好每个人 okay everyone
欢迎回到 welcome back to
Ⅱ部分 part Ⅱ of this
我要复习一下周末每周的学习课程 weekend's weekly study session I'm going to go over
现在个股 individual stocks now
事实上，我想 matter of fact I want to
首先看看空缺的职位 start off just take a look at the open positions
看看这是什么 see what we got here
这是我们要避免的 that we're holding from
当然是分 by points of course
上周我们看到通胀飙升 this last week we saw inflation surge and
这影响了石油股 that moved the oil stocks
大多数能源都以煤命名 most of the energy names coal of course arch
如果你还记得我们在这里登船的话 archicold hair if you remember we boarded over here
加上一些波动性 add some volatility actually got
停下来,重新 stopped and re
从这里输入这是一个经典的重置 entered right here this is a classic reset where
你有一些 you had a few
积分购买 points to buy it
你可以有 you could have
就在这里开始买的 started buying it right here that was
在我最初买它的地方很有攻击性 pretty aggressive where I was originally buying it
我没有在那里买，我肯定会在那里 I had not bought it there I certainly would have been
在1月11日的1月11日购买 buying it on one 11 on January 11
但不管怎样，它还是回来了 but regardless it came back in
会削弱这一点 would have undercut that
枢轴可能停在一个小的 pivot probably stopped out at a small
失去了，但你得到了重置 lost there but then you got the reset
那真的是典型的大杯子把手 and that was really just classic big cup of handle
从那时起就出来了 came out nice breakout since then
表演得很好，789天里你赚了6456天 acting really good you got 6456 out of 789 days up
你知道，真的真的 you know really really
比购买价上涨了15% acting well up about 15% from the purchase price
TRGP是另一个 trgp is another one
买了它 bought it right
这里我把这两个的止损点抬高了 here I've raised the stops on some of these two
一旦你获得了可观的收益，你就开始往上爬了 once you get a decent gain you start getting up there
要么是两位数 either in the double digit
收益或者你的收益开始高于平均水平 gains or if you start getting above your average gain
这是另一个 that's another
我将开始的门槛 threshold that I would start
我想提高止损率，让收支平衡 looking to raise my stop maybe to break even
但更重要的是 but even more importantly
是通过自然反应吗 is if you go through a natural reaction
对不起, excuse me and
然后恢复到自然反应的高潮 and recover to the highs of the natural reaction
TRGP也有类似的情况 similar situation with trgp
你是在哪里度过这段美妙的休息期的 where you went through this nice basing period
这里发生了越狱事件 had a breakout right here
这种挥发性物质可能会减弱，但你会重置 this volatilia might notch out but then you reset
在这里放一个漂亮的枢轴，然后 put in a nice little pivot right here and since then
10天涨10567 10567 out of 10 days up
在这一点上表现得非常非常好 acting really really fine at this point
clr另一个 clr another one
这些开始看起来像 and again these started to look like
我们可能遇到了点小麻烦 we might have had a little bit of trouble
其中一些名字 in some of these names
而是当你在他身体里的时候 but with when you're in him in real time
我们在这里有一些回落 we had a few pullbacks here
墨菲油是我接下来要给你们看的另一种 murphy oil was another one I'll show you next
但当你事后回顾时，你会发现 but you can see when you look back in hindsight
这些回落是非常自然的 these pullbacks are very natural
你出来，你撤退 you come out you pull back
你又回到了新的高地 you're back into new high ground
你撤退，回到新的高地 you pull back you're back into new high ground
这些都是自然反应 so these are just natural reactions
直到股票跌到止损点 and until the stock hits your stop
你应该坚持买股票 you should be sticking with the stock
你知道，不要过早地出售 you know don't sell prematurely
你进去确定你的风险，然后 you go in there you define your risk and
坚持持有股票 stick with the stock
所以它撞上了那个停车点 and so it hits that stop
当然，如果有违例 and now of course if you have violations
你开始堆积了 you're starting to pile up
而且你还违规了很多次 and you're getting a number of violations
那就是另一回事了 then that's a different story
然后你可能想要减持甚至卖出股票 then you might want to reduce or even sell the stock
但只要一切都在运转 but as long as everything's acting
