got a couple here that I duplicates.
嗯 a t 哦 这不是这是钢 Um a. T. Oh, say this isn't this is steel.
所以 是的 当然 你知道 这已经 我们 我们把它作为一个 你知道 嗯 我打破警报和潜在的打破在这个小轴心 So, yeah, of course, you know, this has been, we, we put this out as a, you know, um, I break out alert and potential break out here in this little pivot.
但是你在左边有补给了 But you are coming to some supply on the left side.
当然 当你作弊时 你总是会进入左边的供给 Of course, when you have a cheat, you're always coming into some type of supply on the left side.
所以我们试着确定它 So we try to ascertain it.
嗯 你知道 这里有点奇怪 它在 它在这个 你知道 这个钢铁区 你知道 前一段时间 它就像 嗯 新车 Um, you know, again, it's a little squirrely here, it's in, it's in this, uh, you know, this steel area, you know, back a while back, it was like, uh, new car.
其中一些名字是建立起来的 但是这个 这个组织是分散的 And some of these names, these were setting up, but this, this group is sort of fragmented.
我不认为这是 像石油一样这是一个强大的团体行动 这里发生了什么 And I just don't see this as like, like the oils where this is really a powerful group move, that something's going on here.
这就像是在权衡谁是领导者 This just seems to be like kind of trading off who's the leader?
所以我不太喜欢这个小组 And so I'm not really too fond of this group.
也许你可以换一下 atti Maybe you can trade it, atti?
也许是可以交易的 如果在这里很合适的话 是的 Maybe tradeable, uh, if it sets up here perfectly, um, yeah.
如果g是另一个效用呢 他说 当然是煤气公司 And if g another utility? Uh, says, of course, gas utility.
我不会为此烦恼的 And I wouldn't be bothered with that.
就像W-A-V的杰西·莱弗莫尔曾经说过的 如果你如果你不能在主要股票上赚钱 那么市场就很糟糕 As W-A-V Jesse Levimore once said, you know, if you if you can't make money in the leading stocks, um, you know, then then the market's bad.
我想尼尔可能会这样解释 I think, oh, neil might even paraphrase that.
我也发现了同样的情况 比如 如果你 如果你在领导身上赚不到钱 那你可能就迟到了 Um, I-I found the same thing, like, you know, if you're, if you can't make money in the leaders, um, then you're probably late, you know.
然后 你知道 这并不意味着 你知道 他们敲响了钟 或者 在牛市开始时 第一批起飞的股票 And then, you know, it doesn't mean that, you know, they ring a bell, or, know, at the beginning of a bull market, the 1st stocks to take off.
如果你不这样做 你就不能交易其他股票 因为你会看到我说的主要股票 If you don't, if you don't get on those that you can't trade other stocks, because you're gonna see when I say leading stocks.
你可以拥有从低点大幅上涨的股票 它们的范围太广 但它们建立了另一个基础 You can have stocks that have gone up big off the lows, and they're too extended, but then they build another base.
还有一些最初的名字表现得很好 而不是像这样的名字 S-W-A-B 同样 它在这里刚刚进入200天 就是它 and there's still those initial names that are really acting well, as opposed to something like this, S-W-A-B, which, again, is just coming into the 200 day here, it's it.
没有上升趋势 你知道 这绝对不符合我的标准 在一个空荡荡的市场中相对强势 There's no up trend. You know, this just would never, you know, meet my criteria 82 relative strength in a bare market.
当你在一个回调或裸市的时候 我想选择相对强度最高的市场 因为你看这里 看这里所有的下降趋势 When you're in a in a in a correction or a bare market, I want to go with the highest relative strength, because you see this right here, see all this down trend right here.
这让我们的股票有机会在强劲的道路上一路高歌猛进 This gives us stock the chance to rack up a high road of strength.
如果它不下降 If it doesn't even go down,
它所要做的就是减少 all it has to do is go down less
比市场走平 还是相对的 than the market, or go flat, and the relative
力量线将会上升 相对的力量数将会提高 strengthline will go up and the relative strength number will improve.
这很简单 这就像在做简单的比较 So it's very easy. It's like going against easy comps.
我称之为简单的相对串补偿 所以在熊市中 你得到了一个简单的补偿 I call it easy relative string comp So in the bear market, you've got an easy comp.
你所要做的就是不要像市场那样下跌太多 All you have to do is not go down as much as the market.
当你看到相对强势表现不佳 市场下跌时 那就像是 它甚至没有达到最低要求 And when you see the relative strength isn't performing well and the market it is down, well, that's like, it's not even minim- meeting the minimum requirement.
所以这是我通常会远离的地方 And so that's where I-I will usually stay away from that.
嗯 那么 M-G-P-I 是的 我的意思是 你知道 它 它 它 再次 它是有关的 嗯 这个可以做这些 这些逆转可以自己纠正 Um, so, M-G-P-I, yeah, I mean, this is, you know, it, it's, again, it's concerning, um, this could do these, these reversals could right themselves.
它们必须要放进里面 你知道 袜子必须要放进里面 在里面呆上一两天 然后反转恢复 They're going to have to go inside here, you know, the socks will have to go inside, stay inside maybe a day or two, and then reversal recovery.
所以今天是一个转折点 你知道 有一些这样的名字 有alR-N嗯 有航运公司的突破 有一些这样的名字 试图突破 但不能突破 So today was a shot across the bow, you know, with some of these names, with al R-N um, with the break in the shippers, with some of these names, trying to break out, and can't break out.
这是一个 嗯 你知道 这是一个小小的船头射击 This was a, um, you know, this was a little shot across the bow.
我们现在要看看事情是如何发生的 And we have to see now how things transpire.
当你第一次开始的时候你在船上装了一堆名字 你不可避免地会被淘汰出局 有时是一半 甚至超过一半 Now, when you 1st start and you and you load up the boat with a bunch of names, and it's you inevitably get knocked out of a handful of them, sometimes half, or even more than half of them.
嗯 拉回 或者你卖一些延长的 Um, on pull backs. Or you sell some extended.
然后你可能 你可能会被钉在一些 你知道 破解 And then you might, you might get nailed on a few that, you know, crack Um.
这是一种正常的标记 This is sort of normal mark.
我的意思是 你看到了这里的一切都发生了什么我们放了这么多空仓 I mean, you're seeing how everything's transpiring here with all these open positions that we put out.
