好吧 每个人 欢迎回到周末的每周学习 Okay, everyone. Welcome back to this weekend weekly study session.
去看看一些股票 Going to go over some stocks.
现在 不得不说 我没有找到很多股票 而且我看到了一些最近试图出现的股票在爆发点和支点附近出现了一些波动 Now, have to say, I'm not finding many stocks, and I'm seeing some volatility around the break out and pivot points of some of these recent names that tried to emerge.
所以我觉得我们应该再等等看 Um, so I-I think we need to just take a wait and see again.
这基本上是我们的主题 我们的股票建立 他们试图突破 波动来了 然后我们回到场外 It's, that's been basically the theme, where we get stocks that set up, they try to break out, the volatility comes in, and then we're back to the sidelines.
什么都没有改变 我仍然需要保持非常小的头寸 Nothing's really changed. I really still need to stay with very small positions.
比如a-cLX Take a look at something like A-C LX.
这是我们一直在看的 因为下面是unbiler 你可以在这里的低表上买到 This is one that we've been watching since down here was unbiler, and you could have bought it off the low sheet right here.
跑了几天 跑了两三天 我跑了 现在它回来了 它开始进攻了 Um, ran up for a couple days, got a two or three days, I've run up, and now it's pulling back, and it attacking really constructed.
这是一个非常大的基地 但你仍然需要构建出这个右侧得到一个额外的哦 我遵循一个点在这一点上 A-H-R这是我谈过几个星期了 可能我有三个或四个星期 呃 我的一些朋友是很好的 呃 基本面分析和和 像 与本公司发生了什么 嗯我 This is a really large base, but you still need to build out this right side to get an additional uh, I follow a by point at this point, A-H-R This is one that I talked about for a couple of weeks now, where maybe three or four weeks where I do have, uh, some friends of mine that are really good with the, uh, with the with the fundamental analysis and and, like, what's going on with this company, um I-I?
很明显 这是一个早期转弯 看到这200天了吗 It's an early turn, obviously. See the 200 days just turning up here.
它是有点不稳定的 即使我们在这里有一个小点 如果你测量 呃 距离 即使你从这里咬出来 在这以下 枢轴是20%1% It is a bit volatile, though, even though we have this little pitted here, if you measure, uh, the distance between, even if you're a bite coming out here, and below this, pivots 20 1 %.
所以这是 你知道 这是一个相当深的 你它不会看如果你只是用眼睛看它 但它实际上 百分比上 这是非常不稳定的 So this is, you know, this is a pretty deep, you it doesn't look at if you just take a look at it with the eye, but it's actually, percentage wise, this is pretty volatile.
所以 它绝对不适合心脏不好的人 So it's, it's definitely not for the faint of heart.
我还没见过 我还没见过一个足够紧的入口 更低的缺口 让我 呃 为自己娱乐 And I haven't, I haven't seen a tight enough entry, lower scantry for me to be, uh, entertaining that for myself.
嗯 B-J是我在这里买的 Um. So B-J is one that I bought here, coming out.
我是说 这布置得太完美了 I mean, this is set up really perfectly.
我喜欢判断这些市场 特别是当走出熊市的时候 通过股票的实际设置 嗯 表现 And I-I like to judge these markets, when, especially when coming out of a correction bear market, by how the stocks that are really set up, well, uh behave.
到目前为止 这不是我们想看到的 And so far, this is not what we want to see.
这是一个低音量 高音量 This is a low volume out, high volume.
尽管成交量略高于平均水平 但在下跌幅度更大的情况下 回盘量更高 And even though it's a little bit, even though above average volume out, it is higher volume back in with a much larger down day.
所以 你知道 我认为你应该坚持在这里止损 尽管这有点不祥 So again, you know, I think you should stick with your stops here, although this is a bit ominous.
当然 你本可以对那个违规行为进行减刑 Um, certainly you could have reduced on that, on that violation.
现在只是一次违规 Is just one violation at this point.
但我还是没有看到我们需要看到的很多股票都在试图突破 But again, I were just not seeing what we need to see many of these stocks that are trying to break out.
接下来我将展示几个失败的例子我看到的让我犹豫了一下 And I'm going to show a couple, uh failures in just a 2nd of what I'm seeing that's given me pause here.
