休斯敦大学 Uh
所以在拖延我分析一个神圣的亲爱的被杀的时候 So while procrastinating my analysis of the killing of a sacred dear
我重新注视着绿色的一英里 I re watched the green mile.
这部经典的1999部电影讲述了1935岁的死囚中一个不寻常的人 The classic nineteen ninety nine film about an unusual man on death row in nineteen thirty five.
我真诚地希望我不必为这部十九岁的电影发出第二次警告的序言 但无论如何我都不会 I sincerely hope I don't have to preface this with a second spoiler warning for a nineteen year old movie but I will anyways.
如果你还没有看到绿色英里 And if you haven't seen the green mile yet
你可能需要重新考虑你的优先事项 You may need to rethink your priorities.
约翰咖啡可能是令人敬畏的身材 John coffee may be formidable and stature.
但是随着电影的发展 But as the film progresses
很明显 他被指控的罪行不仅是无辜的 It becomes clear that not only is the innocent of the crime he's accused of
约翰是上帝的奇迹 John is a miracle of god
在电影中 谁在乎膀胱感染 In the film who cares a bladder infection
从监狱长的妻子那里取出一个终端脑肿瘤 Removes a terminal brain tumor from the warden's wife
把金斯先生从死里复活 Brings back mr jingles from the dead
这是由汤姆汉克斯扮演的保罗埃奇布 And shows paul edgecomb played by tom hanks,
一种证明约翰是无辜的幻象 A vision which proves john's innocence
jon让自己被执行 因为 Jon lets himself be executed because
两个人 Two people
在这里 Here
在电影的结尾 六十四年之后 At the end of the film sixty four years later
多亏了约翰 金斯先生还活着 Thanks to john mr jingles is still alive
他觉得自己已经一百零八岁了 And polar feels that he's one hundred and eight years old.
影片以他严肃的思想结束 The film ends on his solemn thoughts,
如果他能做一只老鼠 If he could make a mouse.
如果有人知道 If some known
多少钱 How much
我们有 We do
在我们开始之前 我想提醒大家的是影片没有提供足够的信息让我们达到100%的答案 Before we begin I want to caution that the film doesn't provide enough information for us to arrive at a one hundred per cent certain answer
但我相信 这段视频的结尾是一个人可以得到的最好的答案 因为有了有限的信息 But I believe this video ends on the best possible answer one could arrive at given the limited information available.
我们将探索几种可能的方法 We will explore several possible methods
而且很明显 为什么有些方法比其他方法更好 And it will become clear why some methods are simply better than others.
最后 我们不会在小说中考虑到电影是基于 Finally we will not be considered in the novel that the film is based on
不仅因为这个频道被称为电影哈罗德强调电影 Not only because this channels called film harold emphasis on film,
但也因为它有六百页长 But also because it's like six hundred pages long
在我读过的情节摘要中 这本书与电影的不同之处 In the plot summaries I have read it appears that the book differs from the film
只是稍微有点 Only slightly anyways
它没有提供任何进一步的线索来说明人们将活多久 And it doesn't give any further clues as to how long people will live for
我们会考虑四种不同的方法来确定保罗的寿命大多数都依赖于影片的一段数据 We'll consider four different methods for determining paul's lifespan and most of them depend on the one piece of data the film
给了我们 Does give us
金斯先生 Mr jingles.
这个月 This month
简先生 Mr jean
路易 Louis
詹姆斯 James
在1990年 金斯先生濒临死亡边缘 Mr jingles is on the verge of death in nineteen ninety nine,
也就是说他自由地生活了六十四年 Meaning that he lived freely sixty four years
但是我应该活多久 或者我应该活多久 But how long or my supposed to live for.
正如你所预料的 Well as you would expect
每个物种都是不同的 Each species is different
例如 实验室的老鼠可以活2到3年的时间来好好照顾它们 Lab mice for example can live for two to three years of taking care of properly.