你觉得呢 我以为直到今天 我们都表现得很正常 What do you think? I mean, I-I thought up until today, we were acting really normal.
我印象非常深刻 今天的行动 我想 是第一枪 I was very impressed. Today's action, I think, was the 1st shot.
如果我们 当我们在Monolert运行它的时候 我们会看到 你知道 我想我们会看到的 And if we, when we run it in Monolert, uh, we're going to see, you know, I think we're going to see that.
嗯 还有 实际上 让我把这个提上来 Um, and also, too, actually, let me bring this up here.
1s对吧 汉警觉 好吧 你是说要去看整件事 1 s right? Han Alert. Okay, um, you're talking about to see this whole thing.
但是 我们做了 我们就在这里 看这个角落 你点击那个 你可以在任何地方 在任何地方 在网站的任何地方 你点击这个 你将得到快速 快速检查 But, uh, we did make, we're right here, see in this corner, you hit that and anywhere, you could be, anywhere, uh, on the uh, anywhere on the site, and you hit this, and you're going to get the quicks, the quick check now.
这太好了 所以 再一次 当我们检查单点时 这些是空缺的位置 So that's great. So, again, yeah, when we check the monolert, these are the open positions here.
就看这里 我要看违规情况 Just gonna see here. I want to see see the violations.
是的 看到了吗 你看不到左边的名字 因为我没有全部的东西 Yes, see? And you can't see the name on the left side, because I don't have the whole thing.
这是O-P-C-H 但是我们现在看到的这个 不好意思 This is O-P-C-H, but this we're seeing here now, oops, sorry about that.
我看到这里有一点红色 本来几乎没有红色的 Um, I'm seeing a good little bit of red here, now, which there was hardly any red.
还有一件事 我们增加了 Another thing real quick too. We've added where.
现在 如果你看到 它延长了一年的历史 Now, if you see, it's extended one year history.
我们现在添加的是 当股票延期时 当它超过20天的20%时 它会开始告诉你百分比 So what we've added now is that when the stock gets extended, when it's over 20% of the 20 day, it'll start telling you the percentage.
它会说 比20日移动平均线高出25%这意味着它比20日移动平均线稍长了一些 It'll say, it'll say 25% above the 20 day moving average, meaning that it's getting a little extended from its 20 day.
20天的平均水平 延长了一年的历史 或者非常延长了一年的历史 现在告诉你它的延长是基于它在过去一年中对自己的行为 20 day average. Extended one year history, or very extended one year history, is now telling you its extended based on its action to itself over the last year.
就是这样 这是原来的那个 That's that. That's that original one.
但我们现在增加了第二个 所以你可以有一个绝对的数字 看看它在20天的范围内 然后也在范围内 它在过去几次被延长的地方 But we added the 2nd one now, so you can have sort of an absolute number and see where it is in range to its 20 day, and then also in range to where it's been, where it's gotten extended the last few times.
它回到过去 看起来是一年 然后说 让我看看最近几次这个东西被拉长了 我们离它有多近 It goes back and it looks a year and says, let me look at the last few times that this thing has got extended, and how close are we too?
最近几个高峰的最高水平和平均值 The highest level and the average of the last few peaks.
然后它会告诉你 And then it it'll tell you that.
这两个都得到了 So you're going to get both of those now.
不 我 我应该告诉大家这件事 No, I-I, that's something I should probably let everybody know.
回到这里 好的 让我看看 Um, to go back here. All right, let's see.
你这里每天都有很多事情要做 你不可能一一跟进 You got so many things going on here on a daily basis, can't keep up with them all.
让我看看 阿尔塔 有什么爆炸吗 Let's see, alta, there's any blast on the pass?
这里几点 我们什么时候开始的 What times in here? 41 What time we started it for?
我再来一个 我尽量赶到5点 I'm gonna go for another. I try to make it to 05:00.
呃 让我看看 是的 所以这个 你知道的 它回来了 Uh, let's see here. Yes. So this, you know, this came ripping back.
这让我想起了美元树 This reminds me of of Dollar tree.
多利特也做过类似的事情 好像已经完成了 然后 砰 收入回来了 Dolitry did a similar where broke down, looks like it was done, and then, bang, comes ripping back on earnings.
嗯 是的 让我看看 我们每周唱一曲 Uh, yeah. Let me see. Let's sing a little bit weekly.
这很有趣 不 这很有趣 It's interesting. No, it's pretty interesting.
我一般不会交易这种波动一旦它发生了 一旦它发生了这种波动 除非它真的建立在正确的方向上 而且它真的开始变得很好 I generally don't trade this type of volatility once it does, once it does this type of volatility, unless it really builds that right side out, and it really starts to get quite nice.
但有时你会看到这些吊索图标的弹弓 它们削弱 然后它们撕裂 它们 它们只是继续前进 But sometimes you'll get these sling icon slingshots where they undercut, and then they rip out, and they, they just keep going.
他们可能很强大 嗯 所以我的交易方式是 当它爆发时 交易它 它就会消失 They could be powerful. Um? So the way I would trade this is, as it breaks out, trade it, and it's got to go.
如果它不走 我就会把它拴得很紧 或者等它在右边长出来 If it doesn't just go, then I'm going to keep it on a very tight leash, or wait for it to build out the right side.
怎么做 你为什么不 马克 你有交易过这样的东西吗 How? Why won't you, mark, do you ever trade anything like this?
我喜欢这种奶昔 Is this thing like, I like the shake out.
我也会这么说的 I would have said the same thing though.
我更希望看到右侧收紧一些 但如果我要玩的话 我会收紧得很紧 I-I would prefer to see it tighten up more on the right side, but if I was gonna play it, I'd be really tight
在上面 因为你寄希望于这样一个事实 所有被淘汰的人都会回来买回来 on it. Because you're, you're banking on the fact that everybody who got knocked out there is gonna is gonna come right back in and buy back.
问题是 是的 问题是 波动会导致波动 Well, the thing, yeah, the thing is, too, is volatility begets volatility, you know.
所以 你知道 我们现在的情况很不稳定 So, you know, we're in a volatile situation.
你会看到更多的波动 这是一个很好的机会 You're gonna poppy see more volatility, as a good chance you will.
这就是你要评判的地方 And that's where you've got to judge it.