B-O-W是一家 我周四想在这里买 结果我甚至 我没买 然后到了周五 就撤回了 B-O-W ls one, where I-I was looking to buy it here on Thursday, and then I even, I did not, and then on Fridays, it pulled back.
市场表现很好 或者我应该这么说 个股 因为德州的市场表现很好 Uh, the market was acting really well, or I should say this, the individual stocks, because the market in Texas are acting actually pretty well.
你知道的 我在这买了个靠边站的 Um, I'd be buying a pull back here, you know.
它开始从柱子后面向上翻 And it starts turning up from the pole back.
你可以看到 它一路下跌 刚刚超过20天和前一天的低点 然后它又回升了 You could see, it came all way back down, just above the 20 day and above the previous day's low, and then it turned back up.
我可能会在那里买 但在这个市场上 我 我在犹豫 I probably buy there. But in this market, I'm, I'm, I'm hesitating here.
我还要再等一会儿 我想得到更多的数据 I'm waiting a little more. I want to get some more data.
我想看看 你知道的 我们能不能撑得再好一点 I want to see, um, you know, if we can hold up a bit better here.
这就是我所关注和感兴趣的 So this is one that I am looking at and I'm interested in.
你可以看到它在这里爆发 You can see it broke out here.
另一个出现了 然后出现了足够多的人可能阻止了很多人 Another one that came out and then came off enough to probably stop a lot of people out.
嗯 在这里 你的右侧并没有得到很好的发展 Uh, here. You didn't get a really great right side development here.
你在这里面装了个小床单 You did get a little a low sheet within this.
你可以叫它句柄或自然反应 You want to call it a handle or natural reaction.
现在我们得到了另一个回调 自然反应 And now we get another pullback, natural reaction.
所以表现得很好 这只表现得非常好 但是你可以看到一些球蒂莉在外面 天快起来了 它保持得非常好 So acting pretty good. CBLG This one's acting really good, but you can see some ball Tilly here outside, day runs up, and it's holding up really well.
所以 你知道 这是 你在拉伸它因为右侧有太多的波动 就像D-G 你知道吗 So, again, you know, this is, you're stretching it because there's just too much volatility on that right side, just like D-G, you know, this?
这个来自 呃呃 让我指出来 This comes from, uh uh. And let me just point this out.
首先 你可以看到这个漂亮而紧凑的结构 1st of all, you can see this nice, tight set up here.
它就在这里爆发 但之后就失败了 And it broke out right here, but then it failed.
现在 它是重新建立的 它需要更加严格 Now it's, it's rebased, and it needs to tighten up more.
你知道 你没有看到这里有一个紧密的枢轴像你在这里看到的 但你确实把这个杆拿回来了在这里 呃 那是什么日子 You know, you don't see this tight pivot on over here like you did here, but you did get this pole back by right here on, uh, what's the date there?
那是118 看到了吧 你触发了回拉 然后第二天 当你取出低点时 你收在50日线以下 That's eleven eight. See, you trigger the pull back by, and then next day, when you take out the low, you close below the 50 day.
可能阻止了很多人出市 结果第二天又出现大幅反弹 然后第二天又出现大幅波动 Probably stopped a lot of people out, only to come ripping back the next day, and then big volatility the next day.
再一次 你看到了波动 在这些支点周围有很多波动 So again, you're just seeing volatility, a lot of volatility around these pivot points.
这不是我们想看到的 That's not what we want to see.
这个市场 将会 将会 有利于我们所做的这类培训 uh, for a market that, uh, is gonna is gonna be, uh, conducive to the type of training that we do.
嗯 所以DJ我是另一个 Um. So DJ I-I is another one.
一直都是秃头傻蛋 我一直都没能加入 There's just been bald silly, and I've never been able to get on board.
我想加入这个 这个名字 如果它能给我一个线索的话 And I-I want to get on board this, this name, if it will give me a by point.
我想让它在这里收紧 I'm looking for it to tighten up here.
E-NPH我真的很想加入 E-N PH Another one that I really like to get on board.
嗯 这已经开始成形了 但是你可以看到在03 16左右 这三个 差不多03 19左右 这就是你遇到一些供应的地方 Um, this is really starting to shape up here, but you can see right around that 03:16, the three, as much as like 03:19 or so, that's where you're running into some supply it.