因此计划和行动正确 accordingly to plan and acting right
你应该坚持下去 you should try to stick with it
粗略的对 rough about
TRGP的9% CLR的8% about 9% of the trgp about 8% on the clr
墨菲是那个 murphy was the one where
我们确实有一天在这里经历过 we did have this one day right here
它从哪里来，又从哪里来 where it came in and again
你看，几天后它就回来了 look how it just comes ripping back a few days
我们离新高地很近了，所以 we're very close back at new high ground so
仍然表现得很正常 still acting perfectly normal
等你把电线杆拿回来 when you get those pole back
有时他们会进来 sometimes they come in
你看，它的体积有点大 you see there's a little elevated volume
你想看看会发生什么 you want to watch and see what happens over
接下来的一两天 the next day or two
如果你不能回来 and if you can't come back
把回 ripping back
到新的高度，看起来不像一个自然的反应 to new highs and doesn't look like a natural reaction
然后开始寻找违规的地方 then start looking for the violation
开始数有多少个更低的低点 start counting how many lower lows
多少件烂衣服啊 how many bad clothes is
从爆发点算起 and count everything from the breakout point according
你可以在我的书里找到这些违规行为 you can find these violations in my book
他们当然可以像冠军一样创造 they can create like a champion of course
菲利普·莫里斯公司 philip morris
我确实保住了收入 I did hold to earnings
因为我们看了波动性 because we looked at the volatility
预计会很低，只有2%到3% and it was expected to be pretty low like two or 3%
所以再一次 so and again
它的收益增长了2 - 3% it did on earnings it did go up about two or 3%
期权定价是相当准确的 so there was pretty accurate the options pricing
这又是一次大爆发 again great breakout here
如果这只是另一种自卫的表现 and if this is just another indication of defensive
如果你注意到市场的防御性 the defensive nature of the market if you notice
我有油和煤 I got oils coal
伯克希尔哈撒韦公司 berkshire hathaway
哪一个是银行和周期的好代表 which is a good representation of banks and cyclicals
我有 I've got
一些国防航天国防 some defense aerospace defense
完全是防御性的投资组合 totally defensive portfolio here as far as
这是因为我在做一个决定 and this is it because I'm making a decision saying
嘿，我想要这些油和名字 hey I want oils and I want these names
这些是正在建立的名字 these are the names that are setting up
并通过 and coming through
低风险点 low risk by points
这就是我在里面的原因 and that's reason why I'm in them
ovv ovv
还是表现得很好 still acting pretty good coming out of this
现在让我指出来 now let me just point out too
你有这些伟大的转折点 you had these great bypoints coming
从这些作弊区域 from these cheat areas
这些程序在很多名字上都有作弊 these load cheats on many of these names
还记得我们从xl e开始的吗 if you remember we started off with the xl e
这是出自一个完美的骗子之手 which came from a perfect cheat right here
这真的是 and that was really
对我来说，那是当时最好的剧本 to me that was the best play at the time
因为风险和回报 because of risk versus reward and
设置有多简单 how crisp the setup was
和男孩 and boy
从那时起，这种方法就取得了巨大的成功 this has just worked out tremendously since then
我加了一点 I added a little bit to
我的伯克希尔哈撒韦公司 my berkshire hathaway on
在周五 on Friday
所以它的衣服也很糟糕 so again it did have a bad clothes
看起来它可能承受了一点压力 it looks like it may be under a little pressure
短期内 of the short term
我们得看看结果如何 we'll have to see how that's working out
但这显然是非常多样化的 but this is obviously very diversified
就像买基金一样 almost like buying a fund
Gd当然是一般动力学 gd of course which is general dynamics
我想出来看看 trying to come out here
我期待着经济的逆转复苏 I'm looking for a reversal recovery
希望这周我们能再次进入新的高地 hopefully this week we get into new high ground again
你在这里度过了那一天 you had that one day that was down here
但还是挺紧的 but holding up pretty tight
我觉得这看起来还不错 I think this still looks fine
让我们看看还有什么 let's see what else let me go through
我没有很多名字 biler I don't have a whole lot of names
我还会介绍一些ipo案例 I'm also going to go over a few ipos
我喜欢定期进行ipo筛选 I like running my ipo screen on a regular basis