如果你没有得到波动率 你得到alpha 它从这里开始 你买它 它继续 它继续 这是一个很好的迹象 这意味着这真的很重要 这里发生的一些事情 它在收益上 当然 实际上是重要的 Like if you don't get the volatility, and you get alpha, and it takes off from here, and you buy it, and it keeps, it keeps going, well, that's a great sign, that that's a good sign, that that really, this meant that this really was significant, that something that took place here, it was on earnings, of course, was in fact significant.
所以你要衡量它 So you got to gauge it.
现在 一旦你得到了收益 你要 你要衡量它的价值树 Now, once you get the earnings come out, you got, you got to gauge it dollar tree.
我想说的是 像我们有这样的磁带 我会 我不会倾向于这两种类型的戏剧 I would say, mark in a tape like we've had, I'd be, I'd be less inclined to either of these type of plays.
美元 你知道 这些派 我不玩 我不玩这些 Dollar, you know, these pie I'm not playing em I'm not going to play these.
但是 嗯 但是 再说一遍 一棵美元树 只是为了我的记忆 我知道它看起来很相似 在类似的情况下 它破裂了 But, um, but again, a dollar tree, just for my memory, I knew it looked similar, and in similar situation where it broke.
然后他又开始削减收入 这是一个很大的削减 而且它保持得很好 And then he came ripping back on earnings, and that was a big ripback, and it's held up really well.
这可以工作 这是可行的 This could work. That this could work.
我的意思是 美元树绝对可以在这里工作 I mean, dollar tree definitely could work here.
嗯 它很时髦 但是 嗯 它的相对强度也更高 Um, it's funky, but, um, higher relative strength as well there.
是的 是的 是的 所以这是一个短暂的 短暂的摆脱 Yeah, yep, yep. So it was a brief, it was a brief shake out.
让我们快速看一下周报 Let's see the weekly real quick.
是啊 我是说 看看这个 Yeah, I mean, look at that.
砰 砰 砰 你知道的 而且 你知道 它还在早期阶段 当在这里 我它是 它是 呃 我要看这个 Boom, boom, boom, you know. And, and, you know, it's in an early stage, when uptron here, I it's, it's, uh, I'm going to watch this.
我一直在看娃娃树 我很想知道它会如何发展 I've been watching Doll Tree. I'm interested to see how it plays out.
但是 你看 事情是这样的 But, you see, here's the thing.
是的 你还记得吗 我们姑且这么说吧 Yeah, you remember? Let's just say this works.
好吧 我们见过多少次了 Okay, well, how many times do we see this?
你知道 这是非常非常罕见的 You know, it's very, it's very rare.
所以为什么 为什么要在你的剧本中加入那些罕见的 你不会经常看到的剧本呢 So why? Why enter into your playbook plays that are really rare, that you're not going to see that often?
是吗 好吧 所以时不时地 当你看到这个 你会 你知道 也许你可以打得很好 但我想要做好准备 我想要寻找那些经常发生的事情 我知道我每年会得到很多这样的机会 但这不是其中之一 你知道 Yes? Okay, so every now and then, when you see this, you'll, you know, maybe you can play it fine, but I want to be prepared, and I want to look for the things that happen a lot and happen often have that consistency where I know that I'm going to get a lot of these opportunities every year, and this isn't one of them, you know.
所以我不太喜欢为罕见的事件做准备 除了那些让我崩溃的罕见事件 So I'm not really too keen on preparing for rare events, except for the rare event that it blows up on me.
这是我完全准备好的 That's the one I'm totally prepared for.
让我们来看看 高温超导N-H-D-S-N 是的 所以 当然 你知道 我们在维勒身上有这个 嗯 你知道 它 它表现得很好 你知道 它从这里出来 它有点挤进去 有点像伪权力游戏 嗯 你得 你得把它拉回来一点 Let's see. HTS N-H-D-S-N. Yeah. So, of course, you know, we had this on Viler and, um, you know, it's a, it's acting fine, you know, it came out here, it wedged up a little bit, little inside, a kind of pseudo power play, uh, you got, you got it to pull back a bit.
现在它又回到了新的高地 And now it's getting back into new high ground.
你我是说 你可以今天就买下来试一试 但是 你也知道 你得给它留点空间 You I mean, you could have bought it today and and taken a shot at this, but, you know, again, you're gonna have to give it some room.
因为即使是几天前跌到这个低点 你知道 你已经跌到9美元了 Because even just to get below this low a couple of days ago, you know, you're going down to, you know, nine bucks.
这就是低价股票的问题 你知道 只是正常的 正常的波动 That's the problem with the low price stocks, is that you can, you know, just normal, normal fluctuation.
它们很容易波动1215% They could be fluctuate in 1215 percent easily.
这对我来说是很大的波动 So that's a lot of fluctuation for me.
这样我就会小心使用了 Um, so I-I would be careful with it.
但如果你 如果你拥有它 我就会留下来 But if you, if you own it, I would stay with it.
还是N-O-C 这个群体开始看起来相当不错 N-O-C So N-O-C again. This group is starting to look pretty good.
你知道吗 我们有LMT 我们有这个 我们有A-I-R You know? We got LMT, we got this, we got A-I-R um.
到目前为止 这是正常的 你知道的 今天成交量有点上升 但今天对股票来说是糟糕的一天 So far, this is normal. You know, volume was up a bit today, but today was kind of A-A crappy day for stocks.
如果它再降下来我也不会惊讶 I wouldn't be surprised if it comes down another day, um.
但从那里开始 我要找到它来支撑和建造 然后建造一个支点 你知道 也许建造一个拉臂或把手 But then from there, I've got to look for it to hold and build, and then build a pivot, you know, and build maybe a pull back by or or a handle.
也许我们他们还没拿到因为你一上来 我们就走了 Maybe we they still haven't got it because you came right up, we came right out of here.
也许你还得把右边造出来 Maybe you still got to build that right side.
Lmt是另一个 你知道 同一组 Lmt's another one, you know, same same group.
嗯 上来了 然后把这个放进去放几天 Um, came up here. And then now see this goes inside for a few days.
这实际上提高了 然后我们就得到了一个非常漂亮的主轴 然后把它加起来 This actually improves. And then we get a really nice crisp pivot here, and be adding to it.