很明显这里需要收紧 需要 呃 呃 照顾 It clearly needs to tighten up here and to, uh, uh, to take care of
安静地看这些最近的作品 然后看完 this, uh, these recently versals here with some quietness, and then get through them.
我不想买一个总是被拒之门外的区域 I don't want to buy into a zone that just keeps getting turned away.
而且在这附近有波动 And there's volatility near it.
F-L-E-Xflex 另一个 也不是很 F-L-E-X flex. Another one where, again, not really much of an
上升趋势 你可以看到 我把它翻出来 这里有一个很大很大的基座 形成了一年多 up trend. You can see, I'll pan this out, big, big base here that's formed well over a year.
你摆脱了这里的低谷 看起来不错 You shook out the low here, it looks pretty good.
但是 再一次 它是 这是一个早期的转折 But again, it it. It is an early turn um.
你可以看到它蹲着想要跳出来 And you see it tried to break out squatted.
所以我们没有 我们仍然没有得到任何 呃 你知道的 对其中一些名字的任何真正的跟进 So we're not, we're still not getting any, um, you know, any real follow through on some of these names.
fslR其实很不错 Uh fsl R is actually pretty good.
有一天 我暂停了转轴 再次 After it came to that little one day, paused pivot, um again.
就像其他事情一样 我不会对你的低震动感到惊讶 I wouldn't be surprised the shakes out the low, just like everything else.
但太阳能股可能是表现最好的一组 But the solar stocks are acting probably one of the best groups.
但实际上只有两支股票 But it's really only two stocks.
E-M-P-H和F-L-R-H-E-I试图在这里形成一个基底 It's E-M-P-H and F-L-R-H-E-I trying to form a base here.
还需要再加把劲 Needs a little bit more work.
右边这里 有些收紧 Here on the right side, some some tightening.
Pcbx 这是我买的 Pcb X. So this is one that I bought.
嗯 下蹲 它是另一天送来的 Uh, squat. It came in another day.
这是橡胶需要与路面相遇的地方 它需要在短时间内回到地势不高的地方 This is where the rubber needs is going to meet the road here, and it needs to get back into no high ground in short order.
我希望它能尽快回到高地上 或者至少保持紧一点这样我们就不会在外面被拦下了 I'm hoping it gets back in high ground very soon here, or at least stays tight so we don't get stopped out on it.
TMD-X 另一个在这里有空隙 现在形成了这个枢轴点 TM D-X another one where you had the gap up here, and now just forming that that pivot point.
我不喜欢追逐空白 I don't like to chase gaps.
我们必须这样做 我没有在这里追它 但我们必须看看我们是否可以收紧 也许可以从那里上来 We'll have to, and I didn't chase it here, but we'll have to see if we can tighten up and maybe come up from there.
又一个 我们 你知道 你知道 表演得非常好 Texas Roadhouse Another one. We're, you know, acting, you know, pretty damn good.
不过会提早转弯 所以我可以期待一些瓶装sillions 然后撤退 An early turn, though, so I can expect some bottled sillions and pull back.
我们看看这个能不能撑得住 它能不能 你知道 在这里收紧也许能撑住我们的站 We'll see if this can hold up, and it can, uh, you know, tighten up here and maybe hold our stop.
但我们对此有3 5%的怀疑 But we are, doubt about three and a half percent on it.
嗯 让我们看看 你知道 那里 那里 有一堆油还在形成 比如 呃 你知道 墨菲油 一个相当大的缺口 在周五爆发 Um, as far as let's see, you know, there, there's, there's a bunch of oils that are still setting up, something like, uh, you know, murphy oil, a pretty good size base on a gap, broke out on a Friday.
这里波动太大了 Um, just too much volatility here.
让我给你们看一些失败的例子 Let me show you some of the failures too.
呃 最经典的失败 其中一个就是瑞恩 我的意思是 这真是 哇 巨大的差距缩小了 闭合了 太可怕了 Uh? So the most epic failure, where one of them was Ryan, where, I mean, this is just, wow, big gap down, closed, horrible.
这真的不是我们想看到的 That is really not what we want to see.
嗯 H-O-V-X是另一种 嗯 你知道的 它进入了这里的供应区 Um. H-O-V-X was another one where, um, you know it, it was moving into this supply right here.
我对此有点怀疑 And I was a little suspicious of it.
一个更瘦的名字 果然 外面的天很大 A thinner name, And sure enough, big outside day.