但是 金斯先生并不是实验室的老鼠导演至少让金斯先生成为了一个普通的田鼠 But mr jingles was not a lab mouse the director at least enchanted mr jingles to be a common field mouse
弗兰克确信 Frank had certain
关于他想让金斯先生看起来像的想法 Ideas of what he wanted mr jingles to look like
他们想让它成为一个更低的田鼠 They wanted it to be a lower field mouse
不知怎的 That somehow
我们相信 We believe
进了监狱 Had gotten into the prison,
我们花了几个月的时间培育老鼠 We spent months breeding mice to get
颜色 The colour
事实上 他想要的是 在选择和拍摄金斯先生的过程中所做的艰苦工作是如此的有趣 所以我强烈推荐这部纪录片 That he wanted in fact the painstaking work that went into selecting and filming mr jingles is so interesting that I highly recommend the documentary.
我把描述的链接 I'll put the link of the description,
但是在路易斯安那州的五种不同种类的老鼠中 But of the five different species of mice that live in louisiana,
电影的拍摄地 Where the film took place,
只是让它们看起来有可比性 Only to have them look somewhat comparable
东部收获的老鼠和棉嘴看起来最像金斯先生 The eastern harvest mouse and the cottonmouth look most like mr jingles.
就我个人而言 我倾向于使用5个月左右的棉鼠 Personally I lean towards the cotton mouse which has a life span of five month or so.
有人可能会说 金斯先生可能并不一定是路易斯安那州的人因为老鼠倾向于在船只上找到自己的路 然后进入板条箱等等 One could argue that mr jingles may not necessarily be native to louisiana as mice tend to find their way onto ships and into crates and so forth
但这将会进入纯粹的投机世界 关于金斯先生可能是什么物种 But that would be venturing into the world of pure speculation as to what species mr jingles might be,
就我们的目的而言 我们将继续假设金斯先生是一只棉鼠 For our purposes we will move forward with the assumption that mr jingles is a cotton mouse
它的生命周期为5个月 Which has a life span of five months.
如果你不同意 If you don't agree
你可以用你认为最合适的鼠标的寿命来代替下面的计算 You can substitute the lifespan of whatever species of mouse you think is most appropriate in the following calculations.
现在我们已经确定了金的预期寿命 So now that we've determined mr jingles life expectancy
我们需要知道paul edgecumbe的预期寿命 We need to know the life expectancy of paul edgecumbe,
保罗生于1890年 Paul was born in eighteen ninety one
而出生的人的平均预期寿命 And the average life expectancy of someone born then
因为婴儿死亡率会很低 Would be quite low due to infant mortality
在40岁的人的预期寿命中保罗在绿色英里的活动中 By the life expectancy of someone who's forty four as paul was during the events of the green mile
好多了 Is much better.
最接近的 The closest
数据显示 我可以在19世纪30年代的美国人口普查数据中找到保护预期寿命的数据 Data said I could find for guarding life expectancy during this era with the us census data for nineteen thirty
在电影事件发生前五年 Five years before the events of the film.
当这次人口普查时 保罗将会是三十九岁 Paul would be thirty nine when this census was taken
数据表明 积极的生活在未来的30年里 And the data suggest that positive lived a further thirty one years,
也就是说他可以活到70岁 Meaning he could be expected to live to the age of seventy
直到1960年 Or until nineteen sixty one
有了这两个数据 With those two pieces of data.
金斯先生的预期寿命 The life expectancy of mr jingles
知识的到来 And of knowledge come
我们可以考虑几种不同的方法来确定人们将活多久 We can consider several different methods to determine how long people will live for
如果约翰的能量只会让你的寿命增加几年 If john's energy simply adds years to one's life
比保罗还能活到六十四岁左右他的预期寿命 Than paul could be expected to live another sixty four years or so passed his life expectancy,
也就是说他可能活到一百三十四岁 Which means he may live to the age of one hundred and thirty four
或者直到二十五岁 Or until twenty twenty five.