特别是 in particular
从伦校正 from renna correction
这就是一些更好的ipo出现的原因 that's where you get some of the better ipos emerge
这就是我真正仔细寻找的地方 and that's where I'm really carefully looking for
因为我想抓住新公司 those ipos because I want to grab the new companies
这些公司刚刚上市 the companies have just come public
在过去的一年左右 within the last year or so
寻找新的领导人 and looking for those new leaders
更正一下，我之前说过 so again in a correction like I said before
这是 this is the
到了你真正想卷起袖子的时候了 time where you really want to roll up your sleeves
做最辛苦的工作 and do the hardest work
让我们先来看看 let's just take a look at first of all
我在查几个可能和拜勒有关的名字 a few names that I'm looking at potentially for biler
这当然是ipo this is of course ipo
最近的首次公开募股和一个主要基地 a recent ipo and a primary base
你把这里布置得很好 so you're setting up here pretty nice here
再一次 again
围绕这个价格有很多反转 you've got a bunch of reversals all around this price
我在这里画条线给你们看 let me draw a line here and show you
这是怎么回事 what's going on here
如果你从这里穿过就能看到 so if you just go right across here you can see that
你在这里用力倒转 you reverse real hard right here
你反弹回来 you rally back
你用更高的价格换了我一周 you just traded above that level for making me a week
然后又开始爆炸了 and boom came crashing right back in
就在这里，你已经非常接近那个水平了 and right here you came very close to that level
这里的反转，这里的反转 reversal right here reversal right here
在这里蹲下或深蹲 squat right here or squat
你实际上定义了这条线 so you're really defining that line
希望这里收紧后能有阻力 hopefully at least resistance once you tighten up here
卷下来 volume comes down
一旦这些供给被消化 once this supply is digested
然后当你突破这一关 then as you break through that level
这就是你想买东西的地方 that's where you want to look to buy
这是创建 that's creating what
再多一点就是阻力最小的线 little more refer to as the line of least resistance
所以我们会密切关注 so we'll keep an eye on this
我们可以这么说 in a really you know and we'll put it this way
如果我们要卸下包袱的话 if we're coming off the load
你每天都能拿到文件 you're getting the file through day
你开始看到一个整体 you're starting to see a whole
你知道股票的激增 you know proliferation of stocks
一大堆股票都准备好了 a whole bunch of stocks setting up
这就是我想要面对的情况 this is the type of situation that I'm looking to play
爆发 breaking out
这可能是很早之前就建立起来的 so again this could be something setting up here early
甚至在我们在市场上做低之前 even before we make a low in the market
它可能会爆发 and it could break out
所以睁大你的眼睛 so keep your eyes peeled
让我们看看DLTR let's see of course dltr
这是我上周想买的 this is one that last week I was looking to buy from
缓慢的欺骗 the slow cheat
我不知道我们要去补给站 I did not we're heading into this supply
我说你知道 I said you know
可能会迅速采取行动 probably get a quick little move
但之后可能会回落 but then it's probably gonna pull back
市场开始显得脆弱 market was starting to look vulnerable
我们的货快用完了 and we're running into supply
所以我就等着，确定我们会停在这里 so I waited sure enough we're pulling right back here
就在这个供应点 right at this supply
我们再画一条线 and again let's draw a line
正好穿过这个主轴的位置 right across where this pivot is setting up
看一看 take a look see that
看它是怎么流入那些供应品的 look how it's running right into all that supply
我们想看的是 see so what we want to see is
我们想要看到这里变紧 we want to see this tighten up right here
在供应 around that supply
音量也会下降 and the volume to come down
然后如果你能从那里出来 and then if you can come out from there
也许还能再待一天 maybe even another little day in there
看起来很抱歉 look sorry about that
再次使用绘图工具 get that drawing tool again
感觉像鲍勃·罗斯 feel like bob ross here
和我年龄相仿的人可能知道这是什么意思 those of you who are my age might know what that means
所以这真的会开始 so this would really start to
得到我想看到的表情 get that look that I want to see
真正得到那种价格变动 and really get that type price action