如果你没有买 你会第一次买 Or if you didn't buy it, you buy it the 1st time.
在这里 如果市场能保持并且能限制它在这里 Coming out here, if the market holds and and can constrainten up of it here.
莉莉 莉莉演得很好 我喜欢毒品领域 这是我的最爱 Lily. Lily's acting pretty good. I like in the drug area, this would be my favorite.
这是表演 这就是我们拥有它的原因 And it's acting. That's the reason why we own it.
它再次表现得很好 如果你对它做一个单点观察 你看着它 数着日子 我可以通过看它知道 它真的没有任何违反 And and it's acting pretty good again, if you did a monolert on this, and you looked at it, you count the days, I can know just by looking at it, it's there's not really any violations.
这里几乎没有违反 所以我很好奇 There's very few violations going here of any So I'm actually curious.
让我想想 我们会说 喂 Let's see, we'll go, uh, hello?
为什么 是的 看 这里真的没有真正的违规 Why? Yeah, see, there's really, there's no real violations here.
你知道 在15天的第9天 在高点止赎 你需要暂停它 在低点反转它 一个小反转 但没什么 You know, it's at nine on 15 days up forecloses on the high, you got to pause it, reversal it one close on a low, a little reversal, but nothing.
即使是上周 也很少会有三个更低的低点 Even if you go a last week, there's very little you have three lower lows.
现在 当我看到三个较低的低点收在20天以上 那就是回调 对吗 Now, when I see three lower lows close above the 20 day, that's a pullback, right?
所以让我去看看 So let me go and take a look.
让你看看我是怎么处理的 Show you how I handle that.
呃 在哪里 现在 我们就说我掩护了我的孩子 Uh, where is it? Now? We'll call that I covered my uh boy.
好的 嗯 这是三个桂冠 对吧 Okay, uh. So here's the three laurels, right?
你有 一 二 事实上 这里只有两只小龙虾 You got, um, one, two. Actually, there's only two lower lobsters.
我想我看不见 I can't see it, I guess.
对吧 这里是低洛克山 Right? Here is lower lock mountains.
低 两个 三个 对 一 二 三 Low, two, three. Yeah, so it's one, two, three.
就像当你在一个支点的时候 我处理一个拉回 你经历一个自然的反应 Like when you get in it in a pivot, I handle a pull back, you're going through a natural reaction.
这就是为什么我们强调三个更低的低点 因为会发生的是 如果一只股票在积累 有一只基金在那里买入它 他们可能会在这里买入 它上涨了 然后他们退出 因为他们不想让价格上涨 This is why we we highlight three lower lows and more, Because what'll happen is, if a stock is under accumulation and a fund is in there buying it, what they do is they might be in there buying it here right now, it runs up, and they back off because they don't want to run the price up.
他们有 你知道的 一百万股股票要买 所以他们放弃了 They've got, you know, a million shares to buy, so they back off of it.
现在当它回来的时候 他们开始购买 Now as it comes back in, they where they started initiating that purchase.
这是他们愿意购买的地方 That's where they're willing to buy it.
他们愿意 你知道 在这里咬一口 They were willing to, you know, bit it up here.
现在它又回来了 买入应该会回来 在三四个较低的低点时买入应该会很快回来 And now it comes back, that buying should come back in, that buying should come back in fairly soon on three, four lower lows.
如果你过了 一旦你到达四个较低的低点 你就必须你要非常仔细地观察它在轴心点 因为那是它开始起作用的地方 If you get past, once you get the four lower lows, you gotta wa you're watching it really carefully in the pivot points, because that's where it starts to act.
正常的 五个更低的低点 六个更低的低点 现在收在20点以下 That normal. You get five lower low, six lower lows, and now it closes below the 20.
50以下是成交量回升 Below the 50 is volume picking up.
现在这些是违例的 对吧 Now that's those are violations, right?
所以我们出去 我们得到了很好的反馈 So we we out. We're getting a very good feedback here.
在第三个低谷之后 又开始回升 After that 3rd lower low, it's turning back up.
甚至还有这个逆转 现在它撑起来了 留在了里面 现在 你知道 今天撑得很好 Even got this reversal here. And now it held up, it stayed inside, and now, you know, just holding up really well today.
到目前为止 它表现得很好 So so far, this is acting really good.
好吧 我们来看看C-N-X我们说过CNX Okay, uh, let's see C-N-X we talked about CNX.
好的 让我看看LMT Yeah, okay, let me see LMT.
我刚刚讲了LMT 现在又有了一百九十二个符号 So I just talked about LMT, and now there's a hundred and 92 more symbols.
不 显然我们不会讲到这些 No, so obviously we're not going to get to those.
GPC对 这个 我看过这个 GPC Yeah, this one, I saw this one.
这是一个更大的基数 It's a, you know, again, a larger base.
这就是我想说的 Um, see, here's what I was talking about.
记得我说过 股票什么都不用做 或者 你知道 或者跑赢大盘 Member I said, the stock just has to do nothing, or, you know, or to outperform.
看财富是这里的实力线 Look of the wealth is strength line here.
你看 这是因为市场在这段时间进入了那里 这只股票已经横向上涨 所以相对强势线改善了很多 See, that's because the markets come in there in this time, and this stock has gone up to sideways, so the relative strength line improved quite a bit.
太好了 太好了 但现在我们有一个相当大的 有点落后的基础 这只股票已经横盘了很长时间 That's great. That's great. But now we've got a pretty big, sort of laggardish base here, and a stock that's been moving sideways for a long time.
所以这里的突破 嗯 你知道的 适合这个又大又长的基底 So a breakout here, um, you know, would be good with this big, long base.
这是我一直在观察的一个 但它没有动力 你知道 当它低于200并开始在这里游动 就像它在200天移动平均线附近 我开始怀疑它 它没有那种力量 I this is one that I've been watching, but it doesn't have the momentum, you know, when it gets below the 200 and starts swimming around here, like it is around the 200 day moving average, I just start getting skeptical of it, that it just doesn't have that that power.
所以 这是我一直在看的一个 我将继续在这里看 然后再看一次 So, but it is one that I've been watching, and I'll continue to watch here and again.
如果它能在这里爆发 我希望看到它变得更紧 If it can break out here, I would want to see it get tighter, though.
如果能再紧一点就太好了 If it could get tighter, that would be great.