考虑到这一百零八年的历史 它看起来已经很老了 Considering these one hundred and eight years old in the film it looks pretty old already,
这看起来非常接近准确 This actually looks pretty close to accurate.
现在这可以暗示帕布罗活到一百三十四岁了 Now this could insinuate that pablo live until he's one hundred and thirty four.
但这也可能表明 景德的寿命还没有出现 But it may also indicate that mr jingles lifespan hasn't been
在六十四岁的时候 Added to the age of sixty four,
而是乘以 But rather multiplied.
如果梯子是真的 而金斯先生是一只棉鼠 If the ladder is true and mr jingles was a cotton mouse
他活了一百五十三分 比他应有的时间长了6倍 He lived one hundred and fifty three points six times longer than he should have.
如果金斯的5个月的寿命延长了一百五十三点6次 If mr jingles five month lifespan was extended one hundred and fifty three points six times
总寿命为六十四岁 To a total lifespan of sixty four years
保罗70岁的寿命可以延长到一万岁 Paul seventy year lifespan could be expected to extend to ten thousand
七百五十二年 Seven hundred and fifty two years.
但是考虑到约翰咖啡的能量只会延长你的寿命 而不是你的总寿命 But consider that perhaps john coffees energy only extends your remaining lifespan not your total lifespan.
当他被灌输给他的时候 没有办法告诉他他有多老了 There's no way to tell how old mr jingles was when he was imbued with
约翰魔法 Johns magic
我们取一个平均值 So let's simply take an average
这两个极端的中间部分 The middle of the two extremes
并认为 金斯先生已经二点五个月大了 And argue that mr jingles was two point five months old
在他剩下的二点五个月里延长了超过六十四年 Extended over sixty four years his remaining two point five months of life
变成三百零七点二倍他的自然寿命 Become three hundred and seven point two times his natural lifespan
对保罗来说 如果我们把他剩下的二十六年乘以三百零七 For paul if we multiply his remaining twenty six years by three hundred and seven
第二点 Point two,
然后加上他的寿命 And then add his existing lifespan
他可以活到八千零三十一岁 He could expect to live for eight thousand and thirty one years
两个月零一天 Two months and one day
明显低于我们之前的估计 Markedly less than our previous estimate,
但在做这三种粗略计算时 我们还没有考虑到其他因素 But there are other factors that we're not considering when doing these three rather crude calculations.
首先 保罗看起来已经很老了 First of all paul already looks pretty old,
所以除非他看起来像骨架 So unless he's going to look like skeleton
到下个世纪的时候 By the turn of the next century
这些数字看起来不现实 These figures don't seem realistic.
噢 Oh
我知道我周围都是照片 I know I surround myself with photos,
甚至我们的机器人也比你知道的要聪明 Even our robots are smarter than you know.
其次 当我们开始假设使用什么样的公式来增加金的寿命 Secondly when we start assuming what sort of formulas being used to increase mr jingles lifespan.
它可以是加法 也可以是乘法运算 It could be addition or multiplication as we try to achieve
但它也可以是指数函数 对数或三角函数 But it could also be exponential or logarithmic or trigonometry
甚至是提高经济效益 Or even raise economic.
关键是纯粹的推测 The point is it's pure speculation
考虑到约翰的魔法剂量可能会更科学一些 It might be slightly more scientific to consider john's magic in terms of dosage
如果约翰的魔法和其他药物如酒精一样起作用 If john's magic works the same way as other drugs such as alcohol for example
而不是效果的强度 Than the strength of the effect
醉 Inebriation
取决于这个人的体重 Depends on how much the person weighs
在喝醉之前 一个重度的人可以比一个小个子喝更多的酒 A heavy set person can drink more alcohol than a smaller person can before getting drunk.
这个体重要求很大程度上适用于其他药物的剂量水平 This weight requirement largely applies to dosage levels of other drugs
因此 决定保罗的寿命 我们需要其他的数据 So determine how long paul would live for we need to other pieces of data.