更重要的是一旦它从那里爆发 and more importantly once it breaks out from there
清空所有供给 clearing all the supply
这就是我在dltr gd中寻找的 so that's what I'm looking for in dltr gd
我们已经讨论过瑞安，他也在ipo we already talked about ryan which is also on the ipo
少最近首次公开发行(ipo) less recent ipos
再一次 again
我在寻找右边收紧的地方 I'm looking for that tightening on that right side
好吧，还是有点 alright it's still a little
早产了，但我在看着瑞安 premature there but I'm watching ryan
这twnk this twnk
当然我是在主持这个品牌长大的 which is of course I grew up on host this brand
奶油夹心蛋糕，德雷克蛋糕什么的 twinkies and drake's cakes and all that stuff
这是建立在一个有点奇怪的派别 this is setting up in a in a kind of a weird faction
相对强度线正在向新的高地移动 the relative strength line is going to new high ground
不是很有根据地 not much of a base
但它的表现非常好 but it is held up so tremendously well
与市场相反，这可能是一种考虑 against the market that it might be a consideration
所以我要密切关注 so I'm keeping an eye on that
我给你看几个很有名的名字 I'll show you a few names that are high on deck
然后去看他们的ipo and then I'll go to their ipos
所以ar在甲板上形成了一个大的基地 so ar ar is on deck here one forming a big base
看右边 looking at this right side
这里当然有个扳机 of course you had a pull back by here trigger
上周 last week
你甚至可以在周五买到 and you could have been buying it even on Friday
再说一次，这可能有点为时过早 again it may be a little premature
我们看看是否需要 we'll see if that needs to
在这里建一个更大的右侧或者在这里建一个枢轴 build a bigger right side there or a pivot there
这个BKR在石油能源集团中属于落后者 this bkr someone of a laggard in the oil energy group
但他们的基础很好 but did come out of a pretty good base
我在周五的时候指出了这一点 I pointed that out on Friday
cf cf
这些化肥库存 these fertilizer stocks and
农业类股一直走高 ag stocks have been holding up
很好 quite well
很多的rs线都通向新的高地 a lot of the rs lines going to new high ground
这些看起来不错 so these are looking good
好像他们想要更高的 like they want to go higher
牙牙是我正在看的另一个 fang is another one that I'm watching here actually
这有点草率 that's a little sloppy
你知道谷歌 google you know
你要非常小心增长的区域 the growth area you got to be real careful with
但它又回到了这里 but it came ripping back here
我很好奇这里会发生什么 on earnings and I'm curious to see what happens here
我仍然认为这需要改进 I still think this needs work
建造右边需要时间 and it's gonna take time to build out this right side
尤其是它现在还了这么多钱 especially how it's given back all this now
然后穿过空隙回来 and coming back through the gap
但是我要关注谷歌 but I'm going to keep an eye on google
也许是其中一个可能存活下来的生长名称 is maybe one of the growth names that might survive
这种冲击 this onslaught
对比生长区域和生长区域 against the growth area and the fang area
让我们看看igt let's see igt
最近在这个负荷表中建立的一个 one that recently set up in this load sheet here
我想看你再多做一点 want to see that build out a bit more
我真的很喜欢这个酒店集团 mariot I really like this hotel group
出来 came out
我差点通过这个枢轴把它买下来 I almost bought it right through this pivot here
但是又发展了一点 but developed a little bit more
我可能现在就买了 I probably would have bought that now
在周五的户外大白天 at that big outside day on Friday
你可能看到的是短距离转弯 you're probably looking at short turn
一点点的压力 a little bit of pressure
这是一个你可能想要寻找回调 this is one that you might want to look for a pullback
在它冲出基地之后就有点邋遢了 by after it broke out of the base a bit sloppy
但总体来说，这个团体表现良好 but the group overall is acting well
对未来收益的预期是巨大的，因为 earnings estimates going forward are huge because
显然，航空公司 obviously the airlines the
那些酒店被打得一塌糊涂 the hotels they got clobbered
有了科比，现在他们面对的是轻松的对手 with kobe and now they're going against easy comps
所以你会看到比较大的收益 so you're going to see big earnings compare
你知道 you know
丰厚的收入与这些简单的比较相悖 big earnings go against those easy comparisons
但这是一个 but this is an area where
我觉得你应该看看 I think you want to take a look at