我的我的偏好是市场 如果周末或横盘 这些股票现在开始收紧 嗯 你知道 马克 你的问题是 你仍然留在 你仍然保持你的粉末仍然很干燥 My my preference would be for the market while if it weekends or go sideways, for these stocks now to start tightening, um, you know, mark, your question for you is, you're still staying, you're keeping your powder still pretty dry.
你没有 呃 你知道 我不应该说软件 因为我们实际上做得很好 但是 你知道 你你还没有 在用毛巾的时候暴露太多 You have not, uh, you know, fell for the, I shouldn't say software, because we're actually doing well, but, um, you know, you you haven't, during the towel really putting a lot of exposure on yet.
你需要看到什么才能真正开始 你知道 进入那里 并提高它 What do you need to see to really start, you know, getting in there and ramping it up?
呃 好吧 多一些 多一些我们看到的好的方面的行动 Uh, well, a few more, uh, more the action we've seen on the good side.
所以 这是一个主题 我们已经有了一些名字 甚至在之前的尝试中也起了作用 然后你会得到 a-p-r-c-t 或者今天的a-mPH 你知道 它有很好的行动 对吧 So, and, and this has been a theme where we've had some names, even in prior attempts that work, and then you get sort of like, A-P-R-C-T, or look at A-M PH today, you know, that has great action, yeah?
然后它就把一切都还给我了 And then it gave it all back.
是的 这是 这又是 Yeah. Now that's just, it's again, this.
这是99 在我看来 这是一个潜在的关键领导者 所以我不会卖它 This is a 99. And this, to me, looks like a potential key leader, so I would not sell it.
它 嗯 但是 你知道的 像今天这样的日子也不是个好日子 你知道的 刚好能让你沉浸其中然后一切都有点 你知道的 满嘴胡言 转身就跑 It. Um. But, you know, a day like today is not a, not a great day either, where, you know, just enough to suck you in and then have everything sort of, uh, you know, talk tail and run the other way.
所以 还有一些其他的 你知道 我们 我们只是看到 这是一个混合体 你知道 仍然 我认为 平均来说 事情看起来还是 你知道 他们可能 他们可能解决了 但我们 我们可能有更多的工作要做 所以我 我只是觉得我们需要更多的名字 一些可能更少 So, and, uh, there there are a few others, you know, we're, we're seeing just, uh, it's a mixed bag, you know, still, I think, on average, things are still kind of looking like, you know, they may, they may work out, but we, we may have more work to do, so I-I just think we need more names, and a few may be less.
我的意思是 在这个武器上有多少石油和公用事业的建议 你知道 当每个人都建议 你知道 生物技术 高收益 高相对强度 那你知道 那将是一个更好的迹象 I mean, how many oil and utilities have been suggested on this weapon are, you know, when everybody's suggesting, you know, biotech, high earnings, high relative strength, then you know, that'll be a better sign.
当然 当然 是的 所以我也想指出一些事情 你知道 MarkRichie在这里 嗯 你知道 这是一个人 你看他是多么的保守 Sure, sure. Yeah. And so I also want to point something out, you know, with with Mark, mark Richie here, um, you know, here's a guy who, you see how cons- incredibly conservative is.
你知道 他在这里的大部分时间都非常小心 他总是说同样的话 就像 是的 不 我只是 你知道 不是不投资 只是等待 嗯 你知道 在过去几年的大部分时间里 有几次他说 是的 你知道 我现在正在干扰它 You know, he's really been so careful most of the time that he's on here, he's always saying the same things, like, yeah, no, I'm just, you know, not not to invest it, just waiting, um for, you know, the better part of the last couple of years, there's been a few times where he said, yeah, you know, I'm jamming it now.
嗯 他仍然说 表演得很好 Um. And still he said, great performance.
嗯 而这个人 你知道 变成了 小六位数 十万美元 Um. And this is someone who's turned, you know, a small six figures, a hundred grand.
十多年就赚了两千五百万 It's $25 million over in over a decade.
这就是你要做的 So this is how you do it.
你知道 这听起来可能 你可能会认为那些获得巨大回报的人是超级激进的 You know, it may sound, you may think that the guys who make these big returns are super aggressive.
情况恰恰相反 或者至少是那些赚了大钱却没有损失的人 情况恰恰相反 It's just the opposite, or at least the guys who make the big returns and don't have the draw downs, it's just the opposite.
有一些人 我的意思是 我 你知道 我记得有几个 实际上是几个市场奇才我个人认识他们 他们有巨大的回报 但是当我看到他们在做什么 我发现 好吧 这绝对是有风险的 There's some people, I mean, I, you know, I remember a couple, um, actually a couple of people in market wizards that I knew personally that, uh, were were had huge returns, but and when I saw what they were doing, I saw, okay, well there's definitely risk here.
特别是其中一些 我就不提名字了 它们都被巨大的水淹没了 And a couple of them, in particular, which I won't mention any names, had giant drowns.
你知道的 一架非常非常大的无人机 You know, a big, big, huge drone outs um.
因此 获得高额回报的关键 很大一部分 不是减少取款 So the whole key in making the the big returns, a big part of it, is not getting the draw down.
所以 你知道的 只要保持谨慎 等待你的节奏 如果一切顺利 So, you know, just being cautious and waiting to get your rhythm if things are working.
听着 你有没有做过短线交易 做过波动较小的交易 Look, have you been like, you know, short term trading to, you know, the the lighter swing trading here?
你可能做得很好 我知道有些人会说 哇 这太棒了 You're probably doing great. I know some people are like, wow, and this is great.
我正在做的 还有一些人 你知道 他们做得没有那么好 I'm doing phenomenal. And then there's other people, you know, that aren't doing as well.
这取决于款式 取决于 你知道 如果你卖得很快 很好 Depending on the style, and depending on, you know, if you're selling these things quick at the strength, great.
如果事情进展顺利 你就可以更进一步 If things are working, then you can step it up.
如果不行 那就先别急 If not, then, you know, hold off.
如果你手头只有现金 也不用担心 And if you're just in cash, don't worry.
你会有很多时间的 You're gonna have plenty of time.
你知道的 我猜是12天 在地下休息了12天 并不是离家出走 You know. I guess it were twelve days, twelve days off below, not exactly A-A runaway.
封锁从我们这里逃出来的集会 Uh, lock out rally that got away from us here.