金斯和汤姆汉克斯的方式 How much mr jingles and tom hanks way
小老鼠最多重50克 Con mice weigh fifty grams at most.
而汤姆汉克斯重70岁 Whereas tom hanks weighs seventy
千克 Kilograms.
根据 According to
健康名人网 Healthy celeb dot com
不幸的是 汤姆汉克斯的体重是一只棉鼠的一千五百六十倍 Unfortunately because tom hanks weighs one thousand five hundred sixty times more than a cotton mouse
一剂能将金斯的寿命延长六十四年的剂量 A dose capable of extending mr jingles lifespan by sixty four years
只给了paul edgecumbe额外的15天 Only gives paul edgecumbe an extra fifteen days.
因为我们知道他至少活到一百零八岁 And because we know that he lives to at least a hundred and eight
三十八年过去了 Thirty eight years passed is expected lifespan
他的方法是失败 Whose method is a bust.
事实上 它从一开始就注定要失败 因为我们假设这两个奇迹是等价的 In fact it was doomed from the outset because we were assuming that the two miracles are equivalent.
保罗看到了约翰被指控谋杀的两个女孩发生了什么事 Paul was shown a vision of what happened to the two girls john was accused of murdering.
然而 当戴尔被处死时 他受到了约翰的震惊 Whereas mr jingles was given a shock from john when dale was executed.
关键是我们不知道这两种行为是否会产生类似的剂量 The point is we don't know if these two acts result in similar dosages,
这就是为什么最好的方法来估计保罗 埃奇奥布的寿命有多长 Which is why the best method for estimating how long paul edgecomb will live for,
也是最简单的 也是最悲哀的 Is also the simplest and unfortunately the saddest.
老保罗埃德古比是由罗伯特威廉达姆的职业生涯所扮演的 The elder paul edgecumbe was played by robert william dabs career
一个出生于1917年的演员 他拥有我所见过的最大的电影胶片 An actor born in nineteen seventeen who has the largest filmography I've ever seen.
当你在绿里工作的时候 他已经八十二岁了 He was eighty two when you worked on the green mile.
我已经一百零八岁了 I'm a hundred and eight years old
只有 Only
如果他在这些场景中被认为是一百零八岁 If he was supposed to be one hundred and eight years old in these scenes
比这个一百零八岁的人 Than this one hundred and eight year old
看起来他比实际年龄小了80岁或31点7% Looked like he was eighty two or thirty one point seven per cent younger than he actually was
二千零七年 dabs greer去世 享年90岁 Dabs greer passed away in two thousand and seven at the age of ninety.
如果我们将其增加31点7% If we increase that by thirty one point seven per cent
我们可以活到保罗埃奇比的死期 We can come to the age at which paul edgecomb would have died.
一百 One hundred and
二千零九年 18岁 Eighteen years old in two thousand and nine.
毫无疑问 这是保罗埃德古比会活多久的最佳衡量标准 This is undoubtedly the best measure for how long paul edgecumbe would have lived for
它不依赖于任何数量的投机 它只使用显而易见的信息 It doesn't depend on any amount of speculation and it only uses readily apparent information.
但如果你不同意 But if you disagree.
如果你认为你有比这更好的方法 If you think you have a better method than this
或者如果你认为我的数学错了 Or if you think that I got any of the math wrong
可以找到所有使用的资源的链接 Can find the links to all of the sources used
以及描述中每个方法的计算 As well as the calculations for each method in the description.
如果我做错了 请告诉我 Let me know if I got anything wrong
或者如果你认为你有更好的方法 Or if you think that you have a better method.
好了 现在我答应开始着手杀死一只神圣的鹿 Okay now I promised to start working on the killing of a sacred deer.
谢谢收看 Thanks for watching
直到下一次 And until next time
这就是电影《哈罗德》 This has been the film harold
到极点 To a pole.