当然要感谢摩根士丹利 thanks morgan stanley of course
刚从这个轴心出来不久 recently came out of this pivot right here after
它很潦草，它又想跑到这里来 it is sloppy and again it tried to come out over here
我试着参与其中 I tried to get involved
来得正是时候 came right in just very poor timing
来撷取回来 came ripping back
几乎是一种硬方式交叉类型的时尚 almost in a hardway crossover type fashion
这里有一个枢轴 with a little pivot here
现在它被拉回来了 now it's pulled back right there
我仍然认为银行可能处于良好状态 I still think banks are probably in good shape
利率或更高 rates or going higher
当你了解到俄罗斯的情况时 what happened was when you get the situation in Russia
你在哪里有 where you've got
战争的可能性 this potential for war
所发生的是提高产量 what happens is to bring the yields up
在一些国外市场 in some of the foreign markets
在世界上危险的地区 in the risky areas of the world
这是对质量的追求 and there's a flight to quality
你会得到钱到美国 you get money comes to the u s
每当我们有这些大的危机 whenever we have these big crisis
世界各地都在发生着变化 and things go on around the world
亚洲蔓延 the asian contagion
1998年的俄罗斯局势等等 Russian situation in 1998 and so forth
是的，你回头看 yeah you look back
你可以看到，追求质量总是有可能的 and you see that there's always a flight to quality
以及他的下场 and what he comes to
我们的债券市场和股票市场 our bond markets and our stock markets
事实上，这是一件好事 it actually turns out to be a good thing
从长远来看 in the longer run
但在短期内，这可能会对收益率产生影响 but in the short run that can have an effect on yield
所以可能是抑制性的 so maybe be suppressive
也许银行对此有所反应 maybe the banks reacted to that a bit
或者对战争的恐惧 or the fear of war would
也可能伤害这里的银行系统 also might hurt the banking system here
但总而言之，这支股票又回到了突破状态 but all in all the stock came back into the breakout
我认为 I think
你在摩根斯坦利还有一两天的时间 you get another day or two down in morgan stanley
你可能会买这个 you could probably buy this
然后用下面的低点作为止损点 and then use the lows down here as a stop
因为如果能除掉这些低潮 because if it takes out these lows
那将是相当消极的 that would be pretty negative
所以我们越接近这些低点 so the closer we get back here to these lows
我觉得你越 I think the more you're
在危险点附近交易 traded near the danger point if you will
panw panw
需要右边 needs a right side
你会再次看到我正在关注的这些股票 again you see a lot of these stocks I'm looking at
但 but there
仍然需要基础建设和枢纽建设 still needs to be base building and pivots to be built
所以他们还没有准备好 so they're not ready just yet
但我在发挥我的想象力和创造力 but I'm using my imagination using some creativity
这个纸考让我想起了一种 this pbt you know it reminds me of a sort of like a
那时候的泰瑟枪 taser back in the day where
我会给你们看一个更长期的宪章 I'll show you a longer term charter this
你知道你有这个 you know you have this
这是一个很好的设置 this nice setup right here
你还有一个孩子会在这里 breaks out you have another little one will be here
爆发了，现在又来了一个 breaks out and now another one
你知道现在可能有点晚了吗 where you know it looks like maybe a late
阶段权力玩 stage power play
但你知道当我 but you know when I
泰瑟枪赢了12倍 taser was up 12 folds
当我买它的时候，它已经通过两个基地了 when I bought it and it already came through two bases
看来权力游戏已经结束了 it looked like the power play was gone
从那时起，它就变得越来越大 and then it went on to go up huge from there
所以我还是这么认为 so again I still think this
尤其是所有的股票 especially with the all stocks
在能源领域做得很好 you know in the energy area doing so well
看起来还是很不错的 this still looks pretty good
这对每周都很有建设性 and this is pretty constructive on the weekly
所以我可能会考虑这个 so I would I would maybe consider this
当然了，它是在周五发布的 now it just of course came out on Friday
你有一个小队在这里 you had this little squad here
只是伸出头，然后蹲下 just poked its head out and then it squat
然后在突破时出现反转反弹 then you got a reversal recovery on a breakout
看起来很不错 so that looks pretty good
我把它放在甲板上了 I got that on my high on deck