要小心这些股票 伙计 这些爆发的股票 它们只是 它们只是不是在这个时候不起作用 Gotta be careful with these stocks, man, these breakouts, they're just, they're just not just not working at this point.
甚至像A-U-N-H这样的东西 它们都很好 我还以为会收紧 Even something like A-U-N-H, where the dows doing great, um, I expected this to tighten up.
朝相反的方向下了雨 砰 砰 It wet in the opposite direction, wham, got slam.
这不是一只小盘股 你知道 被散户投资者推来推去 And this is not a small cap stock that's getting, you know, pushing around by retail investors.
这需要很大的成交量 才能移动这只股票 This is a takes a lot of volume in, uh, to to move this stock.
呃 凯蒂和y另一个 嗯 你知道 我也在看这个 就在这里 当 呃 你出现的时候 你你试着取出这个反转 得到反转恢复 Uh, katy and y Another one where, um, you know, I was looking at this one too, right here, as, uh, you, you turned up, you you tried to take out this reversal, get reversal recovery.
I think we highlighted that. And the next day, comes down and out outside day, and you see the vow till he's picking up, when we should be seeing alpha, we should be seeing the upside with little downside, little downside movement, not much fault.
所以低标准差 高偏离这些突破名称 我们没有看到 So that low standard deviation, high off from these breakout names, we are not seeing that.
C-A-H 另一种 就你所知 它表现得很好 它在爆发后做了一个很好的动作 但从那以后 两天它几乎放弃了一切 C-A-H, another one that, again, this is acting fine, as far as you know, it made a good move from the breakout, but since then, two days it gave it pretty much everything up.
你知道 再一次 短期走势被卖出 当我们变成一个真正强劲的牛市时 你会看到相反的情况 Um, you know, again, the the short term moves are being sold into And that's where, when we morph into a really strong bull market, you're going to see the opposite.
股票会远离你 冲破你的束缚 然后它们会继续上涨 然后你会希望你持有它们 Stocks are going to get away from you and break out, and then they're gonna just keep going, and it's and you're gonna wish that you held them.
你知道 现在你通过第一步 第二步卖了它们 你很高兴你卖了它们 Um, you know, now you sell them through that 1st move, 2nd move, and you're happy you sold them.
相反的情况会发生在我们进入锁定反弹和一个真正强劲的市场之前 Um, that the opposite of that has to take place before we get into a lock out rally and a really strong market.
还是P-R-T-X 我们在这里看到了一些挥发物 Um, P-R-T-X again. We saw some volatilly, right here.
我们是被撞掉的 Uh, we actually got knocked out of it.
试着收紧 但更多的波动 只是没有看到那种 呃 价格波动 你知道 我想看到的 肯定是这样 Try to tighten up, but more volatility, just not seeing the the type of, uh, price action, you know, that I want to see here, definitely.
呃 让我看看 呃 莉莉 当然了 我们还领先百分之六点四分之三 Um, let me see, uh, lily, of course, we're still up about six and three quarter percent on it.
当然 我们是在这里买的 We, we bought it over here, of course.
嗯 这个也许可以 Um, and this might be fine.
我的意思是 它上升了 上升了一点 101012% 在这里插入一点 所以这很好 I mean, it it moved up, and it was up a bit, 1010, 12 %, as wedging a bit here, so that that's fine.
我会留意的 I will keep an eye on that.
B-I-X恢复得相对不错 And B-I-X is holding up relatively well again.
其他人表现得很强势 当然 这些是我们仍然持有的一些股票 Other ones acting strong, uh. These are some of the stocks, of course, that were still, we still own.
他们中的一些人可能在阿里减持两次后获利 Some of them might taken profits on Ari gen reduced it twice.
呃 和那些低潮调情 Uh, flirting with those lows here.
但是你可以看到结实的衣服在这里 结实的衣服在这里 结实的衣服在这里 它从这个水平向上 就在这里 But you can see strong clothes here, strong clothes here, strong clothes here, so and, and it turned up from from this level, right here.
就在这里 看另一个穿着结实衣服的弹跳 And right here, see another one bounce off in strong clothes.
所以在这个7 哦 8左右似乎有一些真正的支持 So there seems to be some real support here around that seven, oh, eight.