嗯 那是 我嗯 你知道 这是延期了 所以 你知道 你可以试着 你知道 你知道 你可以在某处买这个 你知道 也许在这附近 呃 或者就在这里 呃 25号 让我看看 Um, that's so, I yeah, you know, this is getting extended now, so, you know, you could have tried to, you know, buy this somewhere, you know, maybe around here, uh, or coming out right here on the, uh, 25th, let's see.
VMIbmI有点乱 你知道 这有点 你知道 基数很大 有点乱 右边有点乱 VM I, bm I is a bit sloppy, you know, again, this is sort, you know, a big base, a slop, kind of a sloppy, right side.
我要看一份关于这个的周报 Um, I'm gonna look at a weekly on this.
这有点像GPC 你有很大的基数 所以它可以工作 See, yeah, this is sort of like GPC, where you got that big base, so it could work.
我的意思是 你知道 它在这里 它有最近的相对强度 这意味着它在衰退期间保持得很好 建立了右侧 I mean, you know, it's got right here, it's got the recent relative strength, which means it held up well during the decline, building that right side.
所以我想 你知道 有了GPC 我会把它放在那个类别 并把它放在观察 So I think, you know, with the GPC, I'll put this in that category and put it on watch.
我们将继续观察 看看它是如何发展的 We'll just keep this on watch, and we'll see how it developed.
让我看看 粑粑是过去的爆款 Let's see, A baba is a blast from the past.
我可能不想让人知道 I probably don't want it known here.
嗯 是的 再一次 你知道 这是一个下降的趋势 这是一个回到200天的问题 你知道 很明显 今天有很大 很大 很大的变化 Um, yeah, again, you know, this is in a down trend, and it's a matter of heading back here to the 200 day, you know, obviously, big, big, uh, big move today.
我是不会碰这个的 Um, yeah, I wouldn't touch this.
他说这是因为我不会靠近自己 Uh, says This is the fact that I wouldn't go near myself.
这可能是一些有价值的买家在买这个 但不是我 This is maybe some value buyers are buying this or something, but not me.
我想想 A-E-P 对 另一只公用事业股 Um, let's see, A-E-P, yeah, another utility stock.
所以 你知道 我对这些不是很感兴趣 So, you know, I'm not really interested in these.
N-F-E这是我几天前差点买的 就在这里 6月3号 Um, N-F-E This is one that I almost bought couple of days back, right here on the uh 3rd, on june 3.
我没有 这是一个早期的转折 但确实很不错 I did not. It's an early turn, but it's exactly pretty good.
如果你拥有 我会坚持下去 If you own, I would stick with it.
它今天表现得很好 当我在这里买的时候 我不会在这里买 但我能看到我自己 It held up pretty well today, um, when I buy it right here, I wouldn't buy it right here, but I could see myself.
也许 如果它回落一点 他们给我一个回落 我可能会在两天内买它 Maybe, if it pulled back a little bit, and they gave me a pullback by I could see myself maybe buying it in two days.
嗯方 还有一件 如果你拥有它 它会表现得很好 Um fang. Another one that, uh, this is acting great if you own it.
如果你拥有它 我会坚持持有它 If you own it, I would hold it and stick with it.
或者 你知道的 如果你涨了不少 你可以卖掉一些 再筹钱买你的 Um Or maybe, you know, if you're up a decent amount, you sell some and finance your yours.
停止 但它表现得很好 但我一定会邀请这里 因为它是延期的 Stop. But it's acting fine, but I definitely invite here because it's extended.
这个B-L-T-E的标志 如果不是缺口的话我可能会试一试的 This B-L-T-E um mark. I-I would have, I would have probably taken a shot at this if it didn't gap.
我知道你也在看这个 对吧 I know you were watching this too, right?
是的 这显然 这很单薄 而且是推测性的 Yeah, obviously this. This is real thin, uh, and pretty speculative.
但是 是的 这就是 我想你之前展示过Gogo But, yeah, this is where. And similar I think you you showed that Gogo earlier.
我更喜欢这一个 但你只是想让他们出来干净 I like this one a little better, but where you just want em to come out clean.
现在 在这种环境下 我不打算寻找任何空隙 And right now, in this environment, I'm not going to chase any gaps.
不 不 不 你要非常小心地追踪缝隙 No, no, no. You gotta be real careful chasing the gaps.
再来几个 我就结束了 A couple more here, and I'm gonna wrap it up.
T-C-K挖掘 所以 马克 我已经完全远离黄金股 转向矿业股了 T-C-K mining. So, you Mark, I have completely stayed away from the gold stocks to mining names.
你在爱荷华州和他们在一起 而我没有 You were actually involved with them for Lowa when I wasn't.
我不知道 你呢 你还在追踪它们吗 或者你是否在其中 或者你的意见是什么 I don't know, are you? Have you still been tracking them, or if you've been in them, or what your opinion is?
因为你比我更了解矿工的脉搏 我还没有了解矿工的脉搏 Because you've had your finger on the pulse more than me, I haven't had my finger on the pulse of the miners.
是的 我的意思是 这是我一直在看的一个 你知道 如果你提到G-L-D 你知道 我们有很多人 我想连大卫·莱恩都知道 人们会谈论有一个大杯子在处理 你必须在每周看它 甚至 你知道 所以有人期待某种突破 但它没有发生 Yeah, I mean, this was one I was actually looking And, you know, if you bring up even the G-L-D, you know, on the we're a lot of guys, I think even David ryan's knowing, people will talk about had a big cup in handle, and you got to look at it on the weekly or even the, you know, so there were people anticipating sort of a break out there, and it just didn't happen.
这些名字大部分都已经被遗忘了 And most of these names have kind of fallen off.
所以这是一个例外 So that one is sort of the exception.
还可以 不过我 我只是 现在还有很多工作要做 It's still yeah, but yeah, I-I just, there's a lot of work on those charts for right now.
是的 这和通货膨胀的世界是不一样的 你知道 你有通货膨胀数据 黄金一定会在某个时间上涨 Yeah, it's not the same world where where we're inflation, you know, you have inflation data, and gold is necessarily gonna go up at one time.
你知道 我们在金本位制度下 没有比特币之类的东西 You know, we're on the Gold Standard and things, and didn't have Bitcoin and so forth.