拉詹是我一直关注的人他们有一些好东西 rajan is one that I've been watching they had some good
阶段 phase
忘掉这是什么阶段，但他们的考验已经过去了 forget what phase it is but their trials came through
相当不错，好消息，周五有个爆炸 pretty good some good news there had a pop on Friday
我仍然认为这需要 I still think this needs
一些基地建筑或者在这里建一个支点 some base building or a build a pivot here
左边有很多供给 you are going into a lot of supply on the left side
如你所见 as you can see
所以我会小心的 so I'll be careful with that
但这是一个 but that's one that
也许可以开始考虑在TV tx建立一个位置 maybe start to look to build a position in tv tx
再试着在右边建立一个支点 again try to build a pivot here on the right side
我只是在给你们展示屏幕上的内容 I'm just showing you what's coming up on my screens
还有我手上的牌 and what I've got on deck
wells当然 wfc of course
我认为富国银行是银行领域的领导者 wells fargo is the leader I think in the banking area
至少一个 at least one of them
相当强大的 pretty strong
这是v型的，当然是延伸的 and this is very v shaped and certainly extended
但也可能会有所回落 but again maybe on a pull back
如果你想在银行领域有所投资 if you wanted to have some exposure in the bank area
当然是温德姆 w h of course is windham
还有一个在这里建基地 another one building a base here
还没建立起正确的边路 hasn't really built much of a right side
所以我想看到的 so what I want to see
糖果股可能随着市场而来 candy stocks come in here maybe with the market
建立一个右侧 build a right side
也许这段时间市场会更低 maybe the market during this time goes lower
和 and
也许如果你需要再创新低 maybe if you need to go to new lows and then as that
就在这段时间内 and stocks like this just during that period
只要建立一个枢轴 just build a pivot
这就是你想看到的，你想看的 see that's what you want to see you want to watch
这就是为什么现在如此重要 this is why right now is so important
假设是整个市场，我会展示给你们看 let's just say the overall market and I'll show you
我提一下 here let me bring up
滚动在这里 scroll up here
进入我的索引 go to my indexes
因为我一直有这些最小值 because I have always had those minimize
让我们看看nasdack let's look at the nasdack
我们就说纳达克吧 so let's just say the nasdack
到更低的地方 goes to lower lows right here
它会脱落几天，不管是你知道的 it comes off for a few days whether it's you know
事情开始变得棘手起来 things start getting hairy with the
战争等等 war and so forth
然后我们下来 and we come down
也许我们会惊慌失措地抛售股票什么的 and maybe we get a little panic sell off or something
我们低价倾销 we undercut the low
也许这是最低级的 and maybe even that's the low
然后你开始在这里晃荡 and you start swinging around here
你花了很多时间 and you spend a lot of time you know
在这些低点附近波动并到来 volatile around these lows and come
从低谷中走出来 come back up off those lows
我们想从个人的名字中看到什么 well what we want to see in the individual names
像wh and something like a wh
当这种情况发生时 when while that happens
这是你想看的 here's what you want to see over here
好吧，你可以去市场 okay you could maybe come off with the market
但是现在你开始这样做 but now you start doing this
也许随着市场的快速反弹 and maybe with a little snap back rally from the market
市场拉回 market pulls back
现在你把这个设置好，然后 now you set this up and then
谁知道一周后还是几周后呢 who knows a week later a couple weeks later
当市场走出低谷时 when the market comes off the lows
你要寻找最先突破的股票 you look for stocks that are first to break out
现在这支股票已经突破了底线 now this stock's breaking out of a base
从市场上买来的面包 right off the market loaves
这是领导力的标志 that's a sign of leadership
这些就是你想买的股票 those are the stocks you want to buy
不是那些受打击最大的股票 not the stocks that have been beaten up the most
你需要的是那些表现最好的股票 you want the stocks that are holding up the best
如果真的是这样 and if this did occur like this
我向你保证这条相对强度的线会 I assure you that this relative strength line will
进入新的高地 be going into new high ground
你会看到一个非常强的相对强度数字 and you'll see a really strong relative strength number
这就是你想要寻找的 and that's what you want to look for
在修正 during corrections