7 在7之间 哦 我想 我不知道 6 98左右 直到 呃 你知道 7 哦 8左右 Seven, between seven, oh, I guess, I don't know, six, 98 or so, up to, uh, you know, seven, oh eight or so,
好像得到了很多支持 seems to be a lot of support.
所以希望这东西能留在这里把我们留在里面 So hopefully this can hold here, um and and keep us in it.
我大概减了百分之八点五 当然了 I am D-T rough about eight and a half percent on I-I reduced it, of course.
这 Here this
表现得很好 这是表现最好的一个 is acting great. This is the one that's acting the best.
当然 10美元12美元的股票是 Of course, the $10 $12 stock is
令人惊讶 但是 市场现在处于一个阶段 指数在上涨 但我们没有得到参与 surprising. But again, market is in a in a phase right now where the indexes are rallying, but we're not getting the participation.
正如我在之前的视频中所说的 这对一些人来说是令人沮丧的时刻 As I said in the previous video, it's a frustrating time for some people.
他们有了信息恐惧症 他们让指数开始迫使他们做一些他们不应该做的事情 They get that fomo and and and they let the indexes start forcing them to do things that they shouldn't be doing with individual stocks.
受到国家纪律处分 等待股票 Got a state discipline. Wait for the stocks.
我们我们还没说出来 嗯 We're we're still not saying it yet, um.
即使我们这样做了 我们也要放轻松 确保我们获得了吸引力 然后慢慢地回到市场中去 And even when we do, we've got to take it easy, make sure we're getting traction, and then incrementally move back into the market.
这可能是 就像我在之前的视频中说的 这可能是另一个熊市反弹 So this could be, as I said in the um, in the previous video, this could be just another A-A bear market rally.
我们不知道 我的意思是 你看看纳斯达克指数 我们刚刚从低点走出来 We don't know. I mean, you take a look at the Nasdaq, we're just coming off the lows here, you know.
也许我们已经有200个了 And maybe we we been up to the 200 there.
即使在这之上 你知道 这里仍然是一个很好的下降趋势 Even above that would still be well within, you know, a pretty good down trend here.
还有很多工作要做 嗯 这里 但是 但是 但是绝对是隧道尽头的光 嗯 通货膨胀数据 指数有所回升 一些名字 但不幸的是 大部分都是在 你知道 尖牙股票和被打败的名字 There's still work to do. Uh here, but, uh, but, but definitely some light at the end of the tunnel um with the inflation data, and getting some rally in the indexes and some some names, but most of it, unfortunately, has been in the, you know, the fang stocks and the beaten down names.
英伟达 特斯拉 亚马逊 谷歌 所有这些名字 你知道 反弹了一点 You get Invidia, tesla, amazon, google, all those names, you know, rallying a bit.
我们只看到这里 像梅多 We just see here, something like Meadow.
草地只涨了1% Well, meadow is only up 1 %.
但你已经得到了这个 这个相当强劲的反弹 But you've gotten this, this pretty strong rally.
啊 让我们看看多少钱 很抱歉 Ah, let's see how much. Sorry about that.
让我们反弹了近30% Let us rallied up about almost 30 %.
一 二 三 四 大概五天 And one, two, three, four, and like five days.
但这只是把它带到了20天移动平均线 But that only took it to the 20 day moving average.
看看这张图表 And take a look at the chart.
图表上几乎没有记录 It barely registers on the chart say so.
看看这50天有多陡 从50急剧下降到200 And look how steep the 50 day is, very, very steep down from the 50 to 200.
所以即使是在这个集会上 我也很高兴 你知道 得到那种交易 So even at this rallied all the way back, I may be great to, you know, to get that type of trade.
如果你 如果你想从低谷中走出来 Um, if you, if you're trading off the lows.
但这仍然是一个下行趋势 But again, this is still within a down trent.
而且 嗯 这是 这是目前的低反弹的垃圾 And, um, this is, this is a junk off the low rally as of right now.
所以我们只能再等一段时间希望能有更好的开局 So we we're just going to have to wait a little bit longer and and hope for a better, better set ups.
好吧 好吧 我晚点再打给你们 All right, all right, I'll talk to you guys later.
抱歉 这段时间很短 但也没什么可谈的 Sorry, this one's short, but there's not much to talk about.
明天上午11点半秦A见 我们会聊得不止再见再见 I'll see you tomorrow for qin A at 11:30 a.m., and we'll talk more than Bye, bye.