但是 这并不是70年代在通货膨胀的环境下表现得不太好 But again, this is not a seventies not acting very good for an inflationary environment.
我们的通货膨胀率达到了40年来的最高点 而黄金 你知道的 它的相对强度不能超过71 We got, we got inflation at 40 year highs, and gold is, you know, is not able to muster up more than a 71 relative strength.
对我来说 这看起来不太好 To me, that doesn't look very good.
然后你开始说 嗯 你知道 如果你看每周的 嗯 看每月的 你知道 这就是我所说的时间钓鱼 And then you start saying, well, you know, if you look at the weekly, well, look at the monthly, you know, that's what I call time fishing.
嗯 所以我不喜欢时间鱼 Um? So I don't like the time fish.
你会说 好吧 这对交易来说不太好 And you say, well, it doesn't look good on the deal.
让我看看每周的效果怎么样 Let me see if it looks good on the weekly.
我想在任何时候都保持漂亮 所以 嗯 让我想想 I want to look good on all time frames, so, um, yeah, let's see.
好吧 我再来几个 G-R-F-S-G-R-F-S Okay, I'm gonna few more. G-R-F-S-G-R-F-S.
我再说一遍 你知道的 我还没进入上升趋势 所以我不会搞砸的 Yeah, again, you know, really hasn't gotten into an up trend yet, so I-I wouldn't mess with it.
他是 呃 Age 他在落后的一群人中 相对地加强了他的力量 It's uh Age who, relative strengthted his stuff away down in the laggard group.
P-T-E-N啊 是的 我储备了其他的油 P-T-E-N Ah, yeah. I got other oil stocked.
它们看起来都差不多 They kind of all look the same.
我宁愿在这里买 从这个骗子那里买 I'd rather be buying it here, off this cheat here.
但是 现在它在延伸 所以我会 我会离它远点 Um, but yeah, now it's getting extended, so I would, I would stay away.
我不会去追这些 嗯 让我们看看 I wouldn't chase these up. Um, let's see.
我要结束了 这是一个问题 So I'm going to end. This is one question.
这里有人在问 你能解释一下维勒的教训中一些选择背后的基本原理为什么其他人被选中 所以为什么有些人被选中而不是其他人 Here someone is asking, could you explain the rationale behind some of the picks for the buys from the Viler lesson why others are picked, so why some are picked over others?
所以 你知道 有两个原因 也许我该让你回答这个问题 我们就以这个结束 So, you know, there's two, there's two reasons, and May Mark, maybe I'll let you answer this, and we'll close with this.
嗯 一个原因是因为他们只是在第一名 Um. One reason is because it just simply they in emerged 1st.
如果我今天存了四支股票 我说 好吧 这支 这支 这支 这些都是可以的 So if I have saved four stocks today, and I say, okay, well this one, this one, this one, these are all byable.
我是个买家 如果价格高于这些轴心点 我就是买家 And I'm a buyer. If this gets above these prices, these pivot points, I'm a buyer.
一般来说 我会买 I'm gonna buy generally, generally speaking.
我要买第一个动的那个 I'm gonna buy the one that moves 1st.
你知道 如果是早上9点 9点30分 在9点40分 你知道 X-Y-Z开始爆发 嗯 我买X-Y-Z You know, if it's 09:00, 09:30 in the morning, and at 09:40, you know, X-Y-Z starts breaking out, well, I buy X-Y-Z.
嗯 现在我必须 我必须把它划分到我愿意购买的那一小部分 Um. Now I do have to, I do have to call it down to those that handful that I'm willing to buy.
你知道 如果有15个名字在biler上 我必须决定哪些股票将会是这些候选人 You know, if there's 15 names on biler, I have to decide what stocks are going to be those candidates.
这是建立在右侧的基础上的 有一段时间 大卫·瑞恩 嗯 很多次 但上次的大规模贸易项目 大卫说 你知道 像我一样 我们只寻找右侧 右侧没有设置 And that's based on that very right side, which at one time when, uh, david Ryan was, well, many times, but last time of the mass trader program, david was saying, how, you know, like myself, we just look for that, that right side, that right side's not set.
那我们就不追究了 Well, then we just pass on it.
你知道 有些人会问 我们是如何如此快速地通过电荷并扫描它们的 You know, some people ask, how do we go through the charge so quickly and just kind of like scan through them?
因为我们没有看到整个图表 Because we're not looking at the whole chart.
我们只看右边 We're just looking at the right side.
正确的一面就是不对的 那我们就不买了 The right side's not right, well, then we're not gonna buy it.
左边发生了什么并不重要 It doesn't really matter what happened on the left side.
一旦右边够近 够近 我们就会想 哦 你知道 这可能是圣经 或者一天之内 Once that right side gets close, close enough, we're like, oh, this, you know, this could be Bible here or in a day.
那就没事了 我们来看看这个 Then it's okay, let's take a look at this.
当我们开始深入研究它 一旦技术上 我们看到 好吧 这在技术上看起来很好 And when we start looking deeper in it, and once the technicals, we see, okay, this is technically looking pretty good.
现在我们看基本面 我们只会越来越深入 但它从右边开始 Now we look at the fundamentals, and we just go deeper and deeper and deeper, but it starts with that right side.
基本上就是这样 现在 马克 你知道 同样的事情 你知道 当你有一个维勒特列表 你在形成你的列表 你怎么称呼它 你知道 你知道 那些将被淘汰 对吗 So that's basically it. Now, mark, you know, same thing, you know, when you have a Vilert list and you're forming your list, how are you calling it down to, you know, the ones that are gonna make the cut, right?
非常相似 是的 这只是 这只是一个看起来最接近的过程 Very similar. Yeah, it's just, it's just a process of what looks closest.
然后设置闹钟 你知道 你知道 有时你可能会有闹钟响 And then setting alarms sometimes, you know, you know, even I may you get some alarms that go off.
这取决于 至少对我来说 事情是如何运作的 对其他人来说 你知道 我在平台上 作为一个订阅者 十年前 你知道 甚至 你知道 帮助马克 我总是把维勒名单当作一个主要的观察名单 And depending on, at least for me, how things are acting, for everybody else though, you know, look, I was in the in the on the platform, as a subscriber for, what a decade before, even, you know, helping out Mark officially, and I always just looked at the Viler list as like a primary watch list.