好的，让我 all right so let me
给你们看一些ipo show you some ipos
你需要发挥你的想象力 that again you got to use your imagination here
现在如果我测量这个 now if I measure this
从高峰到低谷 from peak to trough here
或者你知道我们会把它带到这里 or you know we'll take it down to here
我们看到大约45% we're looking at about 45%
所以我应该从这里开始 so I actually should be from over here
但它仍然是一样的 but it's still around the same
是的，45%，这是一个很大的修正 yeah 45% so this is a pretty big correction
所以我有 so I got
我们买进这些货的时候得小心点 we got to be careful about buying into this supply
但如果这里能收紧 but if this can tighten up over here
或者甚至可能反弹回来了 or maybe even it rally is back up
离高点越近越紧 and it tightens up closer to the highs
我更喜欢 which I would prefer
这可能是 this could be
一只股票即将成为领头羊 a stock that is going to be a leader coming out
在路上 down the road
几周后或者几个月后 weeks down the road or a couple months down the road
所以我看着这些ipo，开始和他们生活在一起 so I watch these ipos and I start living with them
每天观察他们是如何成长的 and let each day watching how they develop
或者每周 or certainly each week
德罗斯就是我们最近谈到的一个 dros was one that recent that we talked about
我还以为会这样呢 and I was expecting this to
可能会稍早暂停一下 maybe pause a little bit earlier
阅读，并把它放在右边 and to read and to set that right side
我现在就把它拿出来等一下 I'm gonna take this out right now hold on
这样你就能看得更清楚了 so you can see everything a little bit better
但是这里的整个东西 but the whole thing here
很抱歉 sorry about that
我们把那个拿回来，把这个拿出来 let's get that back and take this out here
我们跑到这里 so what happened was we ran up here
记得我们的一个会员说他们买了这个吗 remember one of our members said they bought this
这是q和a中的一个问题 it's one of the questions in q and a
问了这个问题 and was asking about this
我只是说，我认为这可能 and I just said you know I think that this could
做几天短期的变动 make a short term move for a couple days
可能会遇到一些抛售 will probably run into some selling
由于事实 due to the fact
你还没有建立起正确的一面 that you really haven't built that right side
你要把它送到补给站 you're running it to some supply
这看起来有点不成熟，你知道 so it looked a little premature and you know that's
这很自然 this is very natural
当你拿它做交易的时候发生了什么 what happened when you got a little trade out of it for
2、3、4、5天 you know 2 3 4 5 days
现在你退缩了你把一切都还给我了 and now you've pulled back you've given it all back
而且很自然 and very natural
但这仍然可以扩大右侧 but this may still build out that right side
所以我才会看这个 so I would watch this
你看，现在它呈v形，被压缩了 you see now it's very v shaped and compressed here
但如果你从右边开始建造 but if you start building this right side out
你会得到对称 you'll get that symmetry
现在你可能有一只股票 and now you may have a stock that sets up
走出低谷 coming off the lows and
下一条腿浮出水面 emerges in the next up leg
我们已经讨论过cdre CMTG we already talked about cdre cmtg
另一个地方 another one where
同样，你要做的是右边 again you're trying to build the right side
看，它现在被压缩了，所以它需要工作 see it's compressed right now so it needs work
但我要继续我要看着这个 but I'm gonna keep I'm gonna watch this
我要继续看下去 I'm gonna keep watch this
现在有点草率，edr a bit sloppy right now edr
这是我之前提到的，它让我想起了 this is one that I mentioned before that reminds me of
奥利斯，你回去看看奥利斯在地下室讨价还价 ollies you go back and look at ollies bargain basement
这是一个大型的ipo组合 this is that big ipo coupled handle
你知道 you know
右半部分真的开始发育了 that's right side is really starting to develop
类似于奥利的设置 similar to the ollie setup
我会在这里建立一个主元 I would look for this to set up a pivot right here
也许在接下来的一两个星期 maybe over the next week or two
所以我们会密切关注 so we'll keep an eye on that
Rydx其实是Rydx的升级版 rydx actually was an upgrade at rydx
这是最近在这个基地进行的首次公开募股 this is a recent ipo came out of this base here
当然是在生物技术领域 in the biotech area of course
我们谈到了Ryan，当然是Ryan and we talked about ryan of course ryan
需要收紧一点 needs to tighten up a bit
还有一个，我要把它取出来 another one where I'm gonna again I'm gonna take out
把这些东西拿出来，我们就能经常看到了 take out this stuff so we can see it a lot
以前的 previous
会议再次 sessions again
你可以看到它是如何跑到右边的 you see how it's run up this right side
右边被压缩了 and it's compressed on that right side
如果你不知道什么是压缩 if you don't know what compression is
去看看吧 just go take a look at
我的书就像股市奇才 my book trade like a stock market wizard
这里有一部分 there's a section in there
我谈到了时间压缩 I talk about time compression
这里的时间压缩就是 this time compression here is where
你要让右边扩大 you want to let this right side build out
再弄点墓地来 and get some more cemetery
你再一次注意到它在这里是如何停顿的 and again you notice how it's stalling right here
看这里，这里有补给 see right here where this is where you have the supply
如果你现在可以设置 so if you can now set up
一次又一次 and again
我也会在这个码头上寻找同样的东西 I would look for the exact same thing with this dock
我是用什么说的 is I said with wh
而如果市场下跌，市场就会下跌 whereas the market comes off if it comes off
这股股票下跌了一些，但它被控制住了 this stock comes off a bit but it's contained
它包含在轴心点中 it's contained in the pivot point
应该不会超过10%吧 which should be no more than maybe 10%
在这一地区的低谷达到顶峰 peak the trough in this area
现在当你从低谷中走出来 and now as you come off the lows
或者你开始跳来跳去 or you start bouncing around and
试图在市场中触底 trying to bottom in the market
这只股票正在收紧并建立这种支点 this stock is tightening and building that pivot
最后当市场 and then finally when the market
从低谷中走出来，或者可能 comes off the lows or it might be
可能是第四天，第五天，第六天，第八天，第十天 might be the fourth fifth sixth eighth tenth day
你每天都会收到一份文件 you come up you get a file through day
看看这样的股票 look for a stock like this
然后占领新的高地 to then break into new high ground
在这段时间里要发生很多事 now a lot has to occur between now and then
这就是你们看这些的原因 all right so that's why you watch these
我是说这可能会崩溃 I mean this might fall apart
它可能会从这里开始 it may just go from here
它可能现在就蹦出来了 it might just pop out right now
然后你要看市场是否会下跌 and then you're looking for if the market comes off
我回到进化者那边 I'll pull back to the breakout
你可能会得到一个高句柄表单 and you might get a high handle forms
过一段时间你就会明白了 so after a while you'll start to understand
所有的方式，形状和形式都可以 all the ways and shapes and forms that these can
它们可以发展或显现 these can develop or or manifest themselves
但我向你保证 but I assure you
他们都有VCP的特征 they're all gonna have the vcp characteristics
它们都在中间 and they're all gonna be between
负荷表 the load sheet
作弊手柄和一个拉回突破 the cheat the handle and a pull back to the breakout
你有四个位置可以买 you'll have four spots to buy
这一切都会发生 and all that will occur
当你开始学习 when you start to learn
寻找什么 what to look for
在负荷表和突破之间 between that load sheet and the breakout
你会得到你需要的一切 you'll have everything that you need
能够演奏 to be able to play
股票正在从基地流出 stocks that are moving out from bases
好好利用这些优势 and take advantage of those
那些将成为下一个领跑者的股票 of those stocks that are going to be the next leaders
好了,那么 alright so
就这些了，我没有更多了 that's about it I don't have a whole lot more
我今天要做视频 I'm doing the videos today
因为我要去旅行，所以周六就把它们拿出来 and getting them out on Saturday because I'm traveling
明天早上 tomorrow morning
我一大早就要走了 I'm leaving early in the morning
我这一周都在旅行 I'll be traveling for the week
所以无论如何，我将在旅行中远程操作 so anyway I'll be operating remotely as I'm traveling
但我肯定每天都会关注市场 but certainly I will be watching the market each day
得到q amp a and we'll have q amp a
周一1130我是大力诗人马克·里奇 Monday at 1130 myself popeyesman mark richie
我们到时候见 we'll see you then
希望这个视频对你有帮助 hope this video has been helpful and
我们下周见 we'll see you next week
好了拜拜 alright bye bye