这些要么是可行的 要么非常接近 These are either viable or very close.
所以我会设置很多闹钟 So then I would just set lots of of alarms.
嗯 然后 所以 有时候 你知道 即使对我来说 我并不总是痴迷于 这是一个官方的 它更多的是 我的交易在哪里 Um And then. So, sometimes, you know, even for me, I wasn't always obsessed with what is is, is this officially a by It is more of, well, where where's my trading at?
这是通过一个枢轴吗 Is this moving through a pivot?
就增加风险敞口而言 我觉得这是一个很好的风险回报吗 And do I feel like it's a good risk reward in terms of adding exposures?
这很简单 嗯 Just sort of, that's simple. Um.
然后 你知道 有时候 马克 我们会讨论 好吧 看 我们我们今天做的已经够多了 And then, you know, sometimes, mark, we have a discussion like, well, look, we we've put enough on by for one day.
但这并不意味着如果有越狱警报 就有可能是 圣经 Doesn't mean if something's on breakout alert, it's, it's potentially Bible.
我就是这么想的 That's how I think about it.
我会说的 我也同意 Yeah, I'll tell, yeah, and I-I agree.
我给你讲一个故事 I I'll tell you one, la-, one story.
那是个很有趣的故事 回到我第一次开始交易的时候 我也第一次得到了一个等级 我得到了报价 That's a pretty fun story. Back when I 1st started trading, I 1st got a level too, and I got quotes.
我在 90年代早期的 女士 里 主要是 当我真正开始有了一个不错的交易平台我可以追踪我曾经拥有的一切 I was in the, um, uh, in the lady, early nineties, mainly, um, when I really started getting a nice trading set up that I can follow everything, uh, I used to have.
我把它设置好了 所以会有哔哔声 I had it set so there would be a beep on.
改进了一点 屁股就走了 Bit improved, and the ass went
起来 嗯 我有 我必须这些声音 你知道 它们很小 吱吱 吱吱 吱吱 up and, um, I had, I had to be these sounds, you know, they were little, peep, peep, peep.
你听到了 我可以通过我的投资组合听起来怎么样 我就能知道市场怎么样 事情怎么样 它是否会发展 有很多哔哔声 好像你什么都听不到 And you hear them. And I could literally know if how the market was, how things were, by how my portfolio s was sounding, whether it was going, where there was a lot of beeps, like you would hear nothing.
以前没有哔哔声的日子 There's days where there would be no beep.
就像哔哔一样 每隔一段时间 我们就会在其他日子里 直到它变得疯狂 So just like beep, every once in a while, there's other days we'll be going til it's going crazy.
如果股票上涨 我听到了那些音乐 我过去把它叫做音乐 And if stocks were breaking out, and I heard all that music, I used to call it music.
当音乐响起 我开始付钱 你知道 我开始 我开始把钱放上去 When the music starts playing, I start paying, you know, I start, I start putting the money up.
所以另一种获得这种感觉的方法 嗯 你可以肯定你现在可以这样做 你知道 你现在当然可以这样做 And so another way of getting that ticker sense and getting that feel, um, you could probably sure you could do that now, you know, you certainly could do that now.
当然 有了突破 我们有一个vilert列表 来设置所有这些 And certainly with the breakouts, and we have a vilert list to have all these these um levels set.
如果我 你知道 突然间 很多股票上涨 我听到 你知道 听到很多警报响起 If I, you know, all of a sudden, a lot of stocks are breaking out, and I'm hearing, you know, or hearing a lot of alerts going off.
嗯 我想 你知道 我想进入那个派对 你知道 然后开始 我开始买 你知道 我开始买下一个爆发的 Well, I'm like, you know, I want to get get into that party, you know, and start, I start buying, you know, I start buying the next ones that break out.
所以我可能会女士 就像 就像 就像 马克说的 你知道 我们可能会放过一些 So I might Ms. a few, like, like, like, mark is saying, you know, we might let a few go by.
也许有少数人 他们从警戒名单上出来 他们就会越狱 Maybe there's a handful, um, and they come off the by alert list, and they break out.
但我手头有现金 也可能是我的钱被抽走了 我想确保 But I'm in cash, or maybe I just suffered a little pull back, and I want to make sure, you know.
我放了几个音高 看了几眼 然后 好吧 我听到了 我听到了音乐 So I let a couple of pitches go by, and I take a few looks, and then, okay, I-I hear that, I hear that music.
现在我试了几次 And now I-I try a few.
所以并没有确切的 非黑即白的机械答案 你知道 这是有感觉的 你知道 So there is no exact black, black and white, black box mechanical answer, you know, it's, there's feel there, you know.
如果你整天都在看录像 如果你碰巧在工作 做兼职 那么你就有了一个障碍 你也有了一个福气 因为在它前面会让你交易过度 And that's if you're watching the tape all day, if you happen to be at work and you're doing this part time, well, then you've got a, you've got a handicap, and you've also got a blessing, because being in front of it will make you over trade.
远离它 你可能 你知道 做出更好的决定 Being away from it, you might, you know, make a lot better decisions.
有些人在远离行动的时候能做出更好的决定 Some people make much better decisions being away from the action.
所以它不是 再说一遍 它甚至不是黑白的 如果你应该一直在屏幕前 而且是近视的 或颗粒状的 So it's not, again, it's not even black and white with that, which, if you should be in front of the screen all the time, and being that um, myopic, or that granular.
所以说到这里 真的 也许 朋友们 嗯 我希望这对你们有帮助 So with that, really, maybe, guys, um, I hope this has been helpful.
我们我们去了一个小时 很多人的名字 都记不全 We we went for an hour, a lot of names, couldn't get to them all.
但是 呃 呃 那是呃 But, uh, um, that that's uh.
我们做了 我们做了克莱默 克莱默 埃斯克闪电 We did the, we did the Cramer a cramer Esk lightning round.
如果你喜欢 让我们知道 我们会在一两个星期后再做一次 If you liked it, let us know, and we'll do this again and in a week or two.
好了 让每个人回到自己的家人和生活中去 我们明天再看 All right, let everybody go back to their families and lives, and we'll see it tomorrow.
马克 非常感谢你 好了 开始吧 再见 Mark, thank you very much. Okay, yeah, take up, see you guys.
我的自行车 事情就是这样的 My bike. That's the way